Atlas of Global Development 2nd Edition

Page 1

New topics – keeping abreast of a changing world the following world maps have been added to the atlas: child employment, internet users, foreign direct investment, food production, and energy flows A visual guide to global issues – easy-to-read graphical presentation with every topic being presented by clear world maps, tables, graphs, and photographs Country comparisons – understand key development indicators, including economic growth, life expectancy, infant mortality, safe water, population, poverty, and energy use Authoritative statistics – from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators "This is an excellent, up-to-date source book which will be invaluable for students of, and staff teaching, higher levels of geography .... a clear, concise, easily-accessible, and well-illustrated volume."

Atlas of Global development second edition

Second edition of this comprehensive guide to the most critical issues facing the world.

Atlasof Global Development second edition

geographical association, united kingdom

ISBN 978-0-8213-7603-4

9 780821 376034 Cover image: Bill Ross/corbis

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Atlas oF Global development second edition

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© 2009 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet: www.worldbank.org E-mail: feedback@worldbank.org All rights reserved. Design © HarperCollins Publishers Published for the World Bank by Collins Geo. An imprint of HarperCollins Publishers Westerhill Road Bishopbriggs Glasgow G64 2QT www.collinsbartholomew.com First Published 2007 Second edition 2009 The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgement on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries. Rights and Permissions The material in this publication is copyrighted. Copying and/or transmitting portions or all of this work without permission may be a violation of applicable law. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank encourages dissemination of its work and will normally grant permission to reproduce portions of the work promptly. For permission to photocopy or reprint any part of this work, please send a request with complete information to the Copyright Clearance Center Inc., 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, USA; telephone: 978-750-8400; fax: 978-750-4470; Internet: www.copyright.com. All other queries on rights and licenses, including subsidiary rights, should be addressed to the Office of the Publisher, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2422; e-mail: pubrights@worldbank.org. ISBN-13: 978-0-8213-7603-4 E-ISBN-13: 978-0-8213-7604-1 DOI: 10.1596/978-0-8213-7603-4 CIP data Printed and bound by Imago, Singapore

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Contents 4

Acknowledgments

5

Foreword

6

Classification of economies

8

Rich and poor Measuring income | Growth and opportunity | How poor is poor?

24

People Global trends in population

30

Education Education opens doors | Children at work Gender and development

44

Health Children under five—struggling to survive Improving the health of mothers Communicable diseases—too little progress

56

Economy Structure of the world’s economy | Governance Infrastructure for development | Investment for growth The integrating world | People on the move Aid for development | External debt

94

Environment The urban environment Feeding a growing world | A thirsty planet gets thirstier Protecting the environment | Energy security and climate change

122

Statistics Key indicators of development Ranking of economies by GNI per capita The need for statistics Millennium Development Goals, targets and indicators Delivered bynotes, The World e-library to: Definitions, sources, andBank abbreviations

143

Index

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Acknowledgments This Atlas of Global Development is a production of the World Bank’s Development Economics Data Group in collaboration with the Office of the Publisher. The text and data were prepared by the Development Economics Data Group of the World Bank under the management of Shaida Badiee. The team consisted of Mehdi Akhlaghi, Azita Amjadi, Uranbileg Batjargal, David Cieslikowski, Richard Fix, Masako Hiraga, Kiyomi Horiuchi, Buyant Erdene Khaltarkhuu, Nino Kostava, Soong Sup Lee, Ibrahim Levent, Raymond Muhula, Kyoko Okamato, Sulekha Patel, Beatriz Prieto-Oramas, William Prince, Changqing Sun, Eric Swanson, and K. M. Vijayalakshmi. Sebastien Dessus, Neil Fantom, Kirk Hamilton, Santiago Herrera, Jeff Lecksell, Nadia Fernanda Piffaretti, and Giovanni Ruta made valuable contributions. Stephen McGroarty, Santiago Pombo, and Valentina Kalk Alacevich from the World Bank’s Office of the Publisher managed the publication and dissemination of the book. The Publishing, Design, Editorial, Creative Services, and Database teams at Collins Geo, HarperCollins Publishers, provided overall design direction, editorial control, mapping, and typesetting.

Picture credits Curt Carnemark/World Bank 10, 14, 20, 22, 28, 70, 76, 86, 117, 118; Douglas Engle/Corbis 111 (top); Julio Etchart/World Bank 13; J. Emilio Flores/Corbis 84; Greg Girard/IFC 78; Masuru Goto/World Bank 54; Louise Gubb/Corbis 100; Yosef Hadar/World Bank 18; Collart Herve/Corbis Sygma 95; Tran Thi Hoa/World Bank 36, 50, 102; Ed Kashi/Corbis 62; Kazuyoshi/Corbis 112; Bob Krist/Corbis 24; Frans Lanting/Corbis 114; Bill Lyons/World Bank 40, 106; Simone D. McCourtie/World Bank 66; Gideon Mendel/Corbis 57 (bottom); Eric Miller/World Bank 42, 65, 72; Viviane Moos/Corbis 91 (bottom), 96; Stephen Morrison/epa/Corbis 60; Shehzad Noorani/World Bank 52; Charles O'Rear/Corbis 61; Anatoliy Rakhimbayev/World Bank 99, 105; Trevor Samson/World Bank 32; Dominic Sansoni/World Bank 75; Alfredo Srur/World Bank 46; Shannon Stapleton/Reuters/Corbis 82; Eberhard Streichan/Zefa/Corbis 120; Wendy Stone/Corbis 26; William Taufic/Corbis 57 (top); UNCHR/T. Irwin 88; UNEP 111 (bottom); Ami Vitale/World Bank 31; Scott Wallace/World Bank 58; Ray Witlin/World Bank 45, 49, 108; Adam Woolfitt/Corbis 92.

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Foreword Human and economic development cannot be separated from geography. Throughout the centuries, climate, natural resources, landscapes, and natural routes have shaped the development of political and economic institutions, nationstates, and markets. People, in return, are constantly reshaping the economic and social geography, through communication and transport infrastructure, trade and migration, and conflicts and co-operation. And their activities increasingly influence the climate, through water use, deforestation, urbanization, and the release of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. Today, location is an important predictor of a person’s welfare, with one’s prospects in life being decided in good measure by one’s place of birth. But the diversity of outcomes across countries is great and cannot be explained by one or even a few factors. Landlocked states, for example, have a harder time participating in global markets and their development is often retarded, but Botswana has consistently grown faster than the rest of Sub-Saharan Africa. Small, island economies and those in tropical regions face other obstacles to development, but Singapore has realized the advantage of its location and prospered. Although people’s welfare and prospects depend on the location and size of their countries’ economies, economic success also depends on the dynamism, specialization, and openness of their political and economic institutions. It depends as well on the quality and coverage of education and health

services and the degree of social and political cohesion. Countries combine these various assets and characteristics in different proportions—and these proportions are evolving rapidly. This Atlas provides an overview of the world and its people as we find them in the first decade of the 21st century. Through thematic maps, it portrays in space the complexity of the development patterns. It locates development challenges and successes, and illustrates trends and comparative outcomes, relying on a large and up-to-date set of data collected by the World Bank to guide its development programs. These indicators come from many sources, but all have their origin in work carried out in individual countries, usually by statistical offices or other public agencies. We hope that readers of this Atlas will find it informative and that it will provide a clearer picture of today’s world. Recognizing the formidable challenges and great successes that have been achieved should strengthen our resolve to work together to create a better world for all.

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Classification of economies Low- and middle-income economies

Greenland (Den.)

East Asia & Pacific Europe & Central Asia

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

Latin America & the Caribbean

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

Middle East & North Africa

C a n a d a

South Asia

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

Sub-Saharan Africa High-income economies

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein

OECD

Andorra

Other

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

no data

Spain

Portugal

Morocco

US Virgin Islands (US)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Alg

Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Kiribati

Suriname Ecuador

Mali

Guinea-Bissau

Poland

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Mauritania Senegal Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Bangladesh Qatar India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Maldives

Kenya

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr) Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

New Caledonia (Fr)

Fiji

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

The World Bank classifies economies as lowincome, middle-income (subdivided into lower-middle and upper-middle), or highincome based on gross national income (GNI) per capita. Low- and middle-income economies are sometimes referred to as developing economies. It is not intended to imply

that all economies in the group are experiencing similar development or that other economies have reached a preferred or final stage of development.

analytical and operational purposes. These regions may differ from common geographic usage or from the regions defined by other organizations. Regional groupings and the aggregate measures for regions include only low- and middle-income economies.

Data are shown for economies as they were constituted in 2007. Additional information about the data is provided in World Development Indicators 2008 or on the World Bank web site (www.worldbank.org/data).

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Measuring income

Standards of living vary substantially across the globe. Comparing income, consumption, or poverty levels among countries requires a common unit of measurement. Exchange rates reflect the relative value of currencies as traded in the market. Purchasing power parities (PPPs) take into account differences in price levels. Both have important roles in measuring the size of economies. Even measured at purchasing power parity, large differences remain GDP per capita measured at PPP (constant 2005 international $) 35,000 30,000

Low- & middle-income High-income

25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0

1980

1990

2000

2007

Note: GDP in constant prices measures the total volume of goods and services produced in the global economy. Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

What is a developing country? Because development encompasses many factors— economic, environmental, cultural, educational, and institutional—no single measure gives a complete picture. However, the total earnings of the residents of an economy measured by its gross national income (GNI) is a good measure of its capacity to provide for the well-being of its people. The World Bank classifies countries according to their average income, or GNI per capita, converted to US dollars using three-year average market exchange rates (commonly called the World Bank Atlas method). Countries with average incomes of less than $11,455 in 2007 are classified as low- and middle-income (often referred to as developing economies). Countries with average incomes of $11,456 or more in 2007 are classified as high-income or developed economies. In 2007, the 1 billion people in high-income economies had an average income of $37,566 a person; the 4.3 billion residents in middle-income economies had average incomes of $2,872; and the 1.3 billion people in low-income economies earned only $578, with some as low as $110. To measure differences in welfare, comparisons of income among economies should take into account differences in

domestic price levels. This is done using PPPs. By using PPPs instead of market exchange rates, the standard of living among countries can be compared in real terms, as if the people purchased goods and services at the same prices. Measured using PPPs, developing economies receive 42 percent of world income. But when measured using the Atlas method they receive only 25 percent (See the table on Ranking of Economies by GNI per capita on pages 128-129 for a comparison of average incomes). The difference is due to the lower cost of services

GNI, Atlas method (current US$)

GNI, PPP (current international $) East Asia & Pacific 15%

Latin America & Caribbean 6% Middle East & North Africa 2%

Europe & Central Asia 8%

Life expectancy at birth (years), 2006/7

8

Middle East & North Africa 4% South Asia 6% Sub-Saharan Africa 2%

Each square represents one country

90 Norway 80 United States 70 60 Sub-Saharan countries with high prevalence of HIV/AIDS: Angola, Botswana, Equatorial, Guinea, Gabon, Lesotho, Namibia, South Africa and Swaziland.

50 40 30 20

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

GNI per capita (PPP $) 2007 Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

…. and higher net school enrollment rates in secondary education Net enrollment rate for secondary school (%), 2006/7

Each square represents one country

Seychelles

Norway

90

United States

80 70 60 50 40 30

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Latin America & Caribbean 8% Highincome 59%

East Asia & Pacific 8% Europe & Central Asia 5%

As the most comprehensive measure of living standards, GNI per capita is closely related to other non-monetary measures of the quality of life, such as life expectancy at birth, the mortality rate of children, and enrollment rates in school. Low incomes are both a cause and effect of low levels of health, education, and other human development outcomes. Poor people have a hard time obtaining good health care and education, while poor health and poor education leave them less able to improve their incomes.

Countries with higher GNI per capita often have higher life expectancy at birth ….

100

Comparing incomes: The share of developing economies is higher when measured at purchasing power parity

and non-traded goods in developing economies, a fact that travelers frequently observe.

0

Highincome 75%

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

70,000

GNI per capita (PPP $) 2007 Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

Rich and poor (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

9


Russian Federation $7,560

Income GNI per capita, World Bank Atlas method, 2007

Greenland (Den)

Low-income countries ($935 or less) Lower-middle-income countries ($936–$3,705)

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

Upper-middle-income countries ($3,706–$11,455)

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

High-income countries ($11,456 or more)

C a n a d a

no data

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Fra

Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK) British Virgin Islands (UK) Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

The Bahamas Dominican Republic Puerto Cuba Rico (US)

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

US Virgin Islands (US)

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr)

St. Lucia

Morocco Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Mauritania Senegal

Mali

Guinea-Bissau

Barbados

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Suriname

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Latin America & Caribbean $5,540

Middle East & North Africa $2,794

Haiti

Jamaica

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Bangladesh Qatar India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Luxembourg

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Denmark

Ireland

Channel Islands (UK)

Kiribati

Europe & Central Asia $6,051

India $950

Rep. of Yemen

Djibouti Nigeria Cameroon

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Maldives

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Tanzania

B r a z i l

East Asia & Pacific $2,180

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Marshall Islands

Palau Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Mayotte (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Papua New Guinea

South Asia $880

Comoros

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Indonesia Seychelles

Peru

Lao P.D.R.

Malaysia

Kenya

Japan

China $2,360 Vietnam Cambodia

Sri Lanka

Uganda Rwanda

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Vanuatu

Bolivia

Brazil $5,910

Paraguay

Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa $952 New Zealand

Living conditions in Liberia, one of the world’s poorest countries

Largest economies, 2007 Rank 1

Country United States

Gross national income, PPP current international $ (billions) 13,829

2

China

7,084

3

Japan

4,421

4

India

5

Germany

6

France

7

United Kingdom

8

Russian Federation

9

Brazil

1,796

10

Italy

1,773

Facts Of the 49 economies classified as low income in 2007, 33 are in Sub-Saharan Africa, 11 are in Asia, 3 are in Europe, 1 is in Latin America and the Caribbean, and 1 is in the Middle East. Most economies in Latin America and the Caribbean, the Middle East and North Africa, and Europe and Central Asia are middle-income economies.

Variations within each region can also be large. For example, in 2007 Botswana’s GNI per capita surpassed $5000, while GNI per capita in neighboring Mozambique was only $320. Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: The 2,074 World Bank - IMF Library Network Average GNI per capita in the low- and middle-income countries was 2,063 IP : 138.220.77.170 $2,337 in 2007, while in high-income economies it was $37,566. Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 3,079 2,758

2,039

As of 2008, 22 economies had moved from developing to high-income status, nine of them in the last two years.

Internet links World Development Indicators

www.worldbank.org/data

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Statistics

www.oecd.org/statistics

International Monetary Fund Dissemination Standards Bulletin Board

http://dsbb.imf.org/ Applications/web/dsbbhome

United Nations Statistics Division

http://unstats.un.org/unsd/ snaama

International Comparison Project

www.worldbank.org/data/icp

Rich and poor

10 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

11


Growth and opportunity

Sustained growth is essential to reduce poverty. But not many developing countries—especially low-income countries—have seen strong and steady growth in the past. Only one out of five countries has increased per capita income by 3.0 percent a year or more since 1980. Moreover, only two out of five countries were able to maintain 3.0 percent or higher growth rates in five or more consecutive years. But developing countries have been growing faster. Since 2000, half of all countries achieved average growth rates of 3.0 percent a year or higher in per capita income. Many Sub-Saharan African countries experienced good economic growth despite formidable development challenges, such as conflict and epidemic disease.

Faster growth in developing economies is reducing poverty rates and slowly closing the income gap with high-income countries. But growth must be sustained over the long term and the gains from economic growth must be shared to make lasting improvements to the well-being of all people. To promote broad-based and sustained growth, people must be empowered and have the opportunity to make choices that improve their well-being. The average growth of developing countries has accelerated since 2000

Although high growth rates have helped reduce global poverty, rising income inequality has weakened the poverty reduction impact of economic growth. For a given rate of growth, the rate of poverty reduction depends on the initial level of inequality, and how the distribution of income changes with growth. Since the beginning of the 1980s, per capita incomes have risen in most countries, making most people in developing countries better

Annual growth of GDP per capita (%) 5

High-income countries Developing countries

4 3 2 1 0

1960–1970

1970–1980

1980–1990

1990–2000

2000–2007

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

off. However, income inequality, as measured by the Gini coefficient, also increased in many countries. Therefore, even in fast-growing economies, poor people may not share fully in the benefits of growth. If inequality increases, poverty reduction will be slower. To achieve broad-based economic growth, all people must have equal opportunity to participate.

Taroudant Province, Morocco. New primary school funded by the World Bank

Equality of opportunities does not mean equal outcomes. However, if all members of society have similar chances to become socially active, politically influential, and economically productive, then sustainable long-run development is more likely because the allocation of resources is more efficient. When economic and social institutions systematically favor the interests of those with higher status and greater resources, the economy is likely to be less efficient, missing out on opportunities for innovation and investment.

In many developing countries, children of poor families have fewer opportunities to attend school Out of school children as % of age 6–11 population, various dates 1980–2004

Poorest quintile

-100

-80

-60

Richest quintile

-40

-20

0

20

40

60

80

100

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 2008

Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa has fallen behind other regions

Inequality has increased in some countries, decreased in others

GDP per capita (constant 2000 US$)

Annual change in Gini coefficient in 83 developing countries, 1995–2005

5000

4000

East Asia & Pacific

Middle East & North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

South Asia

Latin America & Caribbean

Europe & Central Asia

Percentage point 2.5 2.0

Less equal

1.5 1.0

3000

0.5 0.0

2000

-0.5

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1000

0

There are many ways to increase the opportunities for poor people. First, access to education and health services increases productivity. Water and sanitation systems help reduce the incidence of disease. Improvements to transportation and communication systems, particularly in rural areas, improve access to markets. Secure tenure to property increases incentives for new investment by rural and urban dwellers. Protection through the rule of law reduces risks and uncertainties that undermine growth.

More equal

-2.5

1960

1965

1970

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2007

-3.0 Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

Rich and poor

12 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

13


Economic growth average annual growth of GDP per capita, 2000–2007

Greenland (Den)

less than 0.0% 0.0–1.9%

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

2.0–3.9%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

4.0–5.9%

C a n a d a

6.0% or more

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Morocco

British Virgin Islands (UK)

The Bahamas

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Alg

US Virgin Islands (US)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Kiribati

Mauritania Senegal

Mali

Suriname

Guinea-Bissau

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Denmark

Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

China has one of the fastest GDP growth rates of the developing countries

Recent growth of GDP per capita Rank

Country

Average annual growth rate (%), 2000–2007

1

Azerbaijan

16.1

2

Equatorial Guinea

14.1

3

Armenia

13.1

4

Angola

5

Latvia

6

China

7

Georgia

8

Kazakhstan

9

Estonia

10

Trinidad and Tobago

9.9

Facts Developing economies continued to grow faster than high-income economies. From 2000 to 2007, the annual growth of GDP per capita in developing countries averaged 4.8 percent, compared to 1.7 percent for high-income economies. About 80 percent of all developing economies grew faster in 2007 than their average growth rate between 1990 and 2006.

9.7

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 13 economies have grown at an average rate of Since 1950, only 9.5 The World Bank - IMF Library Network 7 percent a year or more for 25 years or longer. 9.4 IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 9.3 The last 15 years saw a surge of growth, especially among countries that opened their economies to trade and investment, maintained 9.0 sound monetary and fiscal policies, and strengthened the rule of law. 8.9

Internet links World Bank Global Economic Prospects

www.worldbank.org/prospects

International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook

www.imf.org/weo

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development statistics

www.oecd.org/statistics

The Commission on Growth and Development

www.growthcommission.org

Rich and poor

14 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

15


Inequality share of income going to the poorest quintile 1992–2005, most recent year available

Greenland (Den)

less than 4.0%

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

4.0–5.9%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

6.0–6.9%

C a n a d a

7.0–7.9%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

8.0% or more no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Cayman Islands (UK)

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

Barbados

Kiribati

Oman Mali

Niger

Guinea-Bissau

Suriname

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Eritrea

Chad

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Belarus

Mauritania Senegal

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Poland

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

N. Mariana Islands (US)

Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Rep. of Korea

i n a

Myanmar

Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Belize

Alg

US Virgin Islands (US)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Morocco

British Virgin Islands (UK)

The Bahamas Mexico

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria Hungary Moldova nce Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Bangladesh Qatar India Emirates Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Facts

Ten countries with high inequality ratios One commonly used measure of income inequality is the inequality ratio, calculated as the ratio of income or consumption shares of the richest 20 percent to the poorest 20 percent of the population. A ratio of 10 means that the top 20 percent of the population earns (or spends) 10 times as much as the bottom 20 percent of the population. Generally, the higher this ratio, the more unequal the income distribution. Countries with high inequality ratios are primarily in Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa. The highest inequality ratio among Asian countries is 12.

Country

Year

Income or consumption shares

Inequality ratio

Namibia

1993

income

56

Lesotho

1995

consumption

44

Bolivia

2002

income

42

Central African Republic

1993

consumption

33

Haiti

2001

income

27

Paraguay

2003

income

Panama

2003

income

Brazil

2005

income

Colombia

2004

income

El Salvador

2002

income

Income inequalities between countries increased until the onset of rapid economic growth in China and India in the past two decades. Inequality within countries has increased in many parts of the world, including Bangladesh, China, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Delivered by The World BankInequality e-library in to:access to schooling has fallen as school participation 26 - IMF Library The World Bank Network rates have risen in most countries. IP :24138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 Different groups of citizens within an economy, defined by such 21 characteristics as race or gender, often face quite different 21 opportunities for economic and social mobility.

Internet links World Bank World Development Report 2006

www.worldbank.org/wdr

United Nations Human Development Report 2007–08

http://hdr.undp.org

World Development Indicators

www.worldbank.org/data

21

Rich and poor

16 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

17


How poor is poor?

Poverty—the lack of income and essential goods and services—exists everywhere, but there has been progress. The proportion of people in developing countries living in extreme poverty has fallen from about 42 percent in 1990 to slightly more than 25 percent in 2005. Still, about 1.4 billion people live on less than $1.25 a day, a number that is unacceptably high. The recent increase in food and fuel prices is likely to increase the number of poor people. Global poverty has been falling since the 1980s, perhaps for the first time in human history. A poverty line set at $1.25 a day in 2005 purchasing power (revised from the previous $1.08 a day in 1993 prices) is used as the working definition of extreme poverty. Based on this, the number of people living in extreme poverty fell from 1.9 billion in 1981 to 1.8 billion in 1990 and to about 1.4 billion in 2005. This is an important success, but greater

Poverty and hunger lead to malnutrition and infant mortality

Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and international poverty line To measure poverty in the world as a whole, a common standard is required. Because market exchange rates tend to understate the real incomes of developing countries and overstate the extent of poverty, PPPs are used to compare income and consumption levels between countries. A PPP is the conversion rate for a given currency into a reference currency (invariably the US dollar). PPPs are calculated with the aim of assuring parity in terms of purchasing power over goods and services, both internationally traded and non-traded. In 2008, new PPP estimates for 2005 became available from the International Comparison Program. The World Bank’s “$1 a day,” international poverty line was based on what “poverty” means in the world’s poorest countries. By focusing on the standards of the poorest countries, the $1 a day line gives the global poverty measure a salience in focusing on the world’s poorest. Using the new 2005 PPP rates, the international poverty line was revised to $1.25 a day, which is the average poverty line of 15 poorest countries in the world.

Average daily incomes of the extremely poor have stagnated in Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean Average daily income of the population below $1.25 poverty line ($, PPP) Latin America & Caribbean 1.0

Sub-Saharan Africa Other developing countries

0.8

0.6

effort will be required to further reduce poverty. Many obstacles threaten to trap hundreds of millions of people in poverty, especially in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. Poor health and lack of education deprive people of productive employment; environmental resources have been depleted or spoiled; and corruption, conflict, and misgovernance waste public resources and private investment. The significant reduction in extreme poverty over the past quarter century disguises large regional differences. The greatest decline occurred in East Asia and Pacific, led by China, where the poverty rate fell from 78 percent in 1981 to 17 percent in

While the number of people living on less than $1.25 a day has fallen, the number living between $1.25 and $2.00 a day has increased People living in poverty (millions)

People living on more than $1.25 a day, and less than $2.00 a day

3,500

2005. Over the same period, the poverty rate in South Asia fell from 59 percent to 40 percent. In contrast, the poverty rate has fallen only slightly in Sub-Saharan Africa from 54 percent in 1981 to 51 percent in 2005, and the number of people living in poverty nearly doubled. The Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) call for 1990 poverty rates to be cut in half by 2015. At present many countries are falling short of that goal.

0.4

0.2

0

The average daily income of those living on less than $1.25 a day increased slightly in most regions during the 1990s. However, a marked exception is Sub-Saharan Africa where average incomes of the poor did not increase—remaining at a meager $0.73 a day—pointing to the severity and depth of poverty in this region. Undernourishment and extreme poverty often go hand in hand. Hunger and malnutrition cause tremendous human suffering, killing millions of children every year, and costing developing countries billions of dollars through lost productivity. It is estimated that 864 million people worldwide were undernourished in 2002–2004, and 96 percent of undernourished people lived in developing countries.

1981

1990

2005

Source: Chen and Ravallion, 2008, "The developing world is poorer than we thought, but no less successful in the fight against poverty"

Child mortality is higher among children living in rural areas and poor households Under-five mortality rate (per 1,000), 1998–2006 120

100

80

60

All developing regions 3,000 2,500

People living on less than $1.25 a day Other developing regions

2,000

Source: World Bank, PovcalNet

1990

1993

1996

1999

2002

2005

0

East Asia & Pacific

South Asia

2005

1987

1990

20 10

1984

20

0

2005

Sub-Saharan Africa

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: The World Bank - IMF Library40Network IP : 138.220.77.170 30 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 1990

South Asia

2005

1,000

40

50

1990

East Asia & Pacific

500

18

2015 target

Percentage of people living below $1.25 a day, at 2005 PPPs 60

1,500

0 1981

Sub-Saharan Africa lags in achieving the MDG target of halving the poverty rate between 1990 and 2015

le le Ma Fema

an ral Ru Urb

0% 40% st 6 st ore Riche Po

Source: UNICEF

Sub-Saharan Africa

Source: World Bank, PovcalNet

Rich and poor (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

19


Europe & Central Asia 1990: 9 million 2005: 17 million

Poverty share of population living on less than $1.25 a day, 2005

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

50.0% or more Iceland

25.0–49.9%

Sweden Finland

Norway

10.0–24.9%

The Netherlands

C a n a d a

2.0–9.9%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

less than 2.0% no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

Bermuda (UK) US Virgin Islands (US) The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Middle East & North Africa 1990: 10 million 2005: 11 million St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Morocco Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Mauritania Mali

Senegal

Suriname

Guinea-Bissau

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin

Guinea

Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Latin America & Caribbean 1990: 43 million 2005: 46 million

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Kiribati

Spain

Monaco

S t a t e s

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia

B r a z i l

Kenya

Maldives

Tanzania

South Asia 1990: 579 million 2005: 596 million

Comoros

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Japan

Lao P.D.R.

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

East Asia & Pacific 1990: 873 million 2005: 316 million Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Rep. of Korea

n a

Vietnam Cambodia

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Thailand

Seychelles Peru

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria Hungary Moldova nce Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Bangladesh Qatar India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 1990: 299 million 2005: 391 million

New Zealand

Population living on less than $1.25 a day, 2005

Garbage surrounds run-down buildings in rural Indonesia

People living on less than $1.25 a day Developing country

millions (2005, PPP)

India

456

China

208

Nigeria

88

Bangladesh

76

Indonesia Pakistan Congo, Dem. Rep. of Tanzania, United Rep. of

Facts Africa has more countries with high poverty rates than any other developing region, but Asia has the most people living in extreme poverty. Although extreme poverty occurs mostly in rural areas, urban slum populations can also have a high poverty ratio.

47 If economic growth rates in developing countries are sustained, the Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 35Bank - IMF Library poverty target of the Millennium Development Goal of halving The World Network poverty by 2015 is likely to be achieved at the global level. 35IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 34

Ethiopia

29

Philippines

19

But, many developing countries are not on track to achieve the poverty reduction target.

Internet links World Bank: PovcalNet

iresearch.worldbank.org/ PovcalNet

World Bank: Country poverty assessments

www-wds.worldbank.org

United Nations Millennium Project

www.unmillenniumproject.org

World Development Report

econ.worldbank.org/wdr

(go to “By doc type” in left hand bar and select “Poverty assessment” from “Economic & Sector Work”)

Rich and poor

20 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

21


Malnourished children proportion of children under five who are underweight, 2000–2006, most recent year available

Greenland (Den)

30% or more

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

Sweden Finland

Norway

20–29%

The Netherlands

C a n a d a

10–19%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

5–9%

Denmark

Ireland

less than 5%

Fra

Luxembourg

no data

Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Morocco

US Virgin Islands (US)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Alg

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Former Spanish Sahara

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Cape Verde

Kiribati

Suriname

Mali

Guinea-Bissau

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Mauritania Senegal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Bangladesh Qatar Emirates Myanmar India Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Dem. Rep. Rwanda of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Malnourished children are vulnerable to diseases

Highest rates of malnutrition Rank

Country

children under 5 (%), 2000–2006

1

India

43.5

2

Yemen, Rep.

41.3

3

Timor-Leste

40.6

4

Niger

39.9

5

Bangladesh

6

Burundi

7

Nepal

8

Sudan

9

Madagascar

10

Lao PDR

39.2

Facts Malnutrition is an underlying cause for around half of all child deaths worldwide. 75 percent of the children who die from causes related to malnutrition were only mildly or moderately undernourished, showing the vulnerability of these children. More than one-quarter of children ages under 5 (about 140 million) in developing countries are underweight. Of these children, nearly three-quarters live in only 10 countries.

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: SouthNetwork Asia has the highest prevalence of underweight children, where 38.9 Bank - IMF Library The World more than 40 percent of children under five are underweight. 38.8IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 38.4 On average, children in rural areas are twice as likely to be underweight as children in urban areas, and poor children are more 36.8 than twice as likely to be underweight as rich children. 36.4

Internet links World Health Organization

www.who.int/nutgrowthdb/en/

UNICEF Childinfo

www.childinfo.org/ undernutrition.html

UNICEF

www.unicef.org/health/ index_statistics.html

Food and Agriculture Organization

www.fao.org/faostat/ foodsecurity/

Rich and poor

22 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

23


Global trends in population

Crowded street, Shanghai, China

Demography will shape the world of our children and grandchildren. Failure to slow population growth in the poorest countries is likely to mean a lower quality of life for millions of people. The key determinants of population size and structure are fertility, mortality, and migration.

Patterns for absolute population increase and annual growth rates differ by regions and their demographic situations 1965 East Asia & Pacific Europe & Central Asia Latin America & Caribbean Middle East & North Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa High income World

Population (millions) 1980 2006

980.6 331.1 246.6 110.7 634.7 254.8 755.4 3,313.9

1,359.1 389.0 356.6 167.2 903.3 386.0 869.8 4,431.0

Growth rate (%) 1965–1980 1980–2006

1,898.8 445.0 556.1 308.1 1,499.4 781.3 1,049.5 6,538.2

2.18 1.07 2.46 2.75 2.35 2.77 0.94 1.94

1.34 0.54 1.78 2.45 2.03 2.82 0.75 1.56

Source: World Bank estimates

The twentieth century witnessed extraordinary growth of world population— from 1.6 billion in 1900 to 6.1 billion in 2000. Most of this growth—80 percent since 1950— was in developing countries. The uneven regional growth reduced the developed countries’ share of world population from one-third to one-fifth over the century. Europe’s relative share of world population fell most—from one-quarter in 1900 to merely one-eighth in 2000.

But Sub-Saharan Africa, whose population nearly tripled in the same time period, had the highest growth rate. The fertility and mortality trends that shaped the current population profiles of countries will influence their demographic futures. In the industrial world, increasing life expectancy has coincided with income growth and healthier lifestyles. But with a fertility rate of 1.7 births per woman—well below replacement level—the average age of the population will rise, and population size may fall in the absence of immigration. In

In contrast, Asia, with over half the world’s population in 1950, added over two billion people to its population over the next 40 years.

Population growth rates are highest in Sub-Saharan Africa, and have remained unchanged in Europe and Central Asia for the past decade Population growth, annual (%) 3.5

fact, large increases in migration will be needed to stabilize the labor force and maintain current levels of welfare. In developing countries, life expectancy at birth increased steadily for the developing region as a whole, from 41 years in 1950 to 66 years in 2006. Fertility rates have declined, but at 2.7 births per woman, they remain well above those in high-income countries, fueling population growth as births exceed deaths. With about 30 percent of the population in developing countries below age 15, the working-age population will bear the burden of dependent children for some time to come. In high-income countries with declining birth rates and 14 percent of the population over the age of 65, the dependency burden is increasingly that of the elderly population. Although fertility and mortality are the largest factors affecting demographic change, migration can be important. A majority of international migrants are from developing countries. These migrants make up a significant part of population growth in industrial countries where fertility is so low that annual deaths exceed annual births. However, the total number of migrants is too small to have much impact on population growth in most developing countries.

In high-income countries, the dependency burden is increasingly that of the elderly population, as birth rates decline Dependency ratio (as a proportion of working-age population) in high-income countries 1.0

Young (ages 0–14) 0.8

Old (ages 65+)

0.6

0.4

0.2

0

1970

1980

1990

2006

Source: World Bank estimates

In contrast, the working-age population in developing countries will continue to support young children for some time to come Dependency ratio (as a proportion of working-age population) in low- and middle-income countries 1.0

Young (ages 0–14) 0.8

Old (ages 65+)

0.6

3.0 2.5

Most people in developing countries are living longer

0.4

2.0

Life expectancy, years 1.5 1.0 0.5

High income

0.0 -0.5

60

19

24

East Asia & Pacific

Latin America & Caribbean

South Asia

Europe & Central Asia

Middle East & North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

65

19

Source: World Bank estimates

70

19

75

19

80

19

85

19

90 19

19

95

00 20

80 70 60 Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: The World Bank - IMF Library50Network IP : 138.220.77.170 40 30 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 20 10 0 East Asia & 05 Pacific 20

1990 2006

0.2

0

Europe & Central Asia

Latin America & Middle East & Caribbean North Africa

South Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

1970

1980

1990

2006

Source: World Bank estimates

Source: World Bank estimates

People (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

25


Population growth annual average growth rate, 2000–2007

Greenland (Den)

3.0% or more 2.0–2.9%

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

1.0–1.9%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

0.0–0.9%

C a n a d a

less than 0.0%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Morocco

US Virgin Islands (US)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Alg

Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Cape Verde

Kiribati

Mali

Suriname

Guinea-Bissau

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Mauritania Senegal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Tanzania

B r a z i l

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Peru

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Fiji

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Mother and child health clinic, Kisumu, Kenya

Countries with the highest population in 2015 Rank

Country

Projected population (millions)

1

China

1,383

2

India

1,233

3

United States

324

4

Indonesia

245

5

Brazil

209

6

Pakistan

7

Bangladesh

8

Nigeria

9

Russian Federation

10

Japan

Facts

Internet links

It took human history up to the early 1800s to reach 1 billion people; today the world gains 1 billion people every 12 to 14 years.

UN Population Information Network

www.un.org/popin

The world’s population is expected to reach 9.1 billion by 2050, with virtually all population growth occurring in developing countries.

UN Population Fund

www.unfpa.org

Demographic and Health Surveys

www.measuredhs.com

World Bank HNPstats

www.worldbank.org/hnpstats

Population Reference Bureau

www.prb.org

Sub-Saharan Africa will experience the largest proportional increase, Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: from Network 13 percent of the world’s population today to 19 percent by 2050. 192 Bank - IMF Library The World 180 IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 176 Population growth over the next few decades will be determined by two factors which are difficult to predict: the pace of fertility decline 135 in some developing countries and the course of the HIV/AIDS epidemic. 125

People

26 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

27


Life expectancy life expectancy at birth, 2006

Greenland (Den)

less than 50 years 50–59 years

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

60–69 years

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

70–74 years

C a n a d a

75 years or more

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Morocco

US Virgin Islands (US)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Alg

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Former Spanish Sahara

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Cape Verde

Kiribati

Suriname Ecuador

Mali

Guinea-Bissau

Poland

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Mauritania Senegal

Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin

Guinea

Sierra Leone

Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

B r a z i l

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Fiji

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

A child in Botswana can only expect to reach, on average, the age of 50

Countries with the highest and lowest life expectancies, 2006 Highest countries

years

Japan

82

Hong Kong, China

82

Switzerland

82

Italy Australia

Lowest countries Mozambique Angola Sierra Leone Zambia Swaziland

Facts Life expectancies for Lesotho, Swaziland, and Zimbabwe declined by over 15 years between 1990 and 2006, the result of the HIV/AIDS epidemic.

In Japan, Italy, and Germany, over 20 percent of the population are 65 years and older; combined with total fertility rates of only 1.3 births per women, this potentially promotes labor shortages in 81 the absence of in-migration. Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: Today,Network only 11 countries have a median age above 40 years. By 2050, The World 42 Bank - IMF Library it is projected that there will be 89 countries in that group, 45 in the IP : 138.220.77.170 42 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 developing world.

Internet links UN Population Information Network

www.un.org/popin

UN Population Fund

www.unfpa.org

Demographic and Health Surveys

www.measuredhs.com

World Bank HNPstats

www.worldbank.org/hnpstats

Population Reference Bureau

www.prb.org

81

42 42 41

In most countries fertility rates, rather than mortality rates, will determine future population size.

People

28 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

29


Out of school children, 2006

Primary completion rate (% of relevant age group)

Europe & Central Asia 3%

120

Latin America & Caribbean 3% Middle East & North Africa 4% High income 4%

100 80

East Asia & Pacific 12%

60 Sub-Saharan Africa 50% 1991 2006

1991 2006

1991 2006

1991 2006

1991 2006

20

1991 2006

40

a & & & & an Asi pe a ast a ica sia har ca t A cific Euro l Asi mer bean dle E Afric outh -Sa Afri b a b A S i r d Eas Pa u h S nt atin Car Mi Nort Ce L

South Asia 24%

Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics

To compete in today’s knowledge-driven economy and shifting global markets, countries need a flexible, skilled work force, able to create and apply knowledge. This is usually achieved through strong secondary and tertiary education systems. While all

Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics

Girls, children from poor families, and those living in rural areas, are less likely to complete schooling Grade completion by wealth, ages 15–19, Cameroon 2004 (%)

Grade completed by urban-rural residence, ages 15–19, Cameroon 2004 (%)

100

richest quintile

100

poorest quintile

80

80 60

60

40

40

0

30

1

2

3

4

5

6

Grade completed

7

8

9

>9

0

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: The World Bank - IMF LibraryBurkina Network Faso IP : 138.220.77.170 Cambodia Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02

2

3

4

5

6

Grade completed

7

8

80 60 40 20

Tertiary gross enrollment ratio, 2006 (% of relevant age group)

70

Children in many countries work, making the goal of universal primary education elusive rural

1

100

80

urban

20

20

Secondary gross enrollment ratio, 2006 (% of relevant age group)

0

Beyond primary schooling

0

Secondary and tertiary enrollment in all regions lag behind those of developed countries

tA s Pac ia & ific E Ce uro ntr pe al A & Lat sia in Am Ca eric rib a & bea Mi n d No dle E rth ast Afr & ica So uth Asi a Su b-S aha Afr ran ica Hi gh couincom n tr e ies

And many children continue to be outside the school system

Primary completion rates have improved, but regional differences remain

More boys than girls are enrolled in and complete primary school. Children in poor families and those living in rural areas are less likely to enroll in school and more likely to drop out earlier. There are many reasons why children drop out and stay out of school or never enroll in school. Schools may be inaccessible or of poor quality, especially in rural areas; parents may keep children at home because of high school costs; or there may be demands for children’s labor and their income. In Burkina Faso, 50 percent of children ages 7 to 14 worked in 2004. Almost all of these worked full time, with only two percent combining work with school. In contrast, while over 50 percent of children in Cambodia are economically active, nearly 85 percent manage to combine work with schooling.

Eas

Worldwide, an estimated 75 million primary school-age children remained out of school in 2005. About 75 percent of these are in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia.

9

>9

Year

Economically active children % of children ages 7–14

60 50 40

Work only % of children ages 7–14

Study and work % of total working children

2004

50

98

2

2001

52

16

84

Chile

2003

4

3

97

India

2000

5

90

10

Source: Understanding Children’s Work (UCW)

Source: Demographic and Health Survey

30 20 10 0

tA s Pac ia & ific E Ce uro ntr pe al A & Lat sia in Am Ca eric rib a & bea Mi n d No dle E rth ast Afr & ica So uth Asi a Su b-S aha Afr ran ica Hi gh couincom n tr e ies

Since 1990, the world has promised that by 2015 all children would be able to complete a full course of primary

education. Primary completion rates—the proportion of children completing the last year of primary school—directly measure progress towards this goal. Two regions, Latin America and the Caribbean, and East Asia and Pacific, have already reached this goal, and Europe and Central Asia are on track. But Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, with primary completion rates of just 60 and 80 percent respectively, are in danger of falling short.

regions have made progress in expanding secondary and tertiary enrollments between 1991 and 2005, only two regions—Europe and Central Asia, and Latin America and the Caribbean—have an enrollment rate of over 80 percent in secondary education. In East Asia and Pacific, which has achieved universal primary education, about 70 percent of children are enrolled in secondary schools. In Sub-Saharan Africa, where primary enrollment is lower than all other regions, secondary enrollment ratio is even lower, about 30 percent. Only Europe and Central Asia has tertiary enrollment reaching 50 percent.

Eas

Education opens doors

Education prepares children to participate in their society and in the global economy. School enrollment rates are rising, but many children still do not enroll or complete primary schooling. Ensuring that all children receive a good quality education is the foundation of sustainable development and poverty alleviation.

Community school in Macaci a suburb of Abidjan – Centre d’Action Communautaire, Côte d’Ivoire

Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics

Education (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

31


Education for all primary completion rate, 2003–2006, most recent year available

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

less than 50% Iceland

50–69%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

70–84%

C a n a d a

85–94%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

95% or more no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Morocco

British Virgin Islands (UK)

The Bahamas

Cuba Jamaica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Alg

US Virgin Islands (US)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Mexico

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Cape Verde

Kiribati

Mauritania Mali

Senegal Guinea-Bissau

Suriname

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Bangladesh Qatar India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Maldives

Kenya

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

In rural areas children often face a long walk to school

Lowest primary completion rates, 2003–2006 Rank

Country

%

1

Central African Republic

24

2

Chad

31

3

Burkina Faso

4

Niger

5

Rwanda

6

Burundi

7

Congo, Dem. Rep.

8

Mozambique

9

Côte d'Ivoire

10

Ethiopia

Facts Approximately 63 percent of the countries in the world have achieved gender parity at the primary level, compared with 37 percent at secondary and less than 3 percent at the tertiary level.

Globally, about 130 million students were enrolled in tertiary education in 2004, up from 68 million in 1991. Over half of the world’s tertiary students live in East Asia and the Pacific, 35 North America, Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: and Western Europe. 36Bank - IMF Library Network The World 38IP : 138.220.77.170 On average, the literacy gaps between adult men and women are Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 largest in South Asia (70 percent vs. 46 percent), followed by Middle 42 East and North Africa (83 percent vs. 63 percent), and Sub-Saharan 43 Africa (69 percent vs. 50 percent). 31

Internet links UNESCO

www.unesco.org

UNESCO Institute for Statistics

www.uis.unesco.org

World Bank Edstats

www.edstats.worldbank.org

Demographic and Health Survey

www.measuredhs.com

33

43

Education

32 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

33


The incidence of child work varies substantially by country

Children from poor families, and those living in rural areas, are more likely to be working.

Economically active children (% of children ages 7–14)

Working children by gender, 1999–2006 (%) 20

60

15

50

10

40

5

30

0

20 10 0

Male

Female

Working children by urban/rural residence, 1999–2006 (%) 20 Jamaica, 2002

Bangladesh, 2003

Peru, 2000

Mali, 2005 15 10

Children who only work, and who work and study (%) work only

5

study and work 0

100

80

Rural

Urban

Working children by wealth quintiles, 1999–2006 (%) 20

The majority of working children is in the agricultural sector Children at work by economic activities 100

Child work and enrollment 80 100 60 40 20 0

Brazil, 2004

Cambodia, 2001

agriculture

In developing countries, the majority of child workers is involved in unpaid family work

Most children work long hours

Distribution of working children ages 5–14 by employment status (%)

Dominican Republic, 2002a

53.3

Guatemala, 2003

43.8

Zimbabwe, 1999

43.3

Mali, 2005

41.5

Turkey, 1999

41.3

Mexico, 2004b

40.9

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: The World Bank - IMF Library Network 40 IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:0220

10

20

5

0

0 Jamaica

Bangladesh

Source: Understanding Children's Work (UCW)

Peru

Mali

0 Poorest 20%

Second 20%

Source: UNICEF Childinfo

Third 20%

Fourth 20%

Richest 20%

Romania, 2000

service

Many poor families are unable to afford school fees or other school costs. The family may depend on the income that a working child brings to the household and may place more importance on children’s work than on education. If children work long hours, they cannot find sufficient time to go to school, even though many of them try to juggle work and education. Girls are particularly disadvantaged, as they often undertake household chores after work. In many countries, the schools in poor areas are under-resourced and of low quality, with poor facilities, oversized classes, and inadequately trained teachers. Families will often keep children at home rather than send them to schools in poor conditions. The Millennium Development Goal of providing universal primary education to all children by 2015 cannot be attained unless the factors that push children to work and prevent poor families from sending children to school are addressed.

60

40

Uganda, 2005-06

Labor interferes with children’s education

80

15

India, 2000

manufacturing

Source: Understanding Children's Work

100

60

Working children are less likely to be enrolled in schools and more likely to repeat grades

Argentina

Ethiopia

Turkey

80

60

40

20

0

20 40 60 Children at work (% of children ages 7–14)

Child work and school repeaters 40

30

20

a

Data are for children ages 10–14

b

Data are for children ages 12–14

10

0

0

20

40

60

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

80

Children at work (% of children ages 7–14)

Source: Understanding Children's Work (UCW) and UNESCO Institute for Statistics Source: Understanding Children's Work (UCW)

Education

34

80

Average weekly working hours, children ages 7–14 (children who work only)

wage and salary workers self-employed workers unpaid family workers Source: Understanding Children's Work (UCW)

Net enrollment ratio, primary (% of relevant age group)

Children living in the poorest households and in rural areas are most likely to be involved in child labor. Those burdened with household chores are overwhelmingly girls. The majority of working children, around 70 percent, is in the agricultural sector. Many work for long hours on farms and plantations owned by their families, often without pay. They plant and harvest crops using sharp tools designed for adults, spray toxic pesticides, and tend livestock. Agriculture is one of the three most hazardous sectors—along with mining and construction—in terms of fatalities, accidents, and ill health.

% of repeaters, primary

Children at work

About 200 million children ages 5 to 14 work. The type of children’s work ranges widely—from simple tasks within the family, to long hours of harmful and damaging work. Children’s work often interferes with education, and could damage normal physical and mental development, reducing their future opportunities to join the productive workforce and get out of poverty.

35


Children at work economically active children as a percentage of children ages 7–14, 1994–2006, most recent year available

Greenland (Den)

40% or more

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

25–39%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

15–24%

C a n a d a

5–14%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

less than 5% no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Morocco

US Virgin Islands (US)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Alg

Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Kiribati

Mali

Senegal

Suriname

Guinea-Bissau

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Mauritania

Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Children on their way home from farm-work, Son La province, northern Vietnam.

Highest proportion of working children Rank

Country

Children at work

(% of children ages 7–14)

1

Guinea-Bissau

67.5

2

Central African Rep.

67.0

3

Sierra Leone

65.0

4

Chad

5

Ethiopia

6

Cambodia

7

Mali

8

Burkina Faso

9

Guinea

10

Zambia

Facts Worldwide, over 300 million children — 16 percent of the population ages 5 to 17 — are engaged in some kind of work.

Internet links UNICEF Childinfo

www.childinfo.org/labour.html

Understanding Children’s Work Project

www.ucw-project.org

International Labour Organization

www.ilo.org/global/Themes/ Child_Labour/lang--en/ index.htm

In Sub-Saharan Africa, 26 percent of the children are economically active, compared with 5 percent in Latin America and the Caribbean.

For many poor families, child labor represents a significant share of the family income. For example, in Brazilian households in which 56.0 children work, Delivered by The World Bank e-library to:child labor represents 17 percent of urban household income and 22 percent of rural household income. 52.3 Bank - IMF Library The World Network 52.3 IP : 138.220.77.170 In countries with high proportions of children ages 7 to 14 who are Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 50.0 working, male employment is higher than female employment. In Nepal, however, over 50 percent of girls work, compared with about 48.3 40 percent of boys. 47.9 60.4

Education

36 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

37


Gap between male and female labor force participation rate (percentage point) Developing countries

0

Nepal 2006

Source: Demographic and Health Survey

5 0

na en ti Arg

Manufacturing

Service

0.8 1980

1990

2000

2006

0.6

Source: ILO KILM 5th edition

0.4

ha Afr ran ica

Su b

-Sa

Am Ca erica rib & bea n

Lat in

0.0

Source: World Bank and OECD, Equality for Women: Where do we stand?, 2008

Women's political participation has increased, but is still low everywhere Women in parliaments (% of total seats)

25 20 15 10

0

Source: Inter Parliamentary Union

Education

38 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

2007

2000

5

2007

Less rewarding employment opportunities and lower wages mean that women face a high risk of poverty. In no region of the developing world do women have equal access to social services and productive resources, and women’s in politics and government also Delivered by The World Bankparticipation e-library to: The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170remains limited, making it difficult for them to Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 influence policy. In the Middle East and North Africa region, women occupy less than Uganda 2006 10 percent of parliamentary seats.

0.2

Ce Euro ntr pe al A & sia

during the transition from school to work. Improvements in labor force participation have lagged behind enrollment ratios. Too often women work as unpaid family workers or occupy low-paid, low-status jobs. Women’s earnings tend to be lower than men’s, especially in manufacturing. In East Asia and Pacific, women’s hourly earnings in manufacturing are only 39 percent of those of men’s.

gh couincom ntr e ies

ha Afr ran ica

50

ine s

Agriculture 1.0

10

Hi

20

Ph ilip p

sta n Pak i

25

2000

100

Su b-S a

Ge org ia

Ratio of female to male hourly earnings by region, 1992–2006

30

2007

60 40

And when women work, they earn less than men

High-income countries

35

2000

Secondary or higher

150

80

Source: ILO KILM 5th edition

De v Co elopi un ng trie s

Primary

200

boys

100

a

0

… but women's labor force participation remains far below that of men

ha Afr ran ica

girls

Asi

10

Su b-S a

120

20

2007

No education

Primary completion rate, 2006 (% of relevant age group)

th

2005

2000

Under-five mortality rate by mother's education level, per 1,000

So u

2000

2000

...but progress shows some variations.

Am Ca erica rib & bea n Mi dd l No e E rth ast Afr & ica

1991

Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics

2007

Mother's education has a big impact on child survival

in

30

2007

Boys

Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics

Lat

0

2000

Does better access to education mean more opportunities and better pay for women?

20

Ce Euro ntr pe al A & sia

3

2007

40

tA s Pac ia & ific

40

6

2000

60

Eas

50

9

20

For women to realize the full benefits of improved educational opportunities, more attention must be paid to ensuring equality of economic opportunities, especially

Source: UNESCO Institute for Statistics

12

tA s Pac ia & ific

80

female

Ce Euro ntr pe al A & sia Lat in Am Ca erica r ib & bea n Mi dd l e No E rth ast Afr & ica So uth Asi a

2006

male

60

Eas

100

0

High-income countries

Unpaid family workers, 2005 (% of employment)

2007

1991

Girls

15

15

Primary completion rate for developing countries (% of relevant age group)

0

Gap between male and female gross primary enrollment ratios (percentage point) Developing countries

2000

Gap between boys and girls in primary completion rate has narrowed down since 1991...

Despite great improvement in girls’ enrollment rates, in 2005 over 40 million girls—55 percent of all children out of school—did not attend primary school. About two-thirds of all illiterate adults— almost 500 million—were women. In some countries, girls are less likely to receive medical treatment than boys because of parental discrimination and neglect. Mothers’ illiteracy and lack of schooling disadvantage their young children. For example, in Nepal, children of mothers with no education are three times more likely to die before their fifth birthday, compared with the children of mothers with secondary or higher education.

tA s Pac ia & ific

The economic and social status of women has improved. More girls than ever before are completing primary school, women’s labor force participation is increasing, and fertility rates are declining. But persistent inequalities also keep women at a disadvantage and limit the ability of societies to grow, reduce poverty, and govern effectively.

This is because more women than men work in family enterprises with no pay

Eas

Gender and development

The education gap has narrowed...

39


Gender equity ratio of girls to boys in primary and secondary education, 2003–2006, most recent year available

Greenland (Den)

less than 80%

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

80–89%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

90–97%

C a n a d a

98–100%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

101% or more no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Morocco

British Virgin Islands (UK) The Bahamas US Virgin Dominican Islands (US) Republic St. Kitts and Nevis Puerto Cuba Rico (US) Antigua and Barbuda Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Cape Verde

Kiribati

Mauritania Mali

Senegal Guinea-Bissau

Suriname

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Maldives

Kenya

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Students taking year end exams at Martyr Kardi School in Sana’a, Yemen.

Countries with the lowest ratios of girls to boys enrollment, 2003–2006 Rank

Developing countries

Ratio (%)

1

Chad

61

2

Yemen, Rep.

66

3

Niger

70

4

Eritrea

72

5

Congo, Dem. Rep.

6

Togo

7

Benin

8

Mali

9

Guinea

10

Pakistan

Facts

Internet links

In 2005, of the 770 million people who were illiterate, 64 percent were women—a share that has remained unchanged since 1990.

World Bank Genderstats

www.worldbank.org/genderstats

In the Middle East and North Africa, women’s labor force participation varies more by income than it does for men. Women in the top two income quintiles have higher participation rates than poorer women, with the majority employed in the formal sectors.

UNESCO Institute for Statistics

www.uis.unesco.org

Inter Parliamentary Union

www.ipu.org

UNICEF Child info

www.childinfo.org/education.html

73 Survey results indicate that women with post-primary education Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: are five times more likely than illiterate women to know facts 73 The World Bank - IMF Library Network about HIV/AIDS. IP73: 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 74 Women’s political participation remains low in both developed and developing countries, currently at 20 percent and 16 percent of seats 74 in parliament, respectively. 78

Education

40 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

41


Women in employment share of women in total employment, 2006

Greenland (Den)

less than 25% 25–34%

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

35–39%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

40–44%

C a n a d a

45% or more

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Morocco

British Virgin Islands (UK) The Bahamas US Virgin Dominican Islands (US) Republic St. Kitts and Nevis Puerto Cuba Rico (US) Antigua and Barbuda Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Barbados

Kiribati

Mali

Suriname

Guinea-Bissau

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Mauritania Senegal

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Maldives

Kenya

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

B r a z i l

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Maputo-Fapel, paper mill and paper recycling factory; women working in the recycling section

Countries with the lowest share of women in total employment, 2006 Rank

Country

Share of women (%)

1

Saudi Arabia

14

2

West Bank and Gaza

14

3

United Arab Emirates

14

4

Oman

17

5

Egypt, Arab Rep.

6

Sudan

7

Jordan

8

Kuwait

9

Morocco

10

Pakistan

Facts

Internet links

In six countries, almost all of them in Middle East and North Africa, less than 25 percent of women ages 15 and over were in the labor force.

World Bank Genderstats

www.worldbank.org/genderstats

In South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, about two-thirds of women work in the agricultural sector, while usually more women work in service sectors in other regions.

Inter Parliamentary Union

www.ipu.org

International Labour Organization

http://laborsta.ilo.org/ www.ilo.org/public/english/employment/ strat/kilm

Demographic and Health Surveys

www.measuredhs.com

18

Women often Delivered by The World Bank e-library to:work as unpaid family workers. In Ethiopia, almost 24 Bank - IMF Library 70 percent of women are unpaid family workers. The World Network 25IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 In many countries women’s access to paid employment is limited. 26 In Pakistan, only 10 percent of women are in paid employment in 26 industry and service sectors. 26

Education

42 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

43


Children under five—struggling to survive

Each year, almost 10 million children die before their fifth birthday. Of these, the vast majority dies from causes that are preventable through a combination of good care, nutrition, and simple medical treatment. Child mortality is thus closely linked to poverty, with child malnutrition implicated in more than half of the deaths worldwide.

Child mortality has declined in every region since 1960, when 1 in 5 children died before the age of 5. By 1990, this rate had fallen to 1 in 10 children. Since then, progress has slowed, and a few countries in Sub-Saharan Africa actually experienced increases in child mortality. In 2006, 41 countries had under-5 mortality rates greater than 100 per 1,000. Ten countries — all of them in Sub-Saharan Africa—had under-5 mortality rates greater than 200. In developing countries today, 1 in 13 children dies before their fifth birthday, compared with 1 in 143 in high-income countries.

Under five mortality (per 1,000) 300 East Asia & Pacific

Latin America & Caribbean

South Asia

Europe & Central Asia

Middle East & North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

200 150 100 50

0

19

60

19

65

19

70

19

75

19

Source: Harmonized estimates by UNICEF, WHO, UNFPA, UNPD and WB

80

19

85

0 199

6 200

0 200

5 199

Latin America & Caribbean 0.3

in Car

Lat

d Mi North

East Asia & Pacific 0.9

Total 75,211,570

Sub-Saharan Africa 4.8

South Asia 3.1

Source: UNICEF Progress for children (December 2007), page 18

Just five diseases—pneumonia, diarrhea, malaria, measles, and AIDS—account for half of all deaths in children under age 5. Malnutrition is implicated in more than half of all child deaths worldwide. It weakens children’s immune systems and reduces resistance to disease. The process often begins at birth, when poorly nourished mothers give birth to underweight babies. Improper feeding and child care practices contribute to worsen malnutrition.

2006

1990

2006

1990

2006

1990

2006

1990

2006

1990

1990

2006

ntr Ce

CEE-CIS 0.1 High-income 0.1

Middle East & North Africa 0.4

Low-cost treatments and interventions such as early and exclusive breast feeding, antibiotics for respiratory infecImmunizations are a cheap and effective way to reduce childhood deaths, yet many children in developing tions, oral rehydration for diarrhea, immunization, and the countries are not vaccinated use of treated bed nets and appropriate drugs in malarial Child immunization, measles (% of children ages 12–23 months) regions could prevent many unnecessary deaths. In 2006, 100 almost 80 percent of children in developing countries were 80 immunized against measles, but regional differences remain. Improved public services, such as safe water and 60 sanitation and education, especially for girls and mothers, 40 Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: can help save children’s lives. Greater effort is needed to The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170make sure the services reach people in rural areas and in 20 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 poor families, because these people suffer the most but are 0 sia t &a an a a &n e &a r a & ic s A c i p i a a s E ic the hardest to reach. ro si A if er ea ah ric uth Eu al A dle Afr ast Pac Am ibb So b-S Af E

Nearly half the children who die before their fifth birthday live in Sub-Saharan Africa Estimated number of under five deaths, 2006 (millions)

Under-5 mortality is significantly lower among children living in urban areas and in richer households. These children are more likely to have access to better health care and to avail themselves of these services.

In developing countries, many children still die before their fifth birthday

250

Children of a slum-dwelling family have a high risk of dying before the age of five

Su

Source: UNICEF and WHO

Children living in rural areas and poor households are less likely to avail themselves of health care and have less access to other services Under five mortality (per 1,000) rural urban 150

120

90

60

30

0

esh lad 004 2

ng

Ba

ia zan Tan 2004

co roc 4 Mo 03-0 0 2

Under five mortality (per 1,000)

poorest richest

300 250 200 150 100 50 0

000

ia 2 en Arm

003

a2 livi Bo

Ni

ia 2 ger

00

3

Source: Demographic and Health Surveys

Health

44 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

45


Child mortality under five mortality rate per 1,000, 2006

Greenland (Den.)

100 or more 35–99

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

20–34

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

10–19

C a n a d a

less than 10

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Cuba

Morocco

British Virgin Islands (UK) Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Alg

US Virgin Islands (US)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Kiribati

Mauritania Mali

Senegal

Suriname

Guinea-Bissau

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Turkmenistan Greece Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Bangladesh Qatar India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Fiji

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Health care for children in a clinic in Honduras

Highest prevalence of under five mortality rate Rank

Country

(per 1,000) 2006

1

Sierra Leone

270

2

Angola

260

3

Niger

253

4

Liberia

235

5

Mali

6

Chad

7

Congo, Dem. Rep.

8

Burkina Faso

9

Guinea-Bissau

10

Nigeria

Facts Every hour, more than 1,000 children die before their fifth birthday. Of the approximately 10 million deaths annually to children under age 5, half occur in Sub-Saharan Africa.

217 In South Asia, Delivered by The World Bank e-library to:almost half the children are underweight. Its long term 209Bank - IMF Library consequences The World Network are diminished productive capacity in adulthood. IP : 138.220.77.170 205 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 204 Almost 70 percent of children under the age of 5 die in the first 12 200 months. 191

Internet links UNICEF Childinfo

www.childinfo.org/ mortality.html

World Health Organization

www.who.int/child_adolescent_ health/data/child/en

World Bank, HNPstats

www.worldbank.org/hnpstats

Demographic and Health Surveys

www.measuredhs.com

Health

46 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

47


30 percent are mothers or are pregnant. Many adolescent pregnancies are unintended, but young girls may continue their pregnancies, giving up opportunities for education and employment, or seek unsafe abortions. Forty percent of all abortions are performed on women under age 25.

Source: WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA and WB, 2007. Maternal mortality in 2005

The lifetime risk of dying from pregnancy-related causes is unacceptably high in Sub-Saharan Africa Lifetime risk of dying from pregnancy-related causes, by region, 2005 5

1 in 22

4

Source: WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA and WB, 2007. Maternal mortality in 2005

0

Source: UNICEF

0 & an sia t& a& e& har ca Asi cific urop Asia ericaean e Eas frica uth A t -Sa Afri E ral m ribb ddl h A So b A Eas Pa Su in a Mi ort nt Ce Lat C N Source: Gwatkin and others 2007

Contraceptive use is very low in Sub-Saharan Africa Contraceptive prevalence rate around 1990 and around 2006 (% of married women ages 15–49)

60

Many developing countries still have a long way to go to provide basic health care to pregnant women

40 20

0 & an sia t& a& e& har ca Asi cific urop Asia ericaean e Eas frica uth A t -Sa Afri E ral m ribb ddl h A So b A Eas Pa Su in a Mi ort nt Ce Lat C N Source: UNICEF

In some countries, a high percentage of adolescent girls have children Teenage mothers (% of women ages 15–19) 50

Pregnant women receiving prenatal care, around 1990 and around 2006 (%) 100

40

80

30

60

20

0

& sia c t A cifi Eas Pa Source: UNICEF

1990 2006

Teenage pregnancies are high risk for both mother and child. They are more likely to result in premature delivery, low birth weight, delivery complications, and death. In SubSaharan Africa, South Asia, and Latin America and the Caribbean, more than 10 percent of girls ages 15 to 19 are mothers. In Bangladesh and Mozambique, more than

& e& ca rop sia eri ean Eu tral A Amaribb n i n Ce Lat C

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

& ast ca le E fri dd rth A i M No

uth

So

A si

a ran

ha -Sa

ica

Afr

2006

1990

2006

1990

2006

1990

2006

1990

2006

1990

10 2006

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: The World Bank - IMF Library Network 40 IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:0220

a a & & & & Asi fric pe a sia c ica ast a nA t A cifi Euro l Asi mer bbean le E Afric outh S ara Eas Pa tra tin A Cari Midd rth h a n Ce La No b-S Su

20

80

Teenage mothers

1990

2006

1990

2006

1990

2006

1990

2006

20

1990

ha Afr ran ica

Su b-S a

th

Asi

a

40

So u

become pregnant against their will, and 45 million seek abortions; about 20 million of these abortions are performed by untrained providers. Contraceptive use among women in developing countries has risen, from 14 percent of married women ages 15 to 49 in 1965 to 60 percent in 2006. But there is much variation. In Sub-Saharan Africa, only about 20 percent of women plan their pregnancies.

2006

60

1 in 160

Mi d No dle E rth ast Afr & ica

Am Ca erica rib & bea n

in

Lat

Eas tA s Pac ia & ific

1 in 280

1 in 1,400

Ce Euro ntr pe al A & sia

1 in 340

80

1990

1 in 59

1

40

100

2006

2

48

Mothers in developing countries, especially in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa, still lack adequate health care during childbirth Births attended by skilled health staff, around 1990 and around 2006 (%)

3

0

Compounding the risks of poor reproductive health care are poorly timed and inadequately spaced births, which expose women to frequent pregnancies in short intervals. Although cheap and easy methods of preventing unwanted pregnancies are available, every year 120 million couples hoping to avoid pregnancy do not use contraception. As a result, 80 million women

60

1990 2006

2005

1990

2005

Su b-S aha Afr ran ica

th

Asi a

1990

2005

So u

Mi d No dle E rth ast Afr & ica

1990

2005

1990

2005

1990

Lat

Ce Euro ntr pe al A & sia

Eas

0

tA s Pac ia & ific

200

in Am Ca erica rib & bea n

1990

400

2005

600

80

1990 2006

800

Births attended by skilled health personnel by quintile (poorest and richest) poorest richest 100

1990 2006

1000

Poor women receive much less assistance during delivery than rich women

1990 2006

Maternal mortality ratio (per 100,000 live births)

High maternal mortality rates in many countries are the result of inadequate health care before, during, and after pregnancy. The situation is improving, but only 70 percent of pregnant women in South Asia had at least one prenatal care visit during pregnancy. Access to skilled care during childbirth is lower still. Only about 45 percent of births in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa are attended by skilled health staff, compared with 99 percent in high-income countries. In any country, poor women are much less likely to receive skilled care during childbirth.

1990 2006

Women are at much higher risk of dying in childbirth in South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa

Because of high maternal mortality and fertility rates, women in Africa face a 1 in 22 risk of a pregnancy-related death, and risks to women from the poorest families are even greater. In contrast, the lifetime risk to women in high-income countries is only 1 in 6,700.

1990

Improving the health of mothers

Postnatal care, India

Complications from pregnancy and childbirth are a leading cause of death and disability among women of reproductive age in developing countries. In 2005, more than half a million women died from pregnancyrelated causes, and about 200 million women suffered life-threatening complications and disabilities. Over 99 percent of all maternal deaths occur in developing counties, the majority in Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia.

0

Armenia 2005

Bangladesh 2004

Mozambique 2003

Bolivia 2003

Source: Macro International

b Su

Health

49


Total fertility rate births per woman, 2006

Greenland (Den)

5.0 or more 3.5–4.9

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

2.2–3.4

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

1.5–2.1

C a n a d a

less than 1.5

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Alg

US Virgin Islands (US)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Morocco

British Virgin Islands (UK)

The Bahamas Mexico

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Kiribati

Suriname Ecuador

Mauritania Mali

Senegal Guinea-Bissau

Poland

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin

Guinea

Sierra Leone

Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

A mother and child receive free vitamin A at a government health clinic, Hanoi

Countries with low level of contraceptive use, 2000–2007, most recent year available Country

(% of women, ages 15–49)

Chad

3

Sierra Leone

5

Angola

6

Sudan

8

Eritrea

8

Mauritania Mali Burundi

Facts Every minute of every day, most often in a developing country, a woman dies from complications related to pregnancy or childbirth. This means that, at a minimum, over 500,000 women die every year.

UNICEF

www.unicef.org/health/index_ maternalhealth.html

Nearly all maternal deaths (99 percent) occur in the developing world—making maternal mortality the health statistic with the largest disparity between developed and developing countries.

UNICEF Childinfo

www.childinfo.org/health.html

World Health Organization

www.who.int/topics/maternal_ health/en/

World Bank HNPstats

www.worldbank.org/hnpstats

Inter-agency Group on Safe Motherhood

www.safemotherhood.org

Fore-library every woman Delivered by The World Bank to: who dies, 30 to 50 women suffer injury, infection, or disease. Pregnancy-related complications are among the leading The World8Bank - IMF Library Network causes of death and disability for women age 15 to 49 in 8IP : 138.220.77.170 developing countries. Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 9

Guinea

9

Liberia

10

Internet links

About 13 percent of maternal deaths worldwide result from unsafe abortions.

Health

50 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

51


Communicable diseases—too little progress

Communicable diseases such as HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, and malaria kill millions of people each year. They exact a terrible toll on society and the economy of developing countries. Although international awareness and funding to fight epidemic diseases have increased, much remains to be done. Every day, over 6,800 people are infected with HIV, and more than 5,700 die from AIDS. The number of people living with HIV reached 33.2 million in 2007, even though the global HIV prevalence rate has leveled off in recent years. Over 60 percent of people living with HIV/AIDS are in Sub-Saharan Africa, where women and children are especially vulnerable to the disease. Women constitute almost 61 percent of adults ages 15 to 49 living with HIV, and about 90 percent of all HIVpositive children ages 0 to 14 live in the region. Orphans and vulnerable children

A Bangladeshi health worker giving antibiotic tablets to a tuberculosis patient

Incidence of tuberculosis by region, 1990 and 2006 (per 100,000 people) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50

a&

si st A

e& rop

Eu

sia al A ntr Ce

1990 2006

& ca eri ean Am ribb n i a Lat C

1990 2006

& ast a le E fric dd rth A i M No

East Asia 800

Eastern Europe & Central Asia 1,600

face grave risks to their health and wellbeing. Many cannot attend school, and assistance for them is minimal. While treatment to those living with HIV and AIDS has increased, only 28 percent of people in developing regions who needed antiretroviral therapy received treatment in 2006. Tuberculosis, still a major cause of illness and death worldwide, is becoming more dangerous with the spread of drug-resistant strains. Twenty-two countries, which are seriously affected by tuberculosis and are The adult HIV prevalence rate is many times greater in Sub-Saharan Africa than in other regions...

mostly in Asia and Africa, collectively account for 80 percent of all tuberculosis cases. Poor people are especially vulnerable to the disease due to underlying health problems and limited access to treatment. Tuberculosis is the leading cause of death among people who are HIV-positive, accounting for about 15 percent of AIDS deaths worldwide. Drug resistant tuberculosis strains are caused by inconsistent or partial treatment, wrong treatment regimens, or unavailability of drugs. Malaria causes more than 1 million deaths each year, primarily among children below age 5 and pregnant women, mainly in Africa. The emergence of drug-resistant parasites and insecticide-resistant mosquitoes is exacerbating the impact of malaria. About 40 percent of the world’s population is at risk from malaria—the largest share is composed of those living in the poorest countries. Insecticide-treated mosquito nets can

6 5

… but only 25 percent of those infected receive treatment

2001 2007

Population living with HIV in need of treatment who are receiving antiretroviral therapy, 2006 (%)

4

80

3

Sub-Saharan Africa 22,500

1990 2006

sia hA

ic Afr

ut

So

1990 2006

a

ran

ha -Sa

b Su

g Hi

me nco h-i

cou

ies ntr

Treated bed nets combat malaria but are still not widely used Proportion of children sleeping under insecticidetreated bed nets in selected African countries, 1999–2000 and 2005–2006 (%) 1999–2000

25

23

23

2005–2006

22

20

15

13

10 7 5

4 1

0

Za

ia

mb

a

and

Rw

l ega

Sen

4

3

2

la Ma

wi

ana

Gh

Source: United Nations Statistical Division

reduce malaria transmission by up to 90 percent. The availability of treated bed nets has increased recently, but the use of treated bed nets among children under age 5 is still very low—only 5 percent in Sub-Saharan Africa.

70 60

2

South and South East Asia 4,000

1990 2006

Source: WHO

HIV prevalence rate, adults ages 15–49, 2001 and 2007 (%) Western and Central Europe 760

North America 1,300 Latin America 1,600

Source: UNAIDS and WHO

1990 2006

ific Pac

Ea

Adults & children living with HIV, 2007 (thousands)

Total 33,245

1990 2006

0

Over 60 percent of all people living with HIV/AIDS are in Sub-Saharan Africa

Middle East & North Africa 380 Caribbean 230 Oceania 75

Africa and Asia account for more than 80 percent of all tuberculosis patients

50

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 40 The World Bank - IMF Library Network 30 IP : 138.220.77.170 20 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 an ica

1

0 sia ast &a sia rope ania erica erica pe &a e fr tA tA u Oce Am ic m uro l Asi aribb an A Eas dle Eh Afr h-Eas tral E E a C r hA in d rt t i ort stern entr aha en Lat M No Sou S N C C b d Ea Su and rn an e uth So West Source: UNAIDS and WHO

10 0

rn

e uth

So

a Asi

Source: UNAIDS

ia

ean

Oc

s & sia sia s ia ica ica CIS ion ca tA Afr Afr nA nA eri bbean g reg rn an ter ter Eas r e m s s a i a n e h h A E rt W ah ut in Car elopi No So b-S Lat v Su De

52 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

In addition to the use of treated bed nets, malaria control depends on surveillance, efficient public health measures, education, and access to medications. Health

53


HIV/AIDS adult HIV prevalence, 2005

Greenland (Den)

15.0% or more 5.0–14.9%

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

1.0–4.9%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

0.5–0.9%

C a n a d a

less than 0.5%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Morocco

British Virgin The Bahamas Islands (UK)

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Cuba

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Alg

US Virgin Islands (US)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Mexico

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

St. Lucia

Barbados

Kiribati

Suriname

Mauritania Mali

Senegal

Martinique (Fr)

Guinea-Bissau

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

B r a z i l

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

HIV/AIDS has a devastating effect on families and on the economies of the developing world

Countries with the highest prevalence rates, 2007 Rank

Country

Prevalence of HIV (% of population ages 15–49)

1

Swaziland

26.1

2

Botswana

23.9

3

Lesotho

23.2

4

South Africa

18.1

5

Zimbabwe

6

Namibia

7

Zambia

8

Mozambique

9

Malawi

10

Kenya

Facts Over two-thirds of adults, and nearly 90 percent of children infected with HIV, live in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Internet links World Health Organization

www.who.int/topics/ tuberculosis/en/ www.who.int/topics/malaria/en/ http://www.who.int/topics/ hiv_aids/en

UNAIDS

www.unaids.org/en

World Bank HNPstats

www.worldbank.org/hnpstats

UNICEF Childinfo

www.childinfo.org/malaria.html www.childinfo.org/hiv_aids.html

UNICEF

www.unicef.org/health/index_ malaria.html, www.unicef.org/ aids/index_documents.html

A child in Africa dies from malaria every 30 seconds.

One-third of the world's population, mostly in developing 15.3 Delivered by The World Bank e-libraryisto: countries, infected with tuberculosis. 15.3 The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170 15.2 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 HIV and tuberculosis form a lethal combination, each speeding the 12.5 other's progress. In Africa, HIV is the single most important factor 11.9 contributing to the increase in incidence of tuberculosis since 1990. 7.8

Health

54 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

55


Structure of the world’s economy

Services, the most rapidly growing sector of the global economy, now accounts for almost 70 percent of world output. Developing economies are also becoming important producers of manufactured goods. However, the natural resource sectors, especially agriculture and mining, continue to be the main sources of income for many developing economies.

Gross domestic product (GDP) measures the output of an economy. It is the sum of value added in agriculture (including forestry and fisheries), industry (including mining and manufacturing), and services (including government and private services). As economies develop, they typically shift from the production and export of agricultural and mining commodities to manufactured goods, and later to services. In many high-income economies more than 70 percent of GDP is produced in the service sector. The income elasticity of demand for services is generally greater than that of agricultural products. Services now account for 54 percent of the output of middle-income economies, although some, such as Jordan and Panama,

Services now account for two-thirds of global output Value added in services (% of GDP)

Middle-income

High-income

Low-income

80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

Service sectors are growing rapidly in both East Asia and Pacific, and South Asia Value added in services (1993=100) 350 300

East Asia & Pacific

Middle East & North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

South Asia

Latin America & Caribbean

Europe & Central Asia

250 200 150 100 50 0

56

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

Although the service sector can contribute more than 70 percent of GDP in high-income economies...

Many countries are still dependent on agricultural employment Agricultural employment as a share to total employment, 2003–2005 (%) Ethiopia Madagascar Uganda Albania Vietnam Georgia Bangladesh Kyrgyz Republic Armenia Morocco 0

20

40

60

80

100

Source: International Labor Organization, Key Indicators of the Labour Market, Fifth edition

have maintained large service sectors for some time. In low-income economies, the service sectors are growing and now produce slightly less than 50 percent of the output. The East Asia and Pacific region, led by China, and the South Asia region, led by India, have increased their service output in real terms more than three-fold since 1990. Although the service sector is growing everywhere, agriculture remains of great importance to developing economies. Agriculture not only feeds a growing population, it produces raw materials for industries, such as rubber and timber. Increases in oil prices have resulted in additional demand for food crops, such as corn and sugar cane, used to produce biofuels. Higher prices for agricultural products will raise the incomes of producers, but higher food prices also reduce the welfare of consumers.

In 2007, value added in agriculture as a share of GDP was over 40 percent in 10 low-income economies, nine of them in Africa. Agriculture is also an important source of employment. It employs over 40 percent of the labor force in 16 countries, over 50 percent in seven countries, and as much as 80 percent in Ethiopia. Not only low-income economies, but also some middle-income economies remain dependent on agriculture. Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: InNetwork Albania, agriculture accounts for 58 percent of the total The World Bank - IMF Library IP : 138.220.77.170 employment. In comparison, agricultural employment made Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 up 4 percent of total employment in Japan, 2 percent in the United States and Germany, and only 1 percent in the United 2007 Kingdom.

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

...agriculture is still of major importance in developing countries

Economy

57


Russian Federation 5%

Agricultural output share of value added in agriculture in GDP, 2002–2007, most recent year available

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

25% or more Iceland

15–24%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

10–14%

C a n a d a

3–9%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK) British Virgin Islands (UK) Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

The Bahamas Dominican Republic Puerto Cuba Rico (US)

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

US Virgin Islands (US)

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr)

St. Lucia

Morocco Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Mauritania Mali

Senegal Guinea-Bissau

Suriname

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

Barbados

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Latin America & Caribbean 5%

Middle East & North Africa 11%

Haiti

Jamaica

Spain

Portugal

India 18%

Rep. of Yemen

Djibouti Nigeria Cameroon

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Maldives

Kenya

Tanzania

B r a z i l

Comoros

East Asia & Pacific 12%

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Marshall Islands

Palau Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia

Brazil 5%

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Lao P.D.R.

South Asia 18%

Seychelles

Japan

China 12%

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Rep. of Korea

n a

Vietnam Cambodia

Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Thailand

Sri Lanka

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Peru

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Denmark

Ireland

less than 3%

Kiribati

Europe & Central Asia 7%

Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 15% New Zealand

Woman cultivating rice on TASAF/World Bank financed agricultural project, Bukoba District, Lake Victoria, Tanzania

Agricultural value added, 2007 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Facts

The world agricultural sector grew by 2.5 percent from 1995 to 2007. The service sector grew by 3.1 percent and the industrial sector by 2.5 percent over the same period. Liberia 66 In Sub-Saharan Africa, the agricultural sector grew by 3.1 percent a Guinea-Bissau 64 year from 1995 to 2007, while the service sector grew by 4 percent and the industrial sector by 4.2 percent. Central African Republic 56 In the East Asia and Pacific region, industry was the fastest growing Comoros 47 sector with 8.6 percent annual growth over the period 1995 to 2007. Ethiopia 46 Delivered by The World Bank e-library Services wereto: second with 8 percent, and agriculture grew by 3.4 percent. Tanzania 45 The World Bank - IMF Library Network In South Asia, the service sector was dominant, with 7.7 percent IP Sierra Leone 44 : 138.220.77.170 growth over the period 1995 to 2007, followed by 6.5 percent in industries Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 Togo 43 and 2.7 percent in agriculture for the same period. Congo, Dem. Rep. of 42 On average, the service sector has grown faster than other parts of the economy, except in East Asia and Pacific and Sub-Saharan Africa. Lao PDR 42

Country

% of GDP

Internet links World Bank

www.worldbank.org/data

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

www.oecd.org

International Monetary Fund

www.imf.org

United Nations

http://unstats.un.org/ unsd/snaama

Economy

58 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

59


Governance

Governance describes the way public officials and institutions acquire and exercise authority to provide public goods and services, including education, health care, infrastructure, and a sound investment climate. Good governance is associated with increased citizen participation and improved accountability of public officials. It is fundamental to development and economic growth.

Governance has several dimensions:

• • •

the process by which governments are selected, monitored, and replaced; the capacity of government to effectively formulate and implement sound policies; the respect of citizens and the state for the institutions that govern interactions between them.

Control of corruption in South Asia, percentile ranking, 2007 Bhutan Sri Lanka India Nepal Maldives Pakistan Bangladesh

Democratic elections are one aspect of good governance

Afghanistan 0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

The percentile rank indicates the percentage of countries worldwide that rate below the selected country (subject to a margin of error). Higher values indicate better governance ratings. Error bars, showing the statistically likely range of estimates, are shown as thin black lines. For instance, a bar extending to 75 percent with error bars showing a range of 60 to 85 percent means that an estimated 75 percent of countries rate worse and an estimated 25 percent rate better than that country. At the 90 percent confidence level, only 60 percent of countries rate worse, while 15 percent of countries rate better. 60

Source: Kaufmann, D., A. Kraay and M. Mastruzzi 2008: Governance Matters VII: Aggregated and Individual Governance Indicators 1996-2007

Distribution of public sector and institutions cluster scores by region (number of IDA eligible countries), 2006 30 Middle East & North Africa

25

South Asia

20

Europe & Central Asia

15

Latin America & Caribbean East Asia & Pacific

10

Sub-Saharan Africa 5

Features of good governance—such as free and fair elections, respect for individual liberties and property rights, a free and vibrant press, open and impartial judiciary, and well-informed and effective legislative structures—all contribute to strong and capable institutions of the state. Although bad governance is often equated with corruption, the concepts, while related, are different. Corruption—the abuse of public office for private gain—is an outcome of poor governance, reflecting the breakdown of accountability. Corruption undermines the legitimacy of governments and may reduce the quality and availability of public services if funds are diverted to private use. Excessive “red tape” and poor bureaucratic performance can also become

Control of corruption varies even within the same region

Sub-Saharan countries score the best and worst in good governance among low-income IDA eligible countries

0

1.0-1.4

1.5-1.9

2.0-2.4

2.5-2.9

3.0-3.4

3.5-3.9

4.0-4.4

4.5-4.9

5.0-5.4

5.5-6.0

Public sector and institutions cluster scores (1-6 low to high) Source: World Bank, Country Policy and Institutional Assessment

More than 80 percent of firms in Bangladesh make informal payments to public officials "to get things done", compared to only 8 percent in Chile Percentage of firms expected to make informal payments to public officials 100

80 60

40 20

0

sh

de gla

n

Ba

07)

(20

05)

am

tn Vie

(20

ria

e Alg

07)

(20

nia

a Alb

07)

(20

6)

200

ia (

Ind

ldo Mo

) ) 6) 05 07) 006 00 20 (20 a (2 e (2 ia ( va hil tin mb n C a e Z Arg

The World Bank’s Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) is an annual exercise by World Bank staff to measure the extent to which a country’s policy and institutional framework supports sustainable growth and poverty reduction. Scores of these assessments are disclosed only for low-income countries that are eligible for lending by the World Bank’s International Development Association (IDA). CPIA indicators examine policies and institutions, not development outcomes, which can depend on forces outside a country’s control. There are 16 criteria grouped into four clusters; one of the clusters (shown in the top left chart) is the public sector management and institutions cluster. This cluster includes five criteria: property rights and rule-based governance; quality of budgetary and financial management; efficiency of revenue mobilization; quality of public administration; and transparency, accountability, and control of corruption in the public sector.

Source: World Bank, Enterprise Surveys 2005

excuses for unofficial payments “to get things done,” raising the cost of doing business. Fighting corruption requires addressing underlying failures of governance.

Measuring the quality of institutions and governance outcomes is difficult and often subject to large margins of error, (see the margins of error shown in the chart on the left). Data for one dimension of governance—control of corruption—are presented in the map. The data are an aggregate measure derived from several sources of informed Delivered by The World Bankviews e-libraryofto:individuals from both the private and public sectors. The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170The map represents data on control of corruption by Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 percentile ranges, from the best performing (90th to 100th percentile) to the poorest performing (0 to 9th percentile). Some developing countries have better scores on some governance measures than developed countries.

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

Parliament in session in South Africa

Economy

61


Controlling corruption control of corruption from the Worldwide Governance Indicators, percentile rank, 2007

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

90th-100th percentile Iceland

75th-89th percentile

Sweden Finland

Norway

50th-74th percentile

The Netherlands

C a n a d a

25th-49th percentile

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

10th-24th percentile 0-9th percentile

Fra

Luxembourg

no data

Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Jamaica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Alg

US Virgin Islands (US)

Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Morocco

British Virgin Islands (UK)

Dominican Republic

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Kiribati

Mauritania Senegal

Mali

Guinea-Bissau

Suriname

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Belarus

Niger

The Gambia

Barbados

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Poland

Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Solomon Islands

Zambia Malawi

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Samoa Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

People in many countries are fighting against corruption

Control of corruption Developing countries, Approximate population over rank 1 million 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Chile Uruguay Botswana Hungary Mauritius Costa Rica South Africa Jordan Latvia Namibia

Lower Upper percentile percentile percentile rank, 2007 range range

Facts Nine Sub-Saharan African countries rank in the 50th percentile or higher in the Worldwide Governance Indicators measure of control of corruption.

84 92 90 Research shows a relationship between low levels of income and higher levels of corruption. But some 74 84 81 middle-income countries, such as Botswana, Chile, 74 83 80 and Uruguay, perform as well as some high-income 64 74 71 countries on measures of governance. 62 74 70 Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: The Network Good governance has been found to significantly 62 - IMF Library 73 69 World Bank IP 61 : 138.220.77.170 enhance the effectiveness of development assistance. 73 67 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 61 73 67 When governance is improved by one standard 61 73 66 deviation, infant mortality declines by two-thirds and incomes rise about threefold in the long run. 59 70 63

Internet links World Bank: Worldwide Governance Indicators

www.govindicators.org

World Bank: Enterprise Surveys

www.enterprisesurveys.org

World Bank: Doing Business

www.doingbusiness.org

United Nations Development Programme (UNDP): Democratic Governance

www.undp.org/governance

Transparency International

www.transparency.org

Economy

62 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

63


Infrastructure for development

Women collecting water from a pump in Mozambique

Infrastructure services—transport, energy, water and sanitation, and information and communications technology—are the backbone of a functioning economy, facilitating growth and binding communities together. Some infrastructure is built and maintained by governments; some is privately owned; and some comes about through public-private partnerships. Rural road projects in Vietnam improved people's access to all-weather roads from about 30 percent in 1993 to more than 80 percent in 2004 % of rural population who live within 2km of an all-weather road, 2000–2007 China, 2003 Vietnam, 2004 Pakistan, 2004 Ghana, 2003 Brazil, 2001 Zambia, 2007 Albania, 2002 Nicaragua, 2000 Madagascar, 2007 Chad, 2001 0

20

40

60

80

100

Source: World Bank, Energy, Transport and Water Department

Water-related deaths and diseases can be sharply reduced with improvements in drinking water, sanitation, and good hygiene 2.6 billion people—more than 40 percent of the world population—do not use a toilet, but instead use open or unsanitary places. Every year, unsafe water, coupled with a lack of basic sanitation, kills at least 1.6 million children under the age of 5 years—more than eight times the number of people who died in the Asian tsunami in 2004. Although 73 percent of rural dwellers have access to an improved source of drinking water, only 30 percent have access to piped water in the home.

64

Source: WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply and Sanitation, 2006. Meeting the MDG Drinking Water and Sanitation Target: the Urban and Rural Challenge of the Decade

Infrastructure services play a key role in the most important development objective— reducing poverty and bringing real improvements in the lives of billions of people in developing countries. These services affect people in many ways—what they consume and produce; how they heat and light their homes; how they travel to work, to school, or to visit family and friends, and how they communicate. Without passable roads, farmers cannot deliver their products to markets. Without reliable electricity, manufacturers cannot compete in today’s markets. And information and communications are essential in an integrated world. Physical isolation is a strong contributor to poverty. People living in remote places have less access to health and education services, employment, and markets. Problems are particularly severe in rural areas. An estimated 1 billion rural dwellers in developing countries, most of them poor, are without reliable access to affordable means of transportation. Despite global efforts, improvements in water and sanitation infrastructure have barely kept pace with population growth and migration in the developing world, and will Telecommunications infrastructure projects attract high levels of private sector participation but there is much less in water and sanitation Public and private investment in developing countries in which the private sector has the operating risk, total 2000–2006 ($ billions)

Improved sanitation facilities range from simple but protected pit latrines to flush toilets with a sewerage connection Access to improved sanitation facilities, % of population, 2004 100 80 60 40 20 0

c a a a& e& st & cifi Asi fric rop sia eric an Ea ica Pa nA uth Eu ral A Am ribbe ddle h Afr sia & So ara t tin Ca Mi rt t A h a n Ce La No Eas b -S Su Source: WHO and UNICEF's Meeting the MDG Drinking Water and Sanitation Target

require more public and private investment. Investment commitments in water and sanitation projects with private participation from 2000–2006 were only $22 billion, compared to $315 billion in investments in telecommunications. The challenge in reducing disease transmission lies not only in providing better water and sanitation facilities, but also in promoting good hygiene practices, such as hand washing. Globally, approximately 1.1 billion people remain without access to safe water, 2.4 billion without sanitation, and 1.6 billion without electricity. Information and communication technology has vast potential for fostering growth in developing countries by helping to increase productivity in a wide range of economic activities, from agriculture to manufacturing and services. Mobile phones keep families and communities in contact and provide market information for farmers and business people. By the end of 2007, there were over 3 billion mobile phone subscribers in the world, compared to 1.3 billion fixed telephone lines. The Internet delivers information to schools and hospitals, and computers improve public and private services and increase productivity and participation.

The Europe and Central Asia region leads developing countries in mobile telephone subscribers Mobile telephone subscribers per 100 people, 2007 100 80 60 40 20 0

c a ica a& e& st & cifi Asi Afr th rop sia eric an Ea ica Pa an ou Eu ral A Am ribbe ddle h Afr sia & r S a ah nt tin Ca Mi ort st A Ce La N Ea b -S Su Source: International Telecommunication Union

Among developing country regions, Internet use is highest in Europe & Central Asia and in Latin America & the Caribbean Internet users per 100 people, 2007 25 20 15

350

The global supply of infrastructure services is not able to meet the needs of today. With another 2 billion people arriving in the Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 200 The World Bank - IMF Library Network next 25 years, the challenges of tomorrow will be even greater. 150 IP : 138.220.77.170 100 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 Infrastructure investment in developing countries will need to 50 double to more than $400 billion per year. Increased investment 0 y mort r& erg eco s ate tion nsp En a W r also needs to be accompanied by improved policies and Tel ation T ita nic san mu institutions to deliver quality services to citizens. Source: World Bank, Private Participation in Infrastructure database 300 250

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

10 5 0 c a ica a& e& st & cifi Asi Afr th rop sia eric an Ea ica Pa u ou E ral A Am ribbe ddle h Afr ia & ran S a s i t h a n tin Ca M ort st A Ce La N Ea b -S Su Source: International Telecommunication Union

Economy

65


Europe & Central Asia 26

Internet users Internet users per 100 people, 2007 or latest available data

Greenland (Den)

less than 2

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

2–9

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

10–24

C a n a d a

25–49

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

50 or more no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Bermuda (UK) British Virgin Islands (UK) The Bahamas Dominican Republic Puerto Cuba Rico (US)

Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Jamaica

Latin America & Caribbean 24

Alg

Former Spanish Sahara

Antigua and Barbuda

Mauritania

Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr)

St. Lucia

Mali

Senegal Guinea-Bissau

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Suriname

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

Barbados

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Morocco

St. Kitts and Nevis

Haiti

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Kiribati

Gibraltar (UK)

Middle East & North Africa 16 US Virgin Islands (US)

Spain

Portugal

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Sri Lanka

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

B r a z i l

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Tanzania

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Marshall Islands

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

South Asia 14

Comoros

East Asia & Pacific 14

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

Lao P.D.R.

Somalia

Seychelles

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Rep. of Korea

n a

Vietnam Cambodia

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Thailand

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Peru

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 4 New Zealand

High-income

Students continue their language lessons in the computer laboratory at Hanoi University, Vietnam

Facts

Internet users Rank 1

Countries with population (per 100 people) 2007 of 1 million or more Netherlands

64

92

2

Canada

85

3

Norway

81

4

New Zealand

79

5

Sweden

77

6

Japan

7

United States

8

Korea, Rep.

9

Finland

10

United Kingdom

Worldwide, from 2000–2007, the number of Internet users more than tripled, increasing from 390 million users in 2000 to almost 1.5 billion in 2007. There are still wide gaps in Internet users in different regions in the world: Latin America and the Caribbean has about 24 Internet users per 100 people; South Asia has about 14; and Sub-Saharan Africa has about 4 users per 100 people. The average for high-income countries is 64.

Internet pricesto:(for 20 hours of service per month) in developing countries Delivered by The World Bank e-library The World74Bank - IMF Library Network dropped from about $31 per month to $23 per month from 2003–2006. IP : 138.220.77.170 73 Internet prices are more affordable in some developing country regions Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 72 than others: in Europe and Central Asia, Internet service (for 20 hours of service per month) is just 2.8 percent of monthly income, but in Sub68 Saharan Africa monthly Internet service is 23 percent of monthly income. 66

Internet links International Telecommunication Union

www.itu.int

International Road Federation

www.irfnet.org

World Resources Institute World Bank

earthtrends.wri.org (click on Energy and Resources)

www.worldbank.org (click on Topics, then select Sustainable Development)

www.oecd.org Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (click on By Topic, then select Information and Communications Technologies)

World Health Organization

http://www.who.int/water_ sanitation_health/en Economy

66 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

67


Government policies play a key role in shaping the investment climate. They influence the security of property rights, the effectiveness of regulation, the impact of taxation, the quality and accessibility of infrastructure, and the functioning of financial and labor markets. The quality of the investment climate also contributes strongly to increased productivity and employment creation, both necessary for

Countries in region that made at least one positive reform (%) 80 70

The level of investment in the East Asia and Pacific region has been the highest since 1995. It now invests more than twice as much as the Latin America and the Caribbean region. Similarly, the South Asia, and Middle East and North Africa regions had about the same level of investment in 1995, but now South Asia invests 36 percent more than the Middle East and North Africa.

60 50 40 30 20

ha Afr ran ica

a Asi

Su b-S a

uth So

Mi d No dle E rth ast Afr & ica

Lat in Am Ca eric rib a & bea n

0

Ce Euro ntr pe al A & sia

10

Source: World Bank, Doing Business

poverty reduction. Poor governance increases transaction costs, encourages unproductive activities such as lobbying, and reduces transparency. Hence, it leads to misallocation of resources and discourages new investment. Between 2006 and 2007, 79 percent of the countries in the Europe and Central Asia region implemented at least one positive reform to make doing business easier, while 63 percent of the countries in South Asia had such reforms. In the most recent year, the East Asia and Pacific region has had the highest investment rate, averaging 38 percent of gross domestic product (GDP). South Asia invested 35 percent of its

Investment has grown rapidly in the East Asia and Pacific region

Not everyone obtains the same result

Gross capital formation, 2000 $ (billions)

GDP growth rate (%), annual average 1995–2007 8

1,200

East Asia & Pacific

1,000

East Asia & Pacific

Middle East & North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

South Asia

Latin America & Caribbean

Europe & Central Asia

7 South Asia

6

800

5

Europe & Central Asia

4

600

3

200

0

0

5

199

6

199

7

199

8

199

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

9

199

0

200

1

200

2

200

3

200

4

200

5

200

6

200

7

200

Middle East & North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 2 The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:021

400

68

output. Sub-Saharan Africa had the lowest investment rate, at 21 percent of GDP, but this has been increasing since 2001.

Europe and Central Asia had the highest percentage of countries with positive business reforms in 2007

Eas tA s Pac ia & ific

Investment for growth

Physical investment takes many forms: buildings, machinery, and equipment; improvements to property; and additions to inventories. Investment is financed out of domestic savings or external savings. However, external financing is limited and generally more volatile than domestic savings. Countries that have high savings and investment rates are likely to produce high rates of economic growth. Growth is also spurred by improved efficiency as a result of technological advances and investments in people, as well as through better education and health care. To sustain growth, government policies must create a climate that encourages productive investment.

Investment is expenditure to replenish capital stocks, both physical and human, used up in production, and to increase the total capital stock. Without investment there would be no sustainable economic growth. A good investment climate is one in which government policies encourage firms and entrepreneurs to invest their resources productively, create jobs, and contribute to growth and poverty reduction. On average, 21 percent of world output is used for investment purposes. But high rates of investment alone do not ensure rapid economic growth because the productivity of capital varies with the sector, the project, and the level of development.

10

Latin America & Caribbean

15

High-income

20

25

Gross capital formation (% of GDP) Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

30

35

Although China and some of the other “tigers” in the East Asia and Pacific region have obtained spectacular growth rates, high levels of investment do not guarantee high growth rates. Investment produces growth, but investment also chases growth. More investment is likely in places where high returns are possible. Over the period from 1995 through 2007, most developing regions invested an average of 18 to 36 percent of their GDP each year. The results obtained have varied, from Latin America and the Caribbean, where an investment ratio of 20 percent produced an average annual growth rate of only 3.5 percent, to South Asia, where an investment ratio of a little more than 26 percent resulted in annual growth of 9.2 percent. Sub-Saharan Africa is an interesting exception: a low investment ratio of 18 percent led to an annual growth rate of 6.1 percent, better than several regions with higher investment ratios. Economy

69


Investment for growth gross capital formation as a share of GDP, 2002–2007, most recent year available

Russian Federation 25%

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

less than 15% Iceland

15–19%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

20–24%

C a n a d a

25–29%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

30% or more no data

Fra

Luxembourg

United States 19%

Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Alg

US Virgin Islands (US)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Morocco

British Virgin Islands (UK)

The Bahamas

Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica St. Lucia

Barbados

Kiribati

Mauritania Mali

Senegal

Martinique (Fr)

Guinea-Bissau

Suriname

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia

Brazil 22%

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

N. Mariana Islands (US)

Vietnam Cambodia

Sri Lanka

Japan

China 44%

Lao P.D.R.

Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

India 38%

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

22% World 24% Low-income 25% Middle-income Low- & middle-income 25% 21% High-income

China’s rapidly growing economy has benefited from foreign investment

Highest average gross capital formation Rank

Countries greater than 1 million in population

% of GDP 1995–2007

1

Lesotho

44

2

China

40

3

Iran, Islamic Rep. of

34

4

Turkmenistan

34

5

Azerbaijan

6

Botswana

7

Mongolia

8

Vietnam

9

Estonia

31

10

Korea, Rep. of

31

Facts Growth in investment has been the fastest in the South Asia region. Between 2000 and 2007, it has been increasing at an average rate of 13.8 percent per year. Investment has grown most slowly in the Latin America and the Caribbean region, averaging 5.5 percent a year between 2000 and 2007.

33 Investment declined in 19 countries between 2000 and 2007. Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: The World33Bank - IMF Library Network Azerbaijan had the highest growth in investment, averaging an IP 32 : 138.220.77.170 increase of 36 percent per year between 2000 and 2007. Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 32

In China, investment grew at an average of 13.5 percent a year between 2000 and 2007.

Internet links World Bank data and statistics

www.worldbank.org/data

www.oecd.org/statistics Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development International Monetary Fund statistics

www.imf.org/external/data.htm

International Monetary Fund Dissemination Standards Bulletin Board

http://dsbb.imf.org/ Applications/web/dsbbhome

United Nations Statistics Division

http://unstats.un.org/unsd/ snaama Economy

70 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

71


Europe & Central Asia 26 days

Starting a business time required to start a new business, 2007

Greenland (Den)

50 days or more 35–49 days

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

25–34 days

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

15–24 days

C a n a d a

less than 15 days

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

High-income countries 25 days

Bermuda (UK) British Virgin Islands (UK) Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

The Bahamas Dominican Republic Puerto Cuba Rico (US) Jamaica

Latin America & Caribbean 73 days

Morocco

Middle East & North Africa 40 days US Virgin Islands (US)

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr)

St. Lucia

Mauritania Mali

Guinea-Bissau

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

Barbados

Suriname

Alg

Former Spanish Sahara

Senegal

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth) Kiribati

Gibraltar (UK)

Haiti

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Spain

Portugal

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Maldives

Kenya

South Asia 33 days

Seychelles Tanzania

B r a z i l

Comoros

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

East Asia & Pacific 47 days Marshall Islands

Palau Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Japan

Lao P.D.R.

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Rep. of Korea

n a

Vietnam Cambodia

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Thailand

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Peru

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Bangladesh Qatar India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 55 days New Zealand

Business meeting, Mozambique

Best performers—starting a business in developing countries Rank

Country

1

Turkey

2

Madagascar

3

Mauritius

4

Jamaica

5

Afghanistan

6

Egypt

7

Maldives

8

Georgia

9

Tunisia

10

Morocco

Facts

Between 2003 and 2007, Turkey cut the number of procedures to start a business from 13 to 6, and the time to complete the process 6 from 38 days to 6 days. El Salvador slashed the time required to register a business from 40 7 days in 2005 to 26 days in 2007. 7 Business entry was eased in 39 countries in 2007, making starting 8 a business simpler, faster, and cheaper. 9 In 2007, Kenya, Ghana, Mozambique, Madagascar, and Burkina Faso Delivered by9The World Bank e-library to:African reformers in ease of doing business. were the best The World Bank - IMF Library Network If it is easy to set up a business, more businesses are set up—and 9 IP : 138.220.77.170 business investment increases and new jobs are created. Sun,1107 Dec 2008 06:24:02 Countries that introduce standardized business application forms 11 save their entrepreneurs time, and fewer applications are rejected 12 for flawed or insufficient paperwork. (days) 2007

Internet links World Bank Doing Business project

www.doingbusiness.org

World Bank Enterprise Surveys

www.enterprisesurveys.org

Private Participation in Infrastructure database

http://ppi.worldbank.org/

Privatization database

http://rru.worldbank.org/ Privatization/

Economy

72 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

73


The integrating world

Economies have become increasingly dependent on each other for goods, services, labor, and capital. Advances in information and communications technology, expanding financial markets, and cheaper transportation systems enable easier movement of inputs and outputs among countries, accelerating global integration, but many barriers remain. The benefits from global integration need to be equitably shared both among and within economies. Trade advances with global integration Merchandise trade (exports plus imports) as a share of GDP (%)

Traditional patterns of production and employment have given way to new modes of production and distribution, which are often spread over multiple locations. Developing countries offering higher returns are attracting foreign investment in manufacturing. Skilled as well as unskilled labor is seeking employment in economies that offer higher wages. High-income economies are looking at the developing world to meet the increasing demand for service and technology workers. As the global economy becomes more integrated, the importance of trade has increased. Goods equivalent to 51 percent of global gross domestic product (GDP) were traded in 2007, up from 32 percent in 1990. Over the same period, trade in services increased from 8 percent to 12 percent of global GDP.

80

70 Middle-income economies

60 Low-income economies 50

40 High-income economies

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

07 20

05 20

00 20

95 19

19 90

30

The international service sector has grown rapidly in the new century. Between 2000 and 2006, trade in services by developing countries grew at an annual average rate of 17 percent (in nominal terms) —5 percentage points higher than that in high-income countries. South Asia led the way, growing at an average annual rate of 25 percent. But agricultural and industrial goods still

Integration of low- and middle-income countries in global merchandise trade has increased notably 1997, Total merchandise exports: $5.5 trillion

Direction of merchandise trade

2007, Total merchandise exports: $13.9 trillion Unspecified 1.6%

Unspecified 4.2% Low- & middle-income to low- & middle-income 4.7%

Low- & middle-income to low- & middle-income 9.2 %

Low- & middle-income to high-income 14.8%

Low- & middle-income to high-income 21.6 % High-income to high-income 60.3%

High-income to low- & middle-income 16.0% High-income to low- & middle-income 17.5 %

74

Source: World Bank estimates based on data from the International Monetary Fund, Direction of Trade Statistics database

Agricultural products are subject to higher trade restrictions, especially in high-income economies

In 2006, middle-income countries received nearly 30 times more private capital flows than low-income countries

Trade restrictiveness index (%), 2006 60 50 40

Overall Agriculture Manufacturing

Portfolio equity

50

Bonds

40

20

Commercial bank and other lending Official development assistance

30

10

leletes me me idd me idd me Sta nco nco ed r-m inco r-m inco h-i t w-i e i e g o i p n w L H U Up Lo

Foreign direct investment

60

30

0

Low-income

Net inflows ($ billions) 70

20

a

nad Ca

ean rop ion Eu Un

an Jap

10 0 1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Source: World Bank, Global Monitoring Report 2008

dominate world trade, accounting for 81 percent of total trade in 2006. While some developing countries, such as China and India, are making rapid progress as exporters, the high-income economies account for 68 percent of world merchandise exports. Of these, exports to the developing countries amounted to 18 percent in 2007. Between 1997 and 2007, merchandise exports of the developing countries grew at 14.8 percent a year in nominal terms, while high-income country exports grew at 8.3 percent a year. Reductions in tariff and nontariff barriers have helped to spur trade, but many trade barriers remain. Trade barriers are costly to both consumers in developed countries and producers in developing countries. The poorest countries impose higher barriers across a broad range of goods to protect their producers and raise revenues for their governments. But rich countries often impose their highest barriers specifically on the exports of developing countries, especially agricultural products. In addition to tariff protection, they provide subsidies and other forms of support to domestic producers. Total agricultural support in countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) exceeded $372 billion in 2006, encouraging greater production in OECD countries and undercutting developing country producers.

Since 1990, the number of bilateral and multilateral preferential trade agreements has increased rapidly. Such Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: agreements, especially bilateral free trade agreements, are High-incomeThe to World Bank - IMF Library Network high-income 50.1% IP : 138.220.77.170 increasingly made among countries with different levels of Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 development. These agreements provide developing countries with new trading opportunities and contribute toward their integration to the global economy. But these agreements also raise trade barriers to exports from non-member economies and (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

Middle-income

Net inflows ($ billions)

700 600 500 400

Foreign direct investment Portfolio equity Bonds Commercial bank and other lending Official development assistance

300 200 100 0 1990 1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

Source: World Bank, Global Development Finance, and Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Development Assistance Committee, International Development Statistics

may hinder the overall integration of world economies. Effective global integration requires the free flow of goods, services, investment, labor, and technology, not merely the reduction of tariffs and import quotas. An open and equitable trading system enhances growth opportunities and encourages domestic and foreign investment. As countries have reduced restrictions on foreign investment, capital flows have increased. Middle-income countries with improved credit have more access to the international financial markets and can raise large amounts of capital through bond issuance and commercial borrowing. The main source of external financing for low-income countries remains official development assistance. Economy

75


Europe & Central Asia 1995: 38% 2007: 56%

Merchandise trade exports and imports as a share of GDP, 2007 or latest available data

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

less than 40% Iceland

40–59%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

60–74%

C a n a d a

75–99%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

100% or more no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

The Bahamas Dominican Republic Puerto Cuba Rico (US)

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Kiribati

Latin America & Caribbean 1995: 27% 2007: 43%

US Virgin Islands (US)

Morocco Alg

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Mali

Guinea-Bissau

Barbados

Suriname

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

Martinique (Fr)

St. Lucia

Mauritania Senegal

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Middle East & North Africa 1995: 45% 2007: 58%

British Virgin Islands (UK) Mexico

Monaco

Bermuda (UK)

Rep. of Yemen

Nigeria Cameroon

Sri Lanka

Maldives

Kenya

Guam (US)

East Asia & Pacific 1995: 55% 2007: 74% Marshall Islands

Palau Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Tanzania

B r a z i l

Philippines

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

N. Mariana Islands (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Djibouti

South Asia 1995: 22% 2007: 33%

Seychelles Comoros

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Thailand

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Peru

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Samoa Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Singapore relies heavily on trade with the rest of the world

Facts

Merchandise trade Largest merchandise exporters, 2007 Rank Developing countries 1

China

2

$ billions

Largest merchandise importers, 2007 Rank Developing countries

1,218

1

China

Russian Federation

355

2

Mexico

3

Mexico

272

3

4

Malaysia

176

4

5

Brazil

161

5

Sub-Saharan Africa 1995: 49% 2007: 59%

$ billions 956

The 10 largest exporters in 2007 accounted for more than twothirds of the merchandise exports from developing countries. World exports of services grew from $863 billion in 1990, to over $3.3 trillion in 2007.

The total number of bilateral and multilateral trade agreements in force and notified to the World Trade Organization increased from 21 in 1990, to 193 in 2008; of these, 119 were free trade agreements. Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: Russian Federation 223 The States imports more goods than any other country, The World Bank - IMF LibraryUnited Network IP : 138.220.77.170 followed by Germany and China. Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 India 217 Equatorial Guinea increased its merchandise exports by more than 156 times between 1990 and 2007. Cambodia’s merchandise exports Turkey 170 for the same period increased more than 51 times. 297

New Zealand

Internet links Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

www.oecd.org/trade

International Monetary Fund

www.imfstatistics.org/dot www.imfstatistics.org/bop

World Trade Organization

www.wto.org

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development

www.unctad.org

United Nations Trade Statistics

http://unstats.un.org/unsd/trade http://unstats.un.org/unsd/ servicetrade

(go to Resources, select Trade Statistics)

(go to Statistics, select Statistical databases online)

Economy

76 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

77


Europe & Central Asia 5%

Foreign direct investment foreign direct investment net inflows as a share of GDP, 2006 or latest available data

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

less than 1.0% Iceland

1.0–1.9%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

2.0–3.9%

C a n a d a

4.0–5.9%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

6.0% or more no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Bermuda (UK)

Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Middle East & North Africa 4%

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Cape Verde

Morocco Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Mauritania Senegal

Mali

Suriname

Guinea-Bissau

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Latin America & Caribbean 2%

US Virgin Islands (US)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Kiribati

Gibraltar (UK)

British Virgin Islands (UK)

The Bahamas

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Nauru

Indonesia

Tanzania

B r a z i l

Marshall Islands

Singapore

South Asia 2%

Seychelles Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Guam (US)

East Asia & Pacific 3%

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Philippines

Brunei Darussalam

Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

N. Mariana Islands (US)

Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Japan

Lao P.D.R.

Djibouti Nigeria

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Peru

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 2% New Zealand

High-income

China’s rapidly growing economy has benefitted from foreign direct investment

Developing countries that attracted the largest foreign direct investment net inflows, 2006 Rank

Developing countries

1

China

2

Russian Federation

3

Turkey

4

Mexico

5

Poland

6

Brazil

7

India

8

Romania

9

Egypt, Arab Rep. of

10

Thailand

3%

Facts

Luxembourg’s net outward direct investment in foreign economies in 2006 was nearly 2.7 times its GDP; Iceland’s was 33 percent of its GDP. 78.1 East Asia and Pacific received the highest net flow of portfolio equity— 30.8 $55 billion in 2006—accounting for more than half of the total for developing countries. China alone received 78 percent of this. 20.1 Turkey ($33 billion), Russian Federation ($27 billion), and 19.2 Kazakhstan ($26 billion) raised the largest net amount of capital 19.2 among all developing countries in 2006 through bond issuance and Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: commercial 18.8Bank - IMF Library The World Networkborrowing. IP : 138.220.77.170 Foreign direct investment net flows to high-income countries 17.5 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 accounted for nearly 74 percent of the world total in 2006. Among 11.4 developing regions, Europe and Central Asia received the highest 10.0 amount, having grown by 83 percent in nominal terms in 2006 to $114.3 billion. 9.0 $ billions

Internet links International Monetary Fund Balance of Payments Statistics

www.imfstatistics.org/bop

World Bank

www.worldbank.org/data

United Nations Conference on Trade and Development

Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency, World Bank Group

www.unctad.org (go to Statistics, select Statistical databases online)

www.fdi.net

Economy

78 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

79


A larger share of remittance flows are now going to developing countries Workers’ remittances and compensation of employees, received

$68.6 billion

High-income 54%

East Asia & Pacific 5% Europe & Central Asia 5% Latin America & Caribbean 8%

1990

Middle East & North Africa 17%

South Asia 8% Sub-Saharan Africa 3%

$336.9 billion East Asia & Pacific 17% High-income 25% Europe & Central Asia 13%

2007 Sub-Saharan Africa 5% South Asia 13%

Latin America & Caribbean 18% Middle East & North Africa 9%

Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators database

Migration is on the rise, especially from poor countries to rich countries. One reason is the large wage gap. Demographic trends in both developed and developing countries may also encourage migration. In many high-income countries, the population is aging and growing slowly, while in many developing countries the population is young and growing rapidly. This imbalance creates a strong demand for developing-country workers, especially to provide services that can only be supplied locally. Immigrants in high-income countries have increased to 11 percent of the population, up from 8 percent two decades before. One of the benefits of migration is an increasing flow of remittances—transfers of gifts and wages and salaries earned abroad—from migrants to their country of origin. Remittances have become an important source of foreign exchange for many developing countries. They have increased nearly five-fold since 1990, reaching almost $337 billion in 2007, with $251 billion going to developing countries. Already more than twice the size of foreign aid, remittances to developing countries are expected to continue growing. The largest share of remittances goes to a small number of middle-income economies in Latin America and Asia. However, the economies of Eastern Europe have also received a large part of the additional remittances.

Migration from low- and middle-income countries to high-income countries is on the rise Net in-migration 20

1990–1995

15

1995–2000

10

2000–2005

5 0

High-income

-5

Low-income

-10

Upper middle-income Lower middle-income

-15

Source: World Bank estimates based on United Nations Population Division’s data

Remittances to developing countries, especially to middle-income countries, continue to increase Remittances and net aid received, current US$, billions 250

remittances, middle-income countries

200

remittances, low-income countries net aid, low- and middle-income countries

150 100 50 0

0 1 2 5 3 4 6 7 1 0 9 8 3 2 4 5 6 7 199 199 199 199 199 199 199 199 199 199 200 200 200 200 200 200 200 200

Source: World Bank estimates based on data from the International Monetary Fund’s Balance of Payment Statistics and OECD DAC’s International Development Statistics

Small-island economies and Sub-Saharan African economies lose highly educated people through emigration Emigration rates of people with tertiary education from selected developing countries to OECD countries (%) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 a a e u ia iti us Fiji eone hana enya Rep. beria anda anda yan maic Bissa Ha biqu uriti amb K go, L G Li Gu Ja m Ma Ug G Rw ara n oza ier ine Co S u M G Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, A Profile of Immigrant Populations in the 21st Century: Data from OECD Countries Note: data circa 2000

Immigrants in OECD countries are more likely to be overqualified for their job, compared to the native-born Immigrants holding a job for which they are overqualified (%), circa 2000

People on the move

The movement of people across national borders is a visible and increasingly important aspect of global integration. Three percent of the world’s people—more than 190 million—now live in countries in which they were not born. The forces driving the flow of migrants from poor countries to rich countries are likely to grow stronger in the future.

35 Immigrants more than Greece 30 overqualified native-born

Denmark

25 20 15

Delivered by The World Bank e-library 10 to: The World Bank - IMF Library Network5 IP : 138.220.77.170 0 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 0

Spain Sweden Italy Luxambourg Czech Rep. Hungary

Austria

Canada Finland Ireland

United Australia Kingdom France United States Portugal Switzerland Poland

New Zealand

Slovak Republic Mexico Native-born more overqualified than immigrants

5 10 15 20 25 30 Native-born holding a job for which they are overqualified (%), circa 2000

35

Empirical studies have found that remittances can raise income levels, especially among the poor. Evidence from some countries suggests that a large proportion of remittances received are invested, which may lead to improvements in the overall economy. Migration also encourages higher levels of educational attainment. Moreover, increases in income from remittances along with the transfer of knowledge through migrants result in better health outcomes for other household members. Migration may also have negative effects. Among international migrants are millions of highly educated people who have moved to developed countries from developing countries. By migrating, they improve their own prospects and provide valuable services in high-income economies. But the loss of human capital, the so-called “brain drain,” from developing countries may increase the concentration of poverty and reduce the social benefits of migration. The regions most affected by brain drain are smallisland economies and Sub-Saharan Africa. For example, between 1995 and 2002, an estimated 69 percent of the medical officers trained in Ghana emigrated abroad, causing health services in the country to deteriorate. Furthermore, highly skilled emigrants do not always find jobs that match their skills in the destination country. Immigrants in most countries in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) are more likely to be overqualified —working in occupations for which their skills are too high—compared to the native-born population.

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Database on Immigrants in OECD Countries

Economy

80 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

81


Migration international migrants as a share of population, 2005

Greenland (Den)

less than 1.0% 1.0–2.9%

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

3.0–5.9%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

6.0–14.9%

C a n a d a

15.0% or more

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

The United States is the host of the largest number of migrants, accounting for 13 percent of its total population

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

St. Kitts and Nevis

Haiti

Jamaica

Dominica

Guadeloupe (Fr)

St. Lucia

Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Mauritania Senegal

The Gambia

Martinique (Fr)

Guinea-Bissau

Barbados

Guinea

Sierra Leone St. Vincent and the Grenadines

Grenada

Suriname

Morocco

Cape Verde

Antigua and Barbuda

Trinidad and Tobago R.B. de Venezuela Guyana Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Latin America & Caribbean was the largest net sender of migrants for 2000-2005

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Kiribati

Middle East & North Africa hosts the largest number of the world’s refugees

The Bahamas Mexico

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

US Virgin Islands (US)

Spain

Portugal

French Guiana (Fr)

Liberia

Mali

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Rep. of Yemen

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka

B r a z i l

Maldives

Kenya

Comoros

Mayotte (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Guam (US)

78 percent of the population of the United Arab Emirates was born in another country.

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda

Angola

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Brunei Darussalam

Somalia

Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

East Asia & Pacific has the smallest number of migrants, accounting for only 0.2 percent of its population

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Seychelles

French Polynesia (Fr)

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Djibouti Nigeria

Tanzania

Peru

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Samoa Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

60 percent of the world’s migrants live in high-income countries

Immigrants becoming US citizens at a swearing-in ceremony

Countries with highest migrations, 2000–2005 Rank

Country

1

United States

2

Spain

3

Italy

5

Canada

6

Germany

Rank

Country

Facts

In the 1960s, the majority of migrants lived in developing countries. Today, net in-migration (thousands) the majority reside in high-income countries. 6,493 The number of migrants in the world grew from about 70 million in 1960, to 2,846 more than 190 million in 2005. But this remained about 3 percent of the 1,125 world’s population. 1,041 As of 2005, 76 million migrants live in developing countries (about 1.4 percent 1,000 of their population), compared to 114 million in high-income countries (about 11 percent of their population). net out-migration (thousands) Delivered by The World Bank e-library Refugees areto: an important component of the migrant stock. At the end of 2006, The3,983 World Bank - IMF Library Network the number of refugees, including Palestinian refugees under the mandate of 1,900 IP : 138.220.77.170 the United Nations Relief and Works Agency (UNRWA), stood at 14.3 million, Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 1,350 accounting for approximately 7.5 percent of the migrants in the world.

1

Mexico

2

China

3

India

4

Iran, Islamic Rep. of

1,250

5

Pakistan

1,239

Out of 180 countries with migration estimates for 2000–2005, 82 are net migrant recipients and 98 are net migrant senders.

New Zealand

Internet links United Nations Population Division

www.un.org/esa/ population/migration

International Organization for Migration

www.iom.int

United Nations Refugee Agency

www.unhcr.org/ statistics.html

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

www.oecd.org/migration

International Labour Organization

www.ilo.org (go to Themes, select labour migration)

Economy

82 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

83


Outflows of remittances from high-income economies was $186 billion in 2007, up from $661 billion in 1990

Remittances remittances received as a share of GDP, 2007 or latest available data

Greenland (Den)

5.0% or more

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

2.5–4.9%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

1.0–2.4%

C a n a d a

0.5–0.9%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

less than 0.5% no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

US Virgin Islands (US) The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK) Belize

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico Cuba (US)

Latin America & Caribbean receives the largest amount of remittances ($61 billion in 2007)

Middle East & North Africa receives the largest remittances as a share of its GDP (3.5% in 2007) St. Kitts and Nevis

Dominica

Guadeloupe (Fr)

St. Lucia

Martinique (Fr)

Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Mauritania Mali

Senegal

Sierra Leone St. Vincent and the Grenadines

French Guiana (Fr)

Liberia

Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin

Guinea-Bissau Guinea

Grenada

Poland

Chad

The Gambia

Barbados

Suriname

Morocco

Cape Verde

Antigua and Barbuda

Trinidad and Tobago R.B. de Venezuela Guyana Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth) Kiribati

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Somalia Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa receives the smallest amount of remittances ($16 billion in 2007), accounting for 2 percent of its GDP

Lao PDR ($1 million), Malawi ($1 million), Samoa ($0.8 million), and Burundi ($0.1 million) received the smallest amount of remittances in 2007 Immigrant workers gather strawberries on a farm in California, United States

In 2007, Estonia received remittances more than 140 times the value in 2000. Romania and Kyrgyz Republic received remittances 88 and 78 times the value in 2000.

Facts

Top recipients, 2007 Workers’ remittances and compensation of employees Rank Developing country US$ billions 1

India

27.0

2

China

25.7

3

Mexico

25.1

4

Philippines

16.9

5

Poland

10.7

6

Romania

7

Bangladesh

8

Indonesia

9

Pakistan

6.0

10

Egypt, Arab Rep.

5.9

As a share of GDP, countries such as Seychelles (675 percent), Liberia (94 percent), Moldova (34 percent), Tajikistan (34 percent), and Tonga (33 percent) had the largest receipt of remittances in 2007. Chile (0.002 percent), Burundi (0.01 percent), Slovak Republic (0.02 percent), United States (0.02 percent), and Lao PDR (0.03 percent) had the smallest. At the beginning of the 1990s, more than half of remittances went to high-income countries. In 2007, middle-income countries received nearly 65 percent of all remittances, and low-income countries received 10 percent.

Remittances to developing countries increased from 1.2 percent of GDP in 1990 Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: to 1.8 percent in 2007. In high-income countries it remained constant at 8.5Bank - IMF Library The World Network 0.2 percent. IP : 138.220.77.170 6.6 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 High-income countries are the principal source of outward remittance flows. The 6.1

United States is the largest, with $44 billion in outward flows. Russian Federation ($18 billion) is the second largest, followed by Saudi Arabia ($16 billion), Switzerland ($15 billion) and Spain ($15 billion).

New Zealand

Internet links World Bank Group

www.worldbank.org/prospects/ migrationandremittances

International Monetary Fund, Balance of Payments Statistics

www.imfstatistics.org/bop

Development Research Centre on Migration, Globalisation and Poverty

www.migrationdrc.org

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

www.oecd.org/migration

Migration Information Source

www.migrationinformation.org

Economy

84 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

85


Aid for development

The global economy has become more integrated. More people are on the move. Countries are exchanging more goods and services, and international financial flows have increased. But even in an expanding world economy, many countries cannot finance their own development. Aid helps to fill the gap.

Nigeria is one of the many developing countries to benefit from debt relief

Aid for long-term development programs has not increased much since 1970s

Significant increase in ODA from DAC members is required to meet the target for 2010

Bilateral ODA net disbursements from DAC donors by purpose, constant 2006 $ (billions) 90

Net ODA as a Net ODA from DAC donors, share of donors’ GNI (%) constant 2004 $ (billions)

80

Administrative costs

50

0.35

120 0.3

0.28

30

100

Technical co-operation

20

0.25 Development programs and projects, and other resource provisions

10 1974

1978

1982

1986

1990

80 1994

1998

2002

0.2

2006 60

0.15

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Development Assistance Committee

Sub-Saharan Africa received nearly half of all aid to developing countries, but in 2006 almost one-third went to Nigeria for debt relief Share of official development assistance (ODA) net disbursements received, 2006 Europe & Central Asia 7% Latin America & Caribbean 8%

Nigeria 13% Sudan 2% Congo, Dem. Rep. 2% Ethiopia 2%

East Asia & Pacific 9%

Rest of South Asia 5%

Aid increased sharply in 2005, as donor countries followed through on promises made at the 2002 United Nations International Conference on Financing for Development, in Monterrey, Mexico, and reinforced at the 2005 Group of Eight (G8) summit at Gleneagles, Scotland. But a large part of this came as debt relief, not new aid flows. Aid in absolute terms and measured as a share of donors’ gross national income has declined since 2005. A significant increase in donor commitment is required to meet the targets set at Gleneagles.

Aid is not the only source of development finance, or, for many countries, the most important. Remittances and private capital flows are a growing source of financing for some. But extremely poor countries, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, still require substantial increases in aid to reach their developmental goals.

Pakistan 3% Rest of Sub Saharan Africa 27%

Rest of Middle East & North Africa 9% Iraq 10% Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Development Assistance Committee

0.1

20

0.05

0

Who were the largest donors in 2007?

10 20

20 00

20 05

0

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Development Assistance Committee

Different sources of finance for developing countries Sources of net financial flows, 2006 ($ billions) Bond issuance and commercial borrowing FDI and portfolio equity Aid Workers' remittances (net)

Sub-Saharan Africa

South Asia

Net aid disbursement from DAC donors, 2007 Middle East & North Africa Others 17%

United States 21% Latin America & Caribbean

Canada 4% Europe & Central Asia

Italy 4% Sweden 4%

Afghanistan 4%

40

19 95

difficulty servicing and can free up public resources for other purposes, but it may not result in an equivalent expansion of development activities. Humanitarian assistance provides relief for sudden disasters and emergency situations, but it does not generally contribute to financing long-term development.

90

Who were the largest donors? According to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development’s Development Assistance Committee (DAC), the top 10 donors in 2007 contributed 83 percent of all aid provided by DAC members. The top four—the United States, Germany, France, and United Kingdom— contributed more than half.

19

Development is a partnership between developing and donor countries. Donor countries help recipient countries build the capacity to foster change; recipient countries invest in their people and create an environment that sustains growth. Countries that have difficulty tapping financial markets must rely on aid flows from wealthier countries to fund development programs. After rising to a record $107 billion in 2005, official development assistance (ODA) to developing countries fell 1.9 percent in 2006 to $105 billion.

0.4

0.35

0.33

40

0 1970

Increase required to meet current 2010 targets

140

Humanitarian aid

60

% of GNI

2004 $ (billions)

Debt related aid

70

Germany 12%

The form and purpose for whichDelivered aid is by The World Bank e-library to: The World Bank - IMF Library Network Spain 5% IP : 138.220.77.170 given makes a difference. Technical Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 France 10% co-operation is mainly spent in the donor Netherlands 6% economy. Debt-related aid provides relief Japan 7% United Kingdom 10% from liabilities that recipient countries have Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Development Assistance Committee

86 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

East Asia & Pacific

-50

0

50

100

150

200

Source: World Bank, Global Development Finance, World Bank estimates based on data from the International Monetary Fund, Balance of Payment Statistics, OECD DAC, International Development Stastistics

Economy

87


Sweden gives the largest aid as a share of donor gross national income (GNI)

Aid aid per capita, 2006 received donated $75 or more

$200 or more

$30–74

$100–199

$10–29

Greenland (Den)

less than $50

net repayer

net donor

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

$50–99

less than $10

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

C a n a d a

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein

U n i t e d

S t a t e s Bermuda (UK)

The United States is the largest donor of total aid

Belize

Cuba

Morocco

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Alg

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Kiribati

Mauritania

Cape Verde

Senegal

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Mali

Guinea-Bissau

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Suriname

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

US Virgin Islands (US)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Mexico

Andorra Monaco

British Virgin Islands (UK)

The Bahamas

Cayman Islands (UK)

Luxembourg gives the largest aid per capita

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Bangladesh Qatar India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka

Lao P.D.R.

Guam (US)

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Nauru

Indonesia

Tanzania

B r a z i l

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Fiji

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Peru

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Brunei Darussalam

Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Japan

East Asia and Pacific received the smallest aid per capita of any region

Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa received the largest amount of net aid of any region New Zealand

In 2006, aid per capita received by developing countries was $19, up from $13 in 1990 Aid received by low-income countries in 2006 constituted 6.5 percent of their GNI. In middle-income countries, aid was only 0.4 percent of GNI.

A British Chinook helicopter takes UNHCR relief items to the Leepa Valley, in Pakistan-administered Kashmir

Net aid received as a share of GNI, 2006 Countries with a population Rank of 1 million or more

%

1

Liberia

56.3

2

Burundi

47.7

3

West Bank and Gaza

4

Afghanistan

5

Guinea-Bissau

6

Sierra Leone

7

Mozambique

8

Congo, Dem. Rep. of

9

Timor-Leste

10

Malawi

Facts Many donor countries pledged to provide aid equivalent to at least 0.7 percent of GNI, but the average remains below 0.28 percent. Only five countries – Norway, Sweden, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and Denmark – have fulfilled their pledge.

Since 1990, aid per capita increased by $17 in Sub-Saharan Africa, from $35 to $52. Aid per capita to East Asia and Pacific fell by $1, from $5 in 1990 to $4 in 2006. 27.6 Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: TyingNetwork arrangements, which limit where aid can be spent, may prevent 26.3 - IMF Library The World Bank aid recipients from obtaining the best value for their money. Only IP26.2 : 138.220.77.170 six DAC donors (Ireland, Luxembourg, The Netherlands, Sweden, Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 25.2 Norway, and the United Kingdom) provided nearly 100 percent untied aid in 2006. On average, 95 percent of the aid provided by 21.8 DAC members was untied in 2006, compared to 81 percent in 2000. 21.4 34.6

Internet links Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), Development Assistance Committee (DAC)

www.oecd.org/dac

Statistics on aid from OECD DAC

www.oecd.org/dac/stats

The European Commission

www.ec.europa.eu/europeaid

World Bank Group, International Development Association

www.worldbank.org/ida

31.9

International Monetary Fund, Poverty Reduction Growth Facility

www.imf.org (go to What the IMF does)

Economy

88 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

89


External debt

Many countries borrow from abroad to finance development. However, when debt exceeds the capacity of a country to service it, the debt burden becomes unsustainable and hinders development. Making debt manageable for poor countries is central to their efforts to achieve the Millennium Development Goals.

Developing countries’ debt increased... Long-term external debt, current $ (billions) 1,000

2006

East Asia & Pacific

Europe & Latin Middle East & Central America & North Asia Caribbean Africa

South Asia

1995 2006

1995 2006

1995 2006

200

0

Private nonguaranteed debt

1995 1995

1995 2006

600

400

Public and publicly guaranteed debt

2006

800

SubSaharan Africa

Source: World Bank, Global Development Finance database

...but the burden of debt has fallen

30 25 20 15

90

Source: World Bank, Global Development Finance database

1995 2006

Latin Middle East & America & North Caribbean Africa

1995 2006

Europe & Central Asia

1995 2006

1995 2006

East Asia & Pacific

1995 2006

1995 2006

10

0

Debt has been increasing in most regions, with two exceptions—the Middle East and North Africa, where debt declined by 16 percent from the 1995 level, and SubSaharan Africa, where debt relief programs reduced total indebtedness by 27 percent. Private debt in other developing regions, especially in Europe and Central Asia, increased significantly between 1995 and 2006. This, in part, reflects improved creditworthiness and increased confidence of foreign lenders in the long-term growth of developing countries. Extensive private borrowing, however, increases the risk of financial downturns to developing countries and foreign investors. Total debt service paid by developing countries was $538 billion in 2006. However, the debt burden measured by the ratio of debt service to exports fell from a high of 23 percent in 1999 to 12 percent in 2006. The Debt service has declined significantly for countries receiving debt relief

Total debt service (% of exports of goods, services, and income)

5

A country’s external debt burden affects its creditworthiness and vulnerability to financial shocks. In 2006, the external debt of developing countries was $2.8 trillion, with the 10 largest debtors owing 61 percent of the debt.

South Asia

SubSaharan Africa

ratio of total external debt to gross national income (GNI) declined from 43 percent to 26 percent. The size of their debt and their ability to repay became a problem for some Latin American countries in the 1980s, as well as for many countries in Africa, East Asia, Latin America, and Russia in the 1990s. The debt crises of the 1980s and 1990s were the result of excessive borrowing with overly optimistic expectations of future growth. Cyclical global recession, declining agricultural commodity prices, poor governance and economic mismanagement, and internal and external conflicts left many poor countries unable to service their external debt. Some countries continued to borrow to meet their outstanding obligations, which only added to their burden in the absence of sustained output and export growth. Traditional debt relief, based on rescheduling and restructuring of payments, was insufficient to meet the needs of the poorest countries. Special programs were started to address the problem of the poor countries with predominantly official creditors. In 1996, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) launched the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) initiative to provide relief to a group of mostly African countries with recurring debt repayment problems. The initiative aims to provide permanent relief from unsustainable debt by redirecting the resources going towards debt service to social expenditures directed to poverty reduction. The HIPC initiative will provide a nominal debt service relief of over $68 billion for 33 countries. Eight other countries are potentially eligible for HIPC debt relief, pending the agreement of macroeconomic reforms, poverty reduction strategies, and arrears clearance plans.

Furthermore, the International Development Association Public debt service, selected HIPC countries (% of exports) (IDA), the IMF, the African Development Fund (AfDF), and the 70 Inter-American Development Bank (IaDB) will provide 2005 2006 1995 60 additional debt relief for all countries under the Multilateral 50 Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI). As of September 2008, the four 40 multilaterals have already cancelled more than $42 billion in Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: terms to 23 countries that have made progress in their 30 nominal The World Bank - IMF Library Network 20 IP : 138.220.77.170economic and social reforms, as agreed to with the World Bank Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 10 and IMF under the HIPC initiative. The IDA, IMF, AfDF, and 0 s IaDB have provided approximately 69, 9, 15, and 7 percent of the a a a ue ne ana livi ura agu and biq Leo Gh Bo nd car Rw rra zam Ho Ni Sie Mo total MDRI debt relief, respectively. Source: World Bank, Global Development Finance database

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

HIPC Initiative and MDRI: Committed Debt Relief. Status as of September 2008, in current $ (millions)

Assistance Assistance delivered under the HIPC Initiative under MDRI

Country * Afghanistan Benin Bolivia Burkina Faso * Burundi

1,272

...

460

1,098

2,060

2,801

930

1,161

1,465

...

4,917

1,266

* Central African Republic

697

...

* Chad

260

...

10,389

...

Cameroon

* Congo, Dem. Rep. of * Congo, Rep. of Ethiopia Gambia, The

2,881

...

3,275

3,208

90

394

Ghana

3,500

3,801

* Guinea

800

...

* Guinea-Bissau

790

...

1,354

705

Guyana * Haiti Honduras * Liberia

213

...

1,000

2,703

4,006

...

Madagascar

1,900

2,339

Malawi

1,600

1,526

895

1,914

Mali Mauritania

1,100

855

Mozambique

4,300

1,990

Nicaragua

4,500

1,895

Niger

1,190

1,026

Rwanda

1,316

486

São Tomé and Príncipe

263

59

Senegal

850

2,408

Sierra Leone

994

644

Tanzania

3,000

3,743

Uganda

1,950

3,422

Zambia Total

3,900 68,116

2,699 42,143

* Countries will receive MDRI assistance once they reach the HIPC completion point. Source: World Bank

Internal conflict can add to a country’s debt burden

Economy

91


External debt external debt as a share of GNI, 2006

Greenland (Den)

60% or more Faeroe Islands (Den)

45–59% Iceland

30–44% C a n a d a

less than 15%

Isle of Man (UK)

United Kingdom

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

S t a t e s

Monaco

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Morocco

US Virgin Islands (US)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Alg

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Mauritania Cape Verde Guadeloupe (Fr) Mali Guatemala Honduras Aruba Dominica Martinique (Fr) Senegal The Gambia (Neth) St. Lucia El Salvador Barbados Burkina Faso Guinea-Bissau Nicaragua Guinea Benin St. Vincent and the Grenadines Panama Costa Rica Trinidad Sierra Côte Ghana and Tobago Grenada Leone d'Ivoire Netherlands R.B. de Liberia French Guiana Antilles (Neth) Venezuela Guyana Togo (Fr) Colombia Belize

Jamaica

Haiti

Kiribati

Guinea-Bissau 241%

Suriname Ecuador

São Tomé and Príncipe

R u s s i a n

F e d e r a t i o n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria Hungary Moldova nce Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Bahrain Nepal Bhutan eria Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

U n i t e d

Finland

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Sweden Norway

The Netherlands

15–29%

Russian Federation 26%

Turkey 52%

Poland

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Lao P.D.R.

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Nauru

Indonesia Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Peru

Liberia 541%

B r a z i l

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

China 12%

Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Tanzania

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola Zambia Malawi

Vanuatu

Bolivia

São Tomé and Príncipe 296%

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Fiji

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Low-income Middle-income

Turkey is one of the top ten debtor countries

Facts

Top 10 debtors in 2006 Rank

Developing countries

32% 25%

Total external debt ($ billions)

1

China

323

2

Russian Federation

251

3

Turkey

208

4

Brazil

194

5

Mexico

6

India

7

Indonesia

8

Poland

9

Argentina

10

Kazakhstan

Internet links

In Sub-Saharan Africa, the ratio of debt to GNI fell from an average 65 percent in 2000–2002 to 26 percent in 2006.

Bank for International Settlements

www.bis.org

Out of 126 countries with available estimates, 86 lowered their external debt to GNI ratio between 1995 and 2006.

World Bank

www.worldbank.org/debt

For 41 Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC), the ratio of public debt service to exports fell from 13 percent in 2000 to 5 percent in 2006.

Quarterly External Debt Statistics

www.worldbank.org/qeds

161

Delivered by The World Bank to: that HIPC debt service ratios will fall to an average of It ise-library projected 153Bank - IMF Library The World Network 3.3 percent by 2011. IP : 138.220.77.170 131 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 Short-term debt poses an immediate burden and is particularly 126 important for monitoring financial vulnerability. Developing countries 122 lowered their short-term debt to foreign exchange reserves ratio from 95 in 1990 to 23 in 2006. 74

(go to statistics, select external debt)

www.oecd.org Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (go to statistics, select finance) International Monetary Fund

www.imf.org/external/np/ sta/ed/ed.htm

Joint External Debt Hub

www.jedh.org Economy

92 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

93


The urban environment

Cities can be tremendously efficient, as it is easier to provide water and sanitation services to people living closer together in urban settings than in dispersed rural communities. Health care, education, and other social and cultural services are more accessible. But as cities grow, the cost of meeting basic needs increases, and so does the demand on the environment and natural resources.

Cities, now home to almost half of the world’s people, are growing rapidly in size and number, especially in developing countries. People flock to cities for work, access to public services, and a higher standard of living. By 2050, the world’s urban population is expected to double, from 3.2 billion in 2006 to 6.4 billion. Sub-Saharan Africa will experience a drastic urbanization as its urban population increases from 269 million to more than a billion in the next four decades. Among developing countries, urbanization has gone farthest in Latin America and the Caribbean, where 78 percent of people now live in urban areas; increasing to 89 percent by 2050 (definitions of urban areas vary by country and may not be fully comparable). By 2050, 70 percent of the world’s population will live in urban

East Asia and Pacific has the largest urban population, surpassing the high-income countries; Middle East and North Africa has the smallest Population living in urban areas (millions) 1000 800

East Asia & Pacific

Latin America & Caribbean

South Asia

Europe & Central Asia

Middle East & North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

High-income countries

600 400 200 0

0 196

5 197

0 197

5 196

0 198

5 198

0

0 200

5 199

199

Source: UN World Urbanization Prospects, The 2007 Revision and World Bank estimates

Particulate matter concentration has been reduced in all regions Urban-population-weighted particulate matter (PM10 per cubic meter) 150 120 90 60 30 0

94

1990

2005

East Asia & Pacific

1990

2005

Europe & Central Asia

1990

2005

Latin America & Caribbean

1990

2005

Middle East & North Africa

1990

2005

South Asia

1990

2005

Sub-Saharan Africa

5 200

In slum areas, lack of hygiene and sanitation ensures that water-borne diseases are rife

Fast growing middle-income countries now contain almost two-thirds of the world's urban population Share of global urban population, 1960 and 2007 (%) 1960 (987 million) 5.6%

30.1%

43.7%

20.6%

2007 (3,262 million) 12.6% 24.5%

areas, in some countries placing tremendous pressure on the capacity of the natural and manmade environment to support them. The consequences are deteriorating living conditions, the growth of slums, the destruction of habitat, and air and water pollution. Urbanization and the environment Urbanization by itself is not an environmental issue, but environmental externalities are more frequent in cities. The cost of urbanization to human health comes from a variety of sources. Diarrheal diseases from inadequate sanitation account for an estimated 4 percent of the global burden of disease. The proximity to industrial works and roadways, and the use of inefficient and polluting sources of energy can result in exposure to high levels of soot and small particles (PM10—fine, suspended particulates less than 10 microns in diameter) and contribute to respiratory diseases, lung cancer, and heart disease.

Air and water pollution in many of the world’s major cities cause moderate to severe sickness and death, and cost billions of dollars in lost productivity and damages. Although all the world’s large cities share these problems, water pollution tends to be most serious in south, southeast, and central Asia. Air Delivered by The World Bankpollution e-library to: has the biggest impact in China, Latin America and The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170the Caribbean, and Eastern Europe. Not only are the human Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 and financial costs of pollution high, they tend to fall 1990 2005 disproportionately on poor people. So addressing pollution is High-income justified on equity, economic, and environmental grounds.

Source: World Bank estimates based on the study Ambient Particulate Matter Concentration in Residential and Pollution Hotspot Areas of the World Cities: New Estimates Based on the Global Model of Ambient Particulates (GMAPS), 2006

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

43.9%

19.0%

Low-income

Upper-middle-income

Lower-middle-income

High-income

Source: UN World Urbanization Prospects, The 2007 Revision and World Bank estimates

Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia have the lowest access to improved sanitation in urban areas Percentage of urban population with access to improved sanitation facilties

East Asia & Pacific

1990

Europe & Central Asia

1990

Latin America & Caribbean

1990

Middle East & North Africa

1990

2006

2006

2006

2006 1990

South Asia

2006 1990

Sub-Saharan Africa

2006 1990

High-income

2006 0

20

40

60

80

100

Source: World Health Organization and World Bank estimates

Environment

95


Europe & Central Asia 64%

Urbanization urban population as a share of total population, 2007

Greenland (Den)

less than 35% 35–49%

Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

50–64%

Sweden Finland

Norway The Netherlands

65–79%

C a n a d a

80% or more

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s US Virgin Islands (US)

Mexico

Belize

Cuba

Antigua and Barbuda

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

Barbados

Alg

Mauritania Mali

Senegal

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Morocco

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis

Suriname

Guinea-Bissau

Belarus

Eritrea

Chad

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Poland

Niger

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Latin America & Caribbean 78%

Gibraltar (UK)

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Kiribati

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Spain

Portugal

Middle East & North Africa 57%

The Bahamas

Cayman Islands (UK)

Monaco

Bermuda (UK)

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Maldives

Kenya

East Asia & Pacific 43%

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Marshall Islands

Palau Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Tanzania

B r a z i l

Lao P.D.R.

South Asia 29%

Seychelles Comoros

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Japan

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Rep. of Korea

n a

Vietnam Cambodia

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Thailand

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Peru

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Nepal Bhutan eria Bahrain Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 36% New Zealand

Mumbai, India, is one of the fastest growing cities in the developing world

10 most urbanized developing countries, 2007 Rank

Country

Urban population as % of total population

1

Venezuela, Rep. Bol. de

93

2

Uruguay

92

3

Argentina

92

4

Chile

88

5

Lebanon

6

Brazil

7

Gabon

8

Jordan

9

Libya

10

Mexico

Facts In most developed countries, the onset of urbanization coincided with the Industrial Revolution of the 19th century, when farm workers, displaced by the mechanization of agriculture, flooded into the cities. In 2001, 924 million people were living in slums worldwide; the present trend indicates that about 2 billion people will be living in slums in 2030.

Latin America and the Caribbean has a higher percentage of urban 87 Delivered by The World Bank e-library than to: high-income countries. population 85 The World Bank - IMF Library Network Urban areas cover only about 3 percent of the world's land area. 85IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 78 There is a great disparity in the world's concentration of urban population: 75 percent live in 25 countries, and 55 percent live in 77 10 countries. 77

Internet links United Nations Population Information Network

www.un.org/popin

Population Reference Bureau

www.prb.org

World Bank Urban Development

www.worldbank.org/urban

United Nations World Urbanization Prospects, The 2007 Revision

http://esa.un.org/unup/

Environment

96 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

97


200 100

150

90

100

80 1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization

98

2000

2002

2004

2006

50 2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization. * May 2008

0

In 2002, almost 1.4 billion people were living on fragile lands, more than three-quarters of them in Asia and Africa. On these lands, the yields are low, the risks of crop failure are high, and a large portion of the population is undernourished. Many, especially in Africa, are vulnerable to climate variability and associated floods and droughts that are likely to become more pronounced as a result of climate change, leading to local famines and increased levels malnutrition. Sustainable production methods, Delivered by The World Bank of e-library to: The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170based on environmentally sound practices, along Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 with the development of more efficient markets for 2007 2008* farm inputs and outputs and off-farm activities, are the keys to improving rural livelihoods and expanding the global food supply.

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

2004–2006

1989–1991

2004–2006

1979–1981

High-income countries

Sub-Saharan Africa cereal yields remain low Cereal yield (metric tons per hectare) 5

4

0

Sub-Saharan Africa

Developing countries

2004–2006

1989–1991

1979–1981

2004–2006

1

1989–1991

2

1979–1981

3 2004–2006

Many poor farmers subsist on fragile lands, poorly suited to intensive farming. They lack access to fertilizers, farm equipment, irrigation systems, high-yielding plant varieties, and markets for their produce. Overgrazing, deforestation, improper crop rotation, and poor soil and water management contribute to land degradation. The degradation of land reduces its productivity, encouraging growing populations to move on to new and poorer land, converting forests and fragile, semi-arid areas into low-productivity cultivated areas.

Developing countries

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization

1989–1991

however, may also cause further environmental degradation. The effects of climate change represent a further challenge to efforts to raise the productivity of plants and animals.

Sub-Saharan Africa

1989–1991

100

1979–1981

1989–1991

2004–2006

200

1979–1981

300

High-income countries

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization

Sub-Saharan Africa also lags far behind in the use of agricultural machinery Tractors per 1,000 hectares of arable land 50

40 30

20 10

0

Sub-Saharan Africa

Developing countries

2001–2003

250

400

1989–1991

110

Sugar Oils & Fats Cereal Dairy Meat Food Price Index

500

1979–1981

Developed countries Developing countries Latin America & Caribbean Asia Africa

600

2001–2003

Food Price Index 1998–2000 base prices 300

700

1989–1991

Food production per capita index, 1999–2001=100 120

800

1979–1981

World food prices have climbed rapidly since 2006

Cereal production per capita (kilograms)

2001–2003

Producing more food requires more efficient use of the agricultural inputs—land, water, and soil fertility. Intensified cultivation through the use of fertilizers, pesticides, irrigation, and new plant varieties can make limited land more productive. Such practices,

Cereal production per capita has increased slightly in developing countries

1989–1991

Food production per capita has risen in developing countries, especially in Asia

The demand for food will continue to grow because of population growth, increasing income and changes in dietary habits, and industrial demand for commodities such as corn and soybean. Food consumption patterns in developing countries are changing as incomes rise. Traditional meals, based on cereals and vegetables, are being replaced by more input-intensive and higher-priced meat products.

Overgrazing is one of many causes of land degradation

1979–1981

By 2050, there will be 9 billion people living on Earth, almost 3 billion more than today. Most will live in cities, but all will depend on rural areas to feed them. Since 2000, the world’s food supply has grown by 1.2 percent annually. Production in the developing regions of Asia and Latin

America and the Caribbean has grown even faster, at around 2 percent. But in Africa, with some of the highest rates of undernourishment, food production has barely kept pace with the population increase.

1979–1981

Feeding a growing world

Agricultural output has grown more rapidly than population, but so has the demand for agricultural products. Malnutrition and food shortages take a pervasive toll in developing countries, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa. Meeting the growing demand for food and improving the quality of life of those who produce it requires increasing the productivity of farmers and their land.

High-income countries

Source: Food and Agriculture Organization

Environment

99


Europe & Central Asia 6%

Undernourishment prevalence of undernourishment, share of population, 2004

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

40% or more Iceland

25–39% 10–24%

C a n a d a

5–9%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Bermuda (UK) US Virgin Islands (US) Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Gibraltar (UK)

Middle East & North Africa 7%

The Bahamas

Spain

Portugal

St. Kitts and Nevis

Morocco Alg

Former Spanish Sahara

Antigua and Barbuda

Mauritania Cape Verde Guadeloupe (Fr) Mali Guatemala Honduras Aruba Dominica Martinique (Fr) Senegal The Gambia (Neth) St. Lucia El Salvador Barbados Burkina Faso Nicaragua Guinea-Bissau Guinea Benin St. Vincent and the Grenadines Panama Costa Rica Trinidad Sierra Leone Grenada Côte Ghana and Tobago d'Ivoire Netherlands R.B. de Liberia French Guiana Antilles (Neth) Venezuela Guyana Togo (Fr) Colombia Belize

Kiribati

Latin America & Caribbean 10%

Jamaica

Haiti

Suriname

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

R u s s i a n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria Hungary Moldova nce Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Bahrain Nepal Bhutan eria Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Poland

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Rep. of Yemen

Nigeria Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia Maldives

Kenya

B r a z i l

Lao P.D.R.

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

East Asia & Pacific 12% Marshall Islands

Palau Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

South Asia 21%

Seychelles Peru

Japan

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Rep. of Korea

n a

Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Thailand

Djibouti

Tanzania

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Zambia Malawi

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

F e d e r a t i o n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

no data

Finland

Denmark

Ireland

less than 5%

Sweden Norway

The Netherlands

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 30% New Zealand

Feeding centers are important in preventing undernourishment in many countries

Countries with the highest levels of undernourishment (% of population) 2004

Rank Country 1

Eritrea

75

2

Congo, Dem. Rep. of

74

3

Burundi

66

4

Tajikistan

56

5

Sierra Leone

6

Liberia

7

Zimbabwe

8

Ethiopia

9

Haiti

10

Zambia

Facts

Internet links

Among developing regions, East Asia and Pacific has had the fastest reduction in the prevalence of undernourishment since 1990.

Food and Agriculture Organization

www.fao.org/faostat/ foodsecurity/index_en.htm

In Sub-Saharan Africa, the number of undernourished people has increased from 150 million in 1990 to 222 million in 2004.

Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research

www.cgiar.org

World Food Programme

www.wfp.org/english

International Fund for Agricultural Development

www.ifad.org

51

Delivered by The World Bank e-library Rural poor to: people make up an estimated 80 percent of the world’s The World50Bank - IMF Library 800 Network million hungry people. IP : 138.220.77.170 47 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 46 A large proportion of the hungry is concentrated in areas vulnerable 46 to environmental degradation and climate change. 46

Environment

100 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

101


Food production food production per capita index, average annual growth, 1990–2006

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

less than -1.0% Iceland

-1.0–0.0% 0.1–0.9% C a n a d a

1.0–1.9%

Isle of Man (UK)

2.0% or more

United Kingdom

Fra

Liechtenstein Andorra

S t a t e s

Monaco

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Morocco

US Virgin Islands (US)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK)

Belize

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Alg

Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Senegal

Kiribati

Suriname

Mali

Guinea-Bissau

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Poland

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Bahrain Nepal Bhutan eria Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Mauritania

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Germany Belgium

Luxembourg

U n i t e d

Finland

Denmark

Ireland

Channel Islands (UK)

no data

Sweden Norway

The Netherlands

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Tanzania

B r a z i l

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Peru

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Terraced rice paddies near a Red Zao village, outside of Sapa, Lao Cai province, northern Vietnam

Countries with highest level of agricultural productivity, 2003–05 Rank

Country

Agricultural value added per worker, 2000 $

1

France

44,017

2

Canada

43,055

3

Netherlands

42,198

4

United States

41,797

5

Belgium

6

Denmark

7

Singapore

8

Norway

9

Japan

35,517

10

Sweden

33,023

Facts Worldwide, agriculture accounts for 3 percent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), but 26 percent of GDP in low-income economies. World food production per capita grew by 1.2 percent a year between 2000 and 2006.

41,631

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to:30 years, Africa experienced at least one major Over the last 40,780 The World Bank - IMF Library Network drought each year. 40,419 IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 37,776

The Sub-Saharan African cereal yield is about 1,100 kilograms per hectare, one-third of the world average.

Internet links Food and Agriculture Organization

www.fao.org

International Food Policy Research Institute

www.ifpri.org

Consultative Group on International Agricultural Research

www.cgiar.org

World Food Programme

www.wfp.org/english

African Green Revolution

www.africagreenrevolution.com/ en/index.html Environment

102 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

103


South Asia, and Middle East and North Africa face severe water scarcity Renewable internal freshwater resources per capita, 2005 (1,000 cubic meters) 25 20 15 10 5 0

a & & & & ica me Asi pe sia ica ast Afr nco t A cific Euro l Asia mer bean le E Africa outh ran h-i S a in A arib idd th a g Eas Pa r i h t a H n t C M Nor Ce La b-S Su Source: Based on the data from World Resources Institute and FAO, AQUASTAT

Most freshwater in developing countries is used for agriculture Share of freshwater withdrawals, most recent year available, 1999-2007 (%) a agriculture

100

80

d

d

d

d domestic d i

i industry d i

i i

Freshwater supplies are declining. With the projected growth in population and economic activity, the share of the world’s population facing water shortages will increase more than fivefold by 2050. Human needs for water in daily life compete with demand from agriculture for irrigation, energy production, and other industrial uses. Urbanization and changes in lifestyle also lead to higher per capita use. Climate change is also expected to influence the availability and distribution of freshwater supplies. These trends pose a significant challenge for meeting the Millennium Development Goals and sustaining the growth of developing countries. Although the Earth’s water resources are estimated at about 1.4 billion cubic kilometers, only a fraction is available for human needs. Freshwater makes up only 2.5 percent of total water resources, or about 35 million cubic kilometers. Most freshwater occurs in the form of permanent ice or snow, locked up in Antarctica and Greenland, or in deep groundwater aquifers. The principal sources of water for human use are lakes, Irrigated lands are increasing, putting more pressure on water resources Irrigated land (% of cropland) 40

d i

d

35 30

i i

60

25 20

0

a a e & & & & Asi fric pe sia ica ast com nA t A cific Euro l Asia mer bean le E Africa outh -in S ara Eas Pa igh h tra tin A Carib Midd rth a H n Ce La b-S No Su

104

Source: Based on the data from World Resources Institute and FAO, AQUASTAT

5 0

& & e& ca ast a rop sia eri ean le E fric Eu ral A Am ribb dd rth A i t n i a n t M No C La Ce

uth

So

a

Asi

ran

ha -Sa

Despite progress, more than 40 percent of the population in Sub-Saharan Africa lack access to an improved water source Access to an improved water source (% of population) East Asia & 1990 Pacific 2006

Europe & 1990 Central Asia 2006 Latin America & 1990 Caribbean 2006

Middle East & 1990 North Africa 2006

South Asia

1990 2006

Sub-Saharan 1990 Africa 2006

rivers, soil moisture, and relatively shallow groundwater basins. The usable portion is less than 1 percent of all freshwater and only 0.03 percent of all water on Earth. Much of that is located far from human populations. Humans compete with ecosystems for the use of freshwater. Extraction of water for human needs diminishes the amount available to maintain the ecosystem’s integrity. Pollution of water bodies leads to the further degradation of natural systems. The three major factors leading to increased water demand over the past century have been population growth, industrial development, and the expansion of irrigated land for agriculture. Agriculture accounts for 70 percent of freshwater withdrawals— 90 percent in low-income countries. Most is used for irrigation to provide about 40 percent of world food production.

Although domestic use of water for drinking and washing is the smallest part of demand, providing safe water for human consumption is of great importance for health and wellbeing. Water supplies should be free of chemical and biological contaminants, delivered in such a way that their cleanliness is protected. They should also be regularly and conveniently Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: available. The World Bank - IMF Library Network To meet the water supply MDG target by 2015, more IP : 138.220.77.170than 500 million people need to gain access to improved water Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 sources. a ric 1989–1991

10

2001–2003

a

1989–1991

a

2001–2003

a

1989–1991

a

2001–2003

a

1989–1991

a

2001–2003

a

20

1989–1991

15

40

The diversion of water for irrigation has resulted in the Aral Sea shrinking, causing health problems and destroying the fishing industry

2001–2003

A thirsty planet gets thirstier

Water is crucial to economic growth and development—and to the survival of both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems. 700 million people worldwide, living in 43 countries, currently suffer from water shortage, and more than 900 million people lack access to safe drinking water.

Af

b Su

Note: Data are not available for East Asia and Pacific Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators 2008 based on data from FAO

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

High-income

1990 2006 20

0

40

60

80

100

Source: World Health Organization and World Bank estimates

People in rural areas are more likely to lack access to improved water sources People without access to improved water, 2006 (millions)

rural

East Asia & Pacific

urban

rural urban

Europe & Central Asia

rural urban

Latin America & Caribbean

rural urban

Middle East & North Africa

rural urban

South Asia

Sub-Saharan rural Africa urban rural urban

High-income

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Source: World Health Organization and World Bank estimates

Environment

105


Europe & Central Asia 11,841m3

Freshwater resources renewable internal freshwater resources per capita (cubic meters), 2005

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

less than 1,000 Iceland

1,000–1,999 2,000–4,999 C a n a d a

5,000–19,999

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

20,000 or more

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

S t a t e s

Monaco

Bermuda (UK) US Virgin Islands (US) Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK)

Belize

Antigua and Barbuda Cape Verde

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Barbados

Morocco Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Mauritania Mali

Senegal

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Suriname

Guinea-Bissau

Poland

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

Liberia

Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Rep. of Yemen

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin

Guinea

Sierra Leone

Cameroon

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Maldives

Kenya

South Asia 1,230m3

Seychelles Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Japan

Lao P.D.R.

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Comoros

East Asia & Pacific 5,022m3 Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Rep. of Korea

n a

Vietnam Cambodia

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Thailand

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria Hungary Moldova nce Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Bahrain Nepal Bhutan eria Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Latin America & Caribbean 24,471m3

St. Kitts and Nevis

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Kiribati

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Gibraltar (UK)

Middle East & North Africa 760m3

The Bahamas

Spain

Portugal

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

U n i t e d

Finland

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Sweden Norway

The Netherlands

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 5,062m3 New Zealand

Young woman taking water from a centuries-old cistern, in the village of Hababa, west of Sana’a, Yemen

Highest domestic use of freshwater Rank

Country

Share of water for domestic use, 1987–2002 (%)

1

Lithuania

78

2

Congo, Rep. of

70

3

Trinidad and Tobago

68

4

Panama

67

5

Estonia

6

Latvia

7

Congo, Dem. Rep. of

8

Togo

9

Colombia

50

10

Gabon

50

Facts The world's use of freshwater exceeds 3,800 billion cubic meters a year. Latin America, with 31 percent, and East Asia, with 22 percent, have more than half of the world's freshwater resources.

The Middle East and North Africa region has the least per capita freshwater resources: less than 760 cubic meters per person. Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 53 The World Bank - IMF Library Network South Asia uses 90 percent of total freshwater withdrawals for IP : 138.220.77.170 53 agricultural use. Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 57

53

Since the 1900s freshwater withdrawals have increased sixfold, almost twice the rate of population growth.

Internet links AQUASTAT, Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

www.fao.org (click on ‘statistical databases’)

UN Environment Programme

www.unep.org

World Resource Institute

www.wri.org

Environment

106 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

107


Europe & Central Asia 95%

Access to water share of population with access to improved water source, 2006

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

less than 50% Iceland

50–69%

Sweden Finland

Norway

70–89%

The Netherlands

C a n a d a

90–99%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Denmark

Ireland

100% no data

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Bermuda (UK) US Virgin Islands (US)

Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK)

Belize

Latin America & Caribbean 91%

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

Barbados

Alg

Former Spanish Sahara

Oman

Mauritania Mali

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Morocco

Belarus

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Guinea-Bissau

Eritrea

Chad

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Suriname

Niger

Senegal

Ecuador

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon Equatorial Guinea Gabon

Congo

Sri Lanka Somalia Maldives

Kenya

B r a z i l Bolivia

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

East Asia & Pacific 87% Marshall Islands

Palau Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Comoros

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Tuvalu

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola Zambia

Philippines

South Asia 87%

Seychelles

French Polynesia (Fr)

N. Mariana Islands (US)

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

i n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Tanzania

Peru

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Myanmar

Antigua and Barbuda

Panama

Netherlands Antilles (Neth) Kiribati

St. Kitts and Nevis

Haiti

Jamaica

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Costa Rica

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Gibraltar (UK)

Middle East & North Africa 89%

The Bahamas

Spain

Portugal

F e d e r a t i o n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria nce Hungary Moldova Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania Italy FYR Macedonia Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Arab Rep. Lebanon Afghanistan of Iran C h Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Bahrain Nepal Bhutan eria Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. United Arab of Egypt Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Germany Poland Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Malawi

Fiji

Vanuatu

Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana

Paraguay

Réunion (Fr)

Mauritius

New Caledonia (Fr)

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland South Africa

Uruguay Chile Argentina

Lesotho

Sub-Saharan Africa 58% New Zealand

A standpipe is often the only freshwater supply to communities in the developing world

Lowest access to an improved water source Rank

Country

% of population, 2006

1

Somalia

29

2

Papua New Guinea

40

3

Ethiopia

42

4

Mozambique

42

5

Niger

6

Congo, Dem. Rep. of

7

Madagascar

8

Nigeria

9

Chad

48

10

Angola

51

Facts Globally, around 900 million people do not have access to improved water sources. Of those, 36 percent, or about 325 million, live in Sub-Saharan Africa. In developing countries about 16 percent of the population do not have access to an improved source of water.

In Sub-Saharan Africa, about 54 percent of the rural population do not have access to an improved source of water. Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 46 The World Bank - IMF Library Network The world needs to increase food production by 50 percent by the IP : 138.220.77.170 year 2030, indicating more demand on the agricultural share of 47 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 freshwater consumption. 47

Internet links WHO/UNICEF Joint www.wssinfo.org/en/ Monitoring Programme (JMP) welcome.html for Water Supply and Sanitation WHO Water Sanitation and Health (WSH)

www.who.int/ water_sanitation_health/en

UNICEF ChildInfo

www.childinfo.org

UN Development Programme

www.undp.org

42

About 36 countries use more than 90 percent of their freshwater for agricultural purposes.

Environment

108 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

109


Burned out forest in Amazonia, Para, Brazil

Protecting the environment

Forests directly contribute to the livelihood of poor people. In addition, they nourish the natural systems on which many more people depend. They also account for as much as 90 percent of terrestrial biodiversity. In most countries, however, forests are shrinking.

Forests meet many people’s basic, everyday needs, providing food, fuel, building materials, and clean water. Forests also provide essential public goods of global value. They facilitate the hydrological and nutrient cycles and act as carbon sinks, helping reduce greenhouse gas accumulation in the atmosphere. Many of the world’s rural poor people directly depend on forest products for their livelihoods. Forest loss is taking a terrible toll on both the natural and economic resources of many countries. Deforestation is the main cause of

Forests cover over 30 percent of all land

Among developing regions, Latin America and the Caribbean and Sub-Saharan Africa have the largest protected land areas

Forest coverage (% of land area), 1990 and 2005 50

Regional distribution of protected areas, 2004 (1,000 sq. km) 40

South Asia 289

30

High-income 4,301

Middle East & North Africa 301 Europe & Central Asia 1,611

biodiversity loss. Biodiversity refers to the variety of plants and animal species on earth, the genetic variability within each species, and the variety of ecosystems in which they live. Tropical forests are particularly rich in diversity of life. In addition, forest loss in the tropics is responsible for 10 to 30 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions.

Rainforest protected from destruction within the Argentinian sector of Iguazú National Park

20

1990 2005

d Wo rl

1990 2005

e om

gh -in c

ha Afr ran 1990 ica 2005

Hi

-Sa

1990 2005

Su b

1990 2005

1990 2005

1990 2005

tA s Pac ia & ific Ce Euro ntr pe al A & sia Lat in Am Ca eric rib a & bea n Mi dd No le E rth ast Afr & ica So uth Asi a

Eas

0

1990 2005

East Asia & Pacific 1,927 10

Source: FAO, Global Forest Resources Assessment 2005

Protected areas conserve habitat for plants and animals

Sub-Saharan Africa 2,653

Latin America & Caribbean 3,966

Source: United Nations Environment Programme and WCMC, and World Bank estimates

Latin America and the Caribbean and SubSaharan Africa contained about 40 percent of world forests in 2005

Nationally protected land area (% of land area), 2004 Regional forest coverage, 2005 (1,000 sq. km)

20

12 8 4

& sia t A ific Eas Pac

110

New incentives and careful regulation are needed to stop deforestation. Particularly valuable forest areas East Asia & Pacific 4,507 High-income may be designated as protected areas to safeguard them 9,656 from illegal and unsustainable exploitation. The total Sub-Saharan Africa e-library to: of terrestrial and marine protected sites has 6,247Delivered by The World Bankarea The World Bank - IMF Library Network increased steadily in the past three decades. It is IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 estimated that about 12 percent of forest areas worldLatin America & Caribbean Europe & Central Asia wide have come under protection. However, 9,147 8,830 designating land as protected is not sufficient. Source: FAO Global Forest Resources Assessment 2005 and World Bank estimates Enforcement is needed to ensure protection. Middle East & North Africa 211

16

0

Deforestation is largely driven by human action and economic development. Because many services provided by forests are not valued, they are subject to destructive and unsustainable exploitation that is not economically or environmentally justified. Forests are cleared to expand agricultural land or allow the exploitation of minerals. Timber is used to provide fuel and raw material for manufacturing and construction. In many cases, proper accounting would show that forests are more valuable than these destructive uses.

a & ica e& a& Asi ast a Afr th rop ia meric ean an le E Afric Sou r Eu al As b d a A b d ah Mi orth ntr Latin Cari b-S Ce N Su

Source: United Nations Environment Programme and WCMC, and World Bank estimates

South Asia 801

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

Environment

111


Forest lost and gained average annual change in forest area, between 1990 and 2005

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

Decrease of 1.0% or more Iceland

Decrease of 0.1–0.9% No significant change C a n a d a

Increase of 0.1–0.9%

Isle of Man (UK)

United Kingdom

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Morocco

US Virgin Islands (US)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Alg

St. Kitts and Nevis

Former Spanish Sahara

Antigua and Barbuda

Mauritania Cape Verde Guadeloupe (Fr) Mali Martinique (Fr) Guatemala Honduras Aruba Dominica Senegal The Gambia (Neth) St. Lucia El Salvador Barbados Burkina Faso Nicaragua Guinea-Bissau Guinea Benin St. Vincent and the Grenadines Panama Costa Rica Trinidad Sierra Leone Grenada Côte Ghana and Tobago d'Ivoire Netherlands R.B. de Liberia French Guiana Antilles (Neth) Venezuela Guyana Togo (Fr) Colombia Belize

Jamaica

Haiti

Kiribati

Suriname

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

R u s s i a n

F e d e r a t i o n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria Hungary Moldova nce Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Bahrain Nepal Bhutan eria Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

no data

Finland

Denmark

Ireland

Increase of 1.0% or more

Sweden Norway

The Netherlands

Poland

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

Sudan

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Tanzania

B r a z i l

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Zambia Malawi

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Seychelles Peru

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Rep. of Korea

n a

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Tropical rainforest cleared to make way for an airstrip in Sarawak, Borneo

Countries with highest protected area, 2004 Rank

Country

1,000 sq. km

1

Brazil

1,533

2

United States

1,490

3

Russian Federation

1,287

4

China

1,101

5

Colombia

6

Saudi Arabia

7

Australia

8

Venezuela

9

Canada

10

Tanzania

Facts Between 1990 and 2005, the world lost more than 125 million hectares of forest, about 8 million hectares per year. China added about 4 million hectares of forest each year from 2000 to 2005.

The forest area in Brazil decreased by more than 15 million hectares, over 40 percent of the world’s forest loss between Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 2000Network and 2005. 819 The World Bank - IMF Library IP : 138.220.77.170 745 At the global level, deforestation seems to be slowing; the estimate Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 644 of forest cover change indicates an annual loss of 7.3 million 629 hectares during the years 2000 to 2005, compared with 8.8 million hectares annually between 1990 and 2000. 374

Internet links United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

www.fao.org (click on forestry)

International Union for Conservation of Nature

www.iucn.org

World Wide Fund for Nature

www.wwf.org

Food and Agriculture Organization’s Global Forest Resources Assessment 2005

www.fao.org/forestry/fra2005/en

825

Environment

112 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

113


Europe & Central Asia 7%

Protected areas nationally protected areas as a share of total land area, 2004

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

less than 2% Iceland

2–4% 5–9%

C a n a d a

10–19%

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

U n i t e d

S t a t e s

Monaco

Bermuda (UK) US Virgin Islands (US) Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK)

Belize

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba Jamaica

Gibraltar (UK)

Middle East & North Africa 3%

The Bahamas

St. Kitts and Nevis Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Cape Verde

Martinique (Fr) Guatemala Honduras Aruba Dominica The Gambia (Neth) St. Lucia El Salvador Barbados Nicaragua St. Vincent and the Grenadines Panama Costa Rica Trinidad and Tobago Grenada Netherlands R.B. de French Guiana Antilles (Neth) Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia Kiribati

Latin America & Caribbean 20%

Spain

Portugal

Suriname

Morocco Alg

Former Spanish Sahara Mauritania Mali

Senegal Guinea-Bissau

R u s s i a n

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria Hungary Moldova nce Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h i Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Bahrain Nepal Bhutan eria Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Myanmar Oman Poland

Belarus

Niger

Eritrea

Chad

Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin

Guinea

Sierra Leone

Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Sri Lanka Somalia Maldives

Kenya

South Asia 6%

Seychelles

B r a z i l

Comoros

Lao P.D.R.

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

East Asia & Pacific 12% Marshall Islands

Palau Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

Japan

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Rep. of Korea

n a

Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Tanzania

Peru

F e d e r a t i o n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

no data

Finland

Denmark

Ireland

20% or more

Sweden Norway

The Netherlands

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 11% New Zealand

Virgin tropical rainforest, northern Brazil

Greatest marine protected areas, 2004 Rank

Country

% of surface area

1

Jamaica

75

2

Ecuador

50

3

Cuba

29

4

Hong Kong, China

26

5

Puerto Rico

6

Dominican Republic

7

Chile

8

Panama

9

Denmark

12

10

Oman

10

Facts

Internet links

The world’s nationally protected areas are about 15 million square kilometers or 12 percent of the total land area.

www.unep_wcmc.org/ United Nations Environment Programme World Conservation protected_areas Monitoring Centre

Marine surface areas are about 4 million square kilometers or 3 percent of the world’s total surface area.

International Union for Conservation of Nature

www.iucn.org

World Wide Fund for Nature

www.wwf.org

Food and Agriculture Organization’s Global Forest Resources Assessment 2005

www.fao.org/forestry

19

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to:protected areas are registered with the International About 71,000 18Bank - IMF Library The World Network Union for Conservation of Nature, an increase from 1,000 in 1962. IP : 138.220.77.170 15 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 13

More than 10 percent, or about 400 million hectares, of the world’s forest area has been declared protected.

Environment

114 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

115


Energy security and climate change

World demand for energy is surging, and fossil fuels are the primary energy source. The share of the world’s clean energy production has increased slightly since 1990, but fossil fuels supplied more than 80 percent of the world’s total energy production in 2005. Fossil fuels are also the primary source of carbon dioxide emissions, which, along with the other greenhouse gases, are believed to be the principal cause of global climate change. Producing the energy needed for growth while mitigating its effects on the world’s climate is a global challenge for everyone.

Developing countries use about half of the world’s energy, but their demand is growing faster than richer countries. In 2005, global energy production increased by about 3 percent, but in fast-growing East Asia and Pacific, production grew by 7.5 percent. As economies grow, two forces are at work: technological progress and a shift away from energy-intensive activities help to increase energy efficiency, but rising incomes and growing populations increase the demand for energy. As a result, between 1990 and 2005 worldwide energy use increased by about 30 percent, while the population rose by only 23 percent.

Carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions are highest in high-income economies, and still growing Carbon dioxide emissions per capita (metric tons) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 1990 2004

0

sia

tA

Eas

fic aci &P e&

p uro

1990 2004

sia

A ral

nt

Ce

1990 2004

& ca eri ean Am ribb n i a Lat C

1990 2004

1990 2004

& ast a le E fric dd rth A i M No

1990 2004

sia

ica

A uth

So

ra

aha

b-S Su

fr nA

1990 2004

1990 2004

leies ntr idd ries cou & mount e w c com Loome -in gh inc Hi

1990 2004

rl Wo

d

The way energy is generated determines its environmental consequences. The extensive use of fossil fuels in recent decades has boosted emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), the principal greenhouse gas that traps heat in the atmosphere. Burning coal releases twice as much carbon dioxide as burning the equivalent amount of natural gas. The amount of carbon released each year by human activities is estimated to be 6 to 7 billion tons. Some 2 billion tons are absorbed by oceans, and another 1.5 to 2.5 billion by plants; the rest is released into the atmosphere. Clearing of forests has reduced their ability to trap carbon dioxide. The level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased by more than 30 percent since the beginning of the industrial revolution. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the rate and duration of global warming in the 20th century are unprecedented in the past thousand years. The global average surface temperature has increased by about 0.6 degrees Celsius since 1861 when instrument records became available, with the 1990s as the warmest decade. Increases in the maximum temperature and the number of hot days have been observed over nearly all regions. Warming is expected to continue, with increases in the range of 1.4 to 5.8 degrees Celsius over the next 100 years.

116

United States

China

Russian Federation

Japan

India

0

United States

China

Russian Federation

Japan

2004

1990

2004

1990

2004

1990

1990

2004

1990

1990

2004

2004

5

2004

1990

2004

1990

2004

1990

0

1990

1

2004

Global warming shrinks glaciers, changes the frequency and intensity of rainfall, shifts growing seasons, advances the flowering of trees and The five largest emitters account for more than half of all carbon dioxide produced each year, but average emergence of insects, and causes the sea level to emissions per person in China and India are still quite low rise. The magnitude and effect of climate change Carbon dioxide emissions (billions of metric tons) Carbon dioxide emissions per capita (metric tons) vary across regions, but developing countries are 30 6 likely to suffer most because of their dependence 5 20 4 on climate-sensitive activities such as agriculture 15 Delivered by The World Bankand e-library to: 3 fishing. They also have a more limited capacity The World Bank - IMF Library Network 10 2 IP : 138.220.77.170to respond to the effects of climate change. E

Source: Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC) and World Bank estimates

Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02

India

Source: Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC) and World Bank estimates

Deserts are advancing and rainfall is becoming less predictable as a result of global warming

High-income economies use 50 percent of the world’s energy, but developing countries’ demand is rising Energy use (million kilotons of oil equivalent) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1995

1996

1997

Highincome

1998

1999

2000

Upper-middleincome

2001

2002

2003

Lower-middleincome

2004 Lowincome

Source: International Energy Agency (IEA)

Fossil fuels are the source of more than 80 percent of the world’s energy supply Global primary energy supply by source, 2005 Other 1%

Crude Oil 36%

Hydro 2% Nuclear 6% Combustible renewables and waste 10%

Natural Gas 21%

Coal 25% Source: International Energy Agency (IEA)

Environment (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

2005

117


Energy flows million tons of oil equivalent, 2005 net importers net exporters 200 or more

200 or more

100–199

100–199

50–99

50–99

less than 50

less than 50

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

Iceland

C a n a d a

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

S t a t e s

Monaco

Spain

Portugal

Gibraltar (UK)

Bermuda (UK)

Morocco

US Virgin Islands (US)

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK)

Belize

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Alg

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Guadeloupe (Fr)

Dominica

Cape Verde

Martinique (Fr) St. Lucia

Barbados

Kiribati

Suriname

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria Hungary Moldova nce Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Bahrain Nepal Bhutan eria Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Poland

Belarus

Mauritania

Oman Mali

Senegal

Niger

Guinea-Bissau

Liberia

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin

Guinea

Sierra Leone

Eritrea

Chad

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

F e d e r a t i o n

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Rep. of Yemen

Cameroon

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Philippines

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

Maldives

Kenya

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Tanzania

Peru

B r a z i l

Comoros

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola Zambia Malawi

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Seychelles

French Polynesia (Fr)

Marshall Islands

Palau

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

N. Mariana Islands (US)

Vietnam Cambodia

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Thailand

Djibouti Nigeria

Rep. of Korea

i n a

Myanmar

Antigua and Barbuda

Haiti

Jamaica

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

U n i t e d

Finland

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Sweden Norway

The Netherlands

Fiji

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa Tonga

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

New Zealand

Between 1970 and 1990, 800 million people in rural areas gained access to electricity

Top 10 countries with biggest energy deficit, 2005 Rank

Country

million tons of oil equivalent

1

United States

-710

2

Japan

-431

3

Germany

-210

4

Korea, Rep. of

-171

5

Italy

6

France

7

India

8

Spain

9

China

-76

10

Ukraine

-62

Facts

Internet links

In the developing world, more than 2 billion people do not have access to modern energy services, and 2.4 billion people rely on traditional biomass for their basic energy needs.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

www.ipcc.ch

The indoor air pollution caused by the use of biomass in inefficient stoves is responsible for 1.5 million deaths per year—mostly of mothers and young children.

International Energy Agency

www.iea.org

United Nations Statistics Division

unstats.un.org/unsd/ default.htm

The World Bank Group Energy Program

www.worldbank.org/energy

Energy Information Administration

www.eia.doe.gov

Brazil, Canada, China, and the United States produce about half of Delivered by The World Bank to: thee-library world's hydropower energy. -139 The World Bank - IMF Library Network -118 IP : 138.220.77.170 Less than 10 percent of the world’s energy use is from Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 renewable sources. -115 -158

Petroleum is the source of more than 35 percent of the world’s total energy production.

Environment

118 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

119


Europe & Central Asia 7.1 metric tons

Greenhouse gases carbon dioxide emissions per capita, 2004 or latest available data

Greenland (Den) Faeroe Islands (Den)

15.0 metric tons or more Iceland

10.0–14.9 metric tons 5.0–9.9 metric tons C a n a d a

1.0–4.9 metric tons

United Kingdom

Isle of Man (UK)

less than 1.0 metric tons

Fra

Luxembourg Liechtenstein Andorra

S t a t e s US Virgin Islands (US)

Belize

Jamaica

Cape Verde

Martinique (Fr) Barbados

Czech Republic Slovak Republic Slovenia Croatia Ukraine Kazakhstan Serbia Austria Hungary Moldova nce Bosnia and Herzegovina Mongolia Switzerland Romania FYR Macedonia Italy Montenegro Bulgaria Uzbekistan Georgia Kyrgyz Republic Albania Armenia Azerbaijan Greece Turkmenistan Turkey Tajikistan Cyprus San Syrian Marino Islamic Republic Tunisia Lebanon Arab Rep. of Iran Afghanistan C h Malta Iraq Israel Kuwait Jordan Pakistan West Bank and Gaza Bahrain Nepal Bhutan eria Libya Saudi Arabia Arab Rep. of Egypt United Arab Qatar Bangladesh India Emirates Poland

Belarus

Mauritania Senegal

Oman Mali

Niger

Guinea-Bissau

Guinea

Sierra Leone Liberia

Suriname

Eritrea

Chad

The Gambia

St. Vincent and the Grenadines Trinidad and Tobago Grenada R.B. de French Guiana Venezuela Guyana (Fr) Colombia

Netherlands Antilles (Neth)

Latin America & Caribbean 2.5 metric tons

Guadeloupe (Fr) St. Lucia

Alg

Sudan

Burkina Faso Benin Côte Ghana d'Ivoire Togo

São Tomé and Príncipe

Ecuador

Rep. of Yemen

Dem. People's Rep. of Korea

Cameroon

Ethiopia

Central African Republic

Sri Lanka Somalia

Equatorial Guinea Congo Gabon

Maldives

Kenya

East Asia & Pacific 3.3 metric tons Marshall Islands

Palau Federated States of Micronesia

Singapore Nauru

Indonesia

Tanzania

B r a z i l

Guam (US)

Brunei Darussalam

South Asia 1.0 metric tons

Seychelles Comoros

Zambia Malawi

American Samoa (US)

Timor-Leste

Vanuatu

Bolivia Zimbabwe Mozambique Madagascar Namibia Botswana Réunion (Fr)

Paraguay

Tuvalu

Solomon Islands

Papua New Guinea

Mayotte (Fr)

Angola

French Polynesia (Fr)

N. Mariana Islands (US) Philippines

Malaysia

Uganda Rwanda

Japan

Lao P.D.R. Vietnam Cambodia

Djibouti Nigeria

Rep. of Korea

i n a

Thailand

Dem. Rep. of Congo Burundi

Peru

F e d e r a t i o n

Myanmar

Antigua and Barbuda

Dominica

Morocco

Former Spanish Sahara

St. Kitts and Nevis

Haiti

Guatemala Honduras Aruba (Neth) El Salvador Nicaragua Panama Costa Rica

Kiribati

Gibraltar (UK)

Dominican Republic Puerto Rico (US)

Cuba

Spain

Portugal

Middle East & North Africa 3.8 metric tons

The Bahamas Mexico

Cayman Islands (UK)

Monaco

Bermuda (UK)

R u s s i a n

Estonia Latvia Lithuania

Germany Belgium

Channel Islands (UK)

U n i t e d

Finland

Denmark

Ireland

no data

Sweden Norway

The Netherlands

Fiji

Tonga

New Caledonia (Fr)

Mauritius

A u s t r a l i a

Samoa

Swaziland Lesotho South Africa

Uruguay

Chile Argentina

Sub-Saharan Africa 0.9 metric tons New Zealand

Coal-fired power stations are major contributors to atmospheric pollution

Greatest increase in emissions between 1990 and 2004 Increase in carbon dioxide emissions (million metric tons of oil equivalent)

Rank

Country

1

China

2,607

2

United States

1,227

3

India

660

4

Korea, Rep. of

224

5

Canada

6

Iran, Islamic Rep. of

7

Japan

8

Thailand

9

Indonesia

10

Malaysia

Facts

Internet links

Between 1990 and 2004, the world's carbon dioxide emissions rose by almost 28 percent, to 29 billion metric tons.

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

www.ipcc.ch

Of the 29 billion metric tons of carbon dioxide released in 2004, almost half came from high-income economies.

Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC)

cdiac.ornl.gov

World Resources Institute

www.wri.org

World Bank Prototype Carbon Fund

www.prototypecarbonfund.org

High-income economies emit five times as much carbon dioxide 223 Delivered by The World Bank to:developing economies. pere-library person as 215 The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170 186 As well as contributing to global warming, regional climate changes, Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 172 and accelerated sea-level rise, atmospheric carbon dioxide directly affects plant photosynthesis and water use, potentially altering 164 vegetation and ecosystems. 122

Environment

120 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

121


Key indicators of development

Economy Afghanistan Albania Algeria American Samoa Andorra Angola Antigua and Barbuda Argentina Armenia Aruba Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bahamas, The Bahrain Bangladesh Barbados Belarus Belgium Belize Benin Bermuda Bhutan Bolivia Bosnia and Herzegovina Botswana Brazil Brunei Darussalam Bulgaria Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Cameroon Canada Cape Verde Cayman Islands Central African Republic Chad Channel Islands Chile China Hong Kong, China Macao, China Colombia Comoros Congo, Dem. Rep. of Congo, Rep. Costa Rica Côte d'Ivoire Croatia Cuba Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Djibouti Dominica Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt, Arab Rep. of El Salvador Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Estonia Ethiopia Faeroe Islands Fiji Finland France French Polynesia Gabon Gambia, The Georgia Germany Ghana Greece Greenland Grenada Guam Guatemala

Total population millions 2007 .. 3.18 33.85 0.06 0.07 17.02 0.08 39.50 3.00 0.10 21.02 8.32 8.57 0.33 0.75 158.57 0.29 9.70 10.63 0.30 9.03 0.06 0.66 9.52 3.77 1.88 191.60 0.39 7.64 14.78 8.50 14.45 18.53 32.98 0.53 0.05 4.34 10.76 0.15 16.59 1,319.98 6.93 0.48 46.12 0.63 62.40 3.77 4.46 19.27 4.44 11.26 0.79 10.33 5.46 0.83 0.07 9.75 13.34 75.47 6.85 0.51 4.84 1.34 79.09 0.05 0.84 5.29 61.71 0.26 1.33 1.71 4.40 82.27 23.46 11.19 0.06 0.11 0.17 13.35

Life expectancy at birth years 2006 .. 76 72 .. .. 42 75 75 72 .. 81 80 72 73 76 64 77 69 79 72 56 79 65 65 75 50 72 77 73 52 49 59 50 80 71 .. 44 51 79 78 72 82 80 73 63 46 55 79 48 76 78 79 76 78 54 77 72 75 71 72 51 57 73 52 79 69 79 81 74 57 59 71 79 60 79 69 73 75 70

Under five mortality rate per 1,000 2006 .. 17 38 .. 3 260 11 16 24 .. 6 5 88 14 10 69 12 13 4 16 148 .. 70 61 15 124 20 9 14 204 181 82 149 6 34 .. 175 209 .. 9 24 .. .. 21 68 205 126 12 127 6 7 4 4 5 130 15 29 24 35 25 206 74 7 123 .. 18 4 4 .. 91 113 32 4 120 4 .. 20 .. 41

Access to an improved water source % of population 2006 .. 97 85 .. 100 51 .. 96 98 100 100 100 78 .. .. 80 100 100 .. .. 65 .. 81 86 99 96 91 99 99 72 71 65 70 100 .. .. 66 48 .. 95 88 .. .. 93 85 46 71 98 81 99 91 100 100 100 92 .. 95 95 98 84 43 60 100 42 .. 47 100 100 100 87 86 99 100 80 100 .. .. 100 96

a

Gross national income (GNI) per capita $ $ billions 2007 2007 10.1 10.5 122.5 .. .. 43.6 1.0 238.9 7.9 .. 755.8 355.1 21.9 .. 14.0 75.0 .. 40.9 432.5 1.2 5.1 .. 1.2 12.0 14.3 11.0 1,133.0 10.3 35.1 6.4 0.9 7.9 19.4 1,300.0 1.3 .. 1.7 5.8 .. 138.6 3,120.9 218.9 .. 149.9 0.4 8.6 5.8 24.8 17.5 46.4 .. 19.6 149.4 299.8 0.9 0.3 34.6 41.1 119.4 19.5 6.5 1.1 17.7 17.6 .. 3.2 234.8 2,447.1 g .. 8.9 0.5 9.3 3,197.0 13.9 331.7 .. 0.5 .. 32.6

Total debt service % of exports of goods, services and incomeb 2006

.. d .. 3,290 3.5 3,620 .. .. e .. f .. .. 2,560 12.8 11,520 .. 6,050 31.6 2,640 7.6 .. f .. 35,960 .. 42,700 .. 2,550 1.6 f .. .. .. 19,350 3.7 470 .. .. f 3.3 4,220 .. 40,710 15.9 3,800 .. 570 .. .. f .. 1,770 8.5 1,260 8.7 3,790 0.9 5,840 37.3 5,910 .. 26,930 12.4 4,590 .. 430 40.4 110 0.6 540 .. 1,050 .. 39,420 4.7 2,430 .. .. f .. 380 .. 540 f .. .. 20.0 8,350 2.5 2,360 .. 31,610 .. .. f 31.3 3,250 .. 680 .. 140 .. 1,540 5.0 5,560 1.4 910 33.1 10,460 .. .. e .. 24,940 .. 14,450 .. 54,910 6.4 1,090 .. 4,250 9.6 3,550 24.1 3,080 4.9 1,580 13.1 2,850 .. 12,860 .. 230 .. 13,200 6.8 220 .. .. f 1.0 3,800 .. 44,400 .. 38,500 g f .. .. .. 6,670 Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 12.4 320 The World Bank IMF Library Network 8.8 2,120 IP : 138.220.77.170 .. 38,860 4.9 590 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 .. 29,630 .. .. f .. 4,670 f .. .. 4.8 2,440

Merchandise trade % of GDP 2007 29.5 49.8 64.3 .. .. 84.5 80.6 38.4 49.0 .. 37.3 85.9 49.1 .. 122.4 45.5 60.3 118.4 189.1 74.2 31.3 .. 98.5 60.5 91.7 80.4 21.9 80.5 122.6 34.9 41.6 112.4 36.4 60.9 53.6 .. 24.8 69.9 .. 69.8 66.3 348.5 50.1 36.2 28.6 62.0 117.7 88.5 74.1 74.5 .. 46.3 143.0 65.8 56.6 70.0 54.0 61.8 33.8 62.6 133.0 44.1 122.7 34.1 .. 73.8 69.4 45.5 .. 76.5 49.4 63.5 72.4 80.7 27.5 .. 73.1 .. 61.3

Foreign direct investment net inflows, % of GDP 2006 .. 3.6 1.5 .. .. -0.1 13.3 2.3 5.4 .. 3.7 0.0 -2.8 .. 6.5 1.1 2.0 1.0 15.7 6.0 1.4 .. 0.6 2.1 3.5 4.4 1.8 .. 16.3 0.4 0.0 6.7 1.7 5.4 10.4 .. 1.6 11.1 .. 5.4 2.9 22.6 18.7 4.8 0.2 2.1 4.5 6.6 1.8 7.9 .. 8.3 4.2 1.2 14.1 10.5 3.7 0.7 9.3 1.1 19.3 0.3 9.6 2.4 .. 5.0 2.5 3.6 .. 2.8 16.1 13.7 1.5 3.4 1.8 .. 22.7 .. 1.2

Starting a business time required in days June 2007 9 36 24 .. .. 119 21 31 18 .. 2 28 30 .. .. 74 .. 48 4 44 31 .. 48 50 54 108 152 116 32 18 43 86 37 3 52 .. 14 75 .. 27 35 11 .. 42 23 155 37 77 40 40 .. .. 17 6 37 19 22 65 9 26 136 84 7 16 .. 46 14 7 .. 58 32 11 18 42 38 .. 20 .. 26

c

Internet users per 100 people 2007 2.1 14.9 10.3 .. 87.6 0.6 70.7 23.6 5.7 23.8 53.3 51.4 12.1 36.2 33.2 0.3 95.3 61.8 49.1 10.5 1.7 75.0 6.1 2.1 28.0 4.3 26.1 41.7 52.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 2.0 84.9 7.0 47.0 0.3 0.6 .. 33.6 15.9 57.2 49.6 26.2 3.4 0.4 1.9 33.6 1.6 45.0 11.6 48.3 42.6 64.1 1.3 36.6 17.2 11.7 11.4 10.4 1.6 2.5 58.1 0.4 70.4 9.6 68.1 49.1 28.6 10.9 5.9 8.2 51.7 2.8 22.7 91.6 21.3 38.6 10.1

Carbon dioxide emissions per capita metric tons Economy 2004 .. 1.2 6.0 5.1 .. 0.5 5.1 3.7 1.2 21.8 16.2 8.5 3.8 6.3 23.8 0.2 4.4 6.6 9.7 2.8 0.3 8.7 0.7 0.8 4.1 2.4 1.8 24.1 5.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 20.0 0.6 7.1 0.1 0.0 .. 3.9 3.9 5.5 4.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.3 5.3 2.3 9.1 11.5 9.8 0.5 1.5 2.1 2.3 2.2 0.9 11.5 0.2 14.0 0.1 13.7 1.3 12.6 6.2 2.7 1.1 0.2 0.9 9.8 0.3 8.7 10.0 2.0 25.0 1.0

Afghanistan Albania Algeria American Samoa Andorra Angola Antigua and Barbuda Argentina Armenia Aruba Australia Austria Azerbaijan Bahamas, The Bahrain Bangladesh Barbados Belarus Belgium Belize Benin Bermuda Bhutan Bolivia Bosnia and Herzegovina Botswana Brazil Brunei Darussalam Bulgaria Burkina Faso Burundi Cambodia Cameroon Canada Cape Verde Cayman Islands Central African Republic Chad Channel Islands Chile China Hong Kong, China Macao, China Colombia Comoros Congo, Dem. Rep. of Congo, Rep. Costa Rica Côte d'Ivoire Croatia Cuba Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Djibouti Dominica Dominican Republic Ecuador Egypt, Arab Rep. of El Salvador Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Estonia Ethiopia Faeroe Islands Fiji Finland France French Polynesia Gabon Gambia, The Georgia Germany Ghana Greece Greenland Grenada Guam Guatemala

Statistics

122 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

123


Key indicators of development

Economy Guinea Guinea-Bissau Guyana Haiti Honduras Hungary Iceland India Indonesia Iran, Islamic Rep. of Iraq Ireland Isle of Man Israel Italy Jamaica Japan Jordan Kazakhstan Kenya Kiribati Korea, Dem. Rep. of Korea, Rep. Kuwait Kyrgyz Republic Lao PDR Latvia Lebanon Lesotho Liberia Libya Liechtenstein Lithuania Luxembourg Macedonia, FYR Madagascar Malawi Malaysia Maldives Mali Malta Marshall Islands Mauritania Mauritius Mayotte Mexico Micronesia, Fed. Sts. of Moldova Monaco Mongolia Montenegro Morocco Mozambique Myanmar Namibia Nepal Netherlands Antilles Netherlands New Caledonia New Zealand Nicaragua Niger Nigeria Northern Mariana Islands Norway Oman Pakistan Palau Panama Papua New Guinea Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Puerto Rico Qatar Romania Russian Federation

Total population millions 2007 9.38 1.69 0.74 9.61 7.09 10.06 0.31 1,123.32 225.63 71.02 .. 4.37 0.08 7.17 59.37 2.68 127.77 5.72 15.48 37.53 0.10 23.78 48.53 2.66 5.24 5.86 2.28 4.10 2.01 3.75 6.16 0.04 3.38 0.48 2.04 19.67 13.92 26.55 0.31 12.33 0.41 0.07 3.12 1.26 0.19 105.28 0.11 3.79 0.03 2.61 0.60 30.86 21.37 48.78 2.07 28.11 0.19 16.38 0.24 4.23 5.60 14.20 147.98 0.08 4.71 2.60 162.39 0.02 3.34 6.32 6.12 27.90 87.89 38.06 10.61 3.94 0.84 21.55 141.64

Life expectancy at birth years 2006 56 46 66 60 70 73 81 64 68 71 .. 79 78 80 81 71 82 72 66 53 63 67 78 78 68 64 71 72 43 45 74 .. 71 79 74 59 48 74 68 54 79 65 64 73 .. 74 68 69 .. 67 74 71 42 62 52 63 75 80 75 80 72 56 47 .. 80 76 65 .. 75 57 72 71 71 75 78 78 75 72 66

Under ďŹ ve mortality rate per 1,000 2006 161 200 62 80 27 7 3 76 34 34 .. 5 .. 5 4 31 4 25 29 121 64 55 5 11 41 75 9 30 132 235 18 3 8 4 17 115 120 12 30 217 6 56 125 14 .. 35 41 19 4 43 10 37 138 104 61 59 .. 5 .. 6 36 253 191 .. 4 12 97 11 23 73 22 25 32 7 5 .. 21 18 16

Access to an improved water source % of population 2006 70 57 93 58 84 100 100 89 80 .. .. .. .. 100 .. 93 100 98 96 57 65 100 .. .. 89 60 99 100 78 64 .. .. .. 100 100 47 76 99 83 60 100 .. 60 100 .. 95 94 90 .. 72 98 83 42 80 93 89 .. 100 .. .. 79 42 47 98 100 .. 90 89 92 40 77 84 93 .. 99 .. 100 88 97

a

Gross national income (GNI) per capita $ $ billions 2007 2007 3.7 0.3 1.0 5.4 11.3 116.3 16.8 1,069.4 373.1 246.5 .. 210.2 3.1 157.1 1,991.3 9.9 4,813.3 16.3 78.3 25.6 0.1 .. 955.8 80.2 3.1 3.4 22.6 23.7 2.0 0.6 55.5 .. 33.5 36.4 7.1 6.3 3.5 173.7 1.0 6.1 6.2 0.2 2.6 6.9 .. 878.0 0.3 4.3 i .. 3.4 3.1 69.4 6.8 .. 7.0 9.7 .. 750.5 .. 121.7 5.5 4.0 137.1 .. 360.0 27.9 141.0 0.2 18.4 5.4 10.2 96.2 142.6 374.6 201.1 .. .. 132.5 1,071.0

Total debt service % of exports of goods, services and incomeb 2006

400 .. 200 .. 1,300 3.4 560 3.2 1,600 5.1 11,570 33.1 54,100 .. 950 7.7 1,650 16.6 3,470 .. .. h .. 48,140 .. .. 40,600 .. 21,900 .. 33,540 11.9 3,710 .. 37,670 6.1 2,850 33.7 5,060 6.5 680 .. 1,170 d .. .. .. 19,690 .. 31,640 5.7 590 .. 580 33.3 9,930 21.0 5,770 4.0 1,000 .. 150 .. 9,010 f .. .. 22.1 9,920 .. 75,880 15.7 3,460 .. 320 .. 250 4.0 6,540 4.9 3,200 .. 500 .. 15,310 .. 3,070 .. 840 7.1 5,450 e .. .. 18.9 8,340 .. 2,470 12.2 1,260 i .. .. f 2.2 1,290 .. 5,180 12.2 2,250 1.9 320 1.7 .. d .. 3,360 5.1 340 .. .. f .. 45,820 .. .. f .. 28,780 4.1 980 .. 280 .. 930 f .. .. .. 76,450 1.3 11,120 8.6 870 .. 8,210 24.7 5,510 .. 850 Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: 6.8 1,670 The World Bank IMF Library Network 12.9 3,450 IP : 138.220.77.170 19.6 1,620 24.7 9,840 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 .. 18,950 .. .. f f .. .. 18.4 6,150 13.8 7,560

Merchandise trade % of GDP 2007

Foreign direct investment net inows, % of GDP 2006

50.2 50.4 166.7 34.2 72.6 136.7 56.7 30.9 48.5 47.2 .. 79.5 .. 69.8 47.3 77.5 30.5 120.4 76.5 45.2 117.9 .. 75.1 70.2 102.2 59.4 86.1 65.9 158.8 89.2 91.9 .. 107.7 104.5 113.1 51.6 57.7 178.8 126.3 52.8 104.2 104.4 108.6 98.1 .. 63.6 51.0 115.8 .. 102.9 104.0 62.9 75.6 .. 93.9 37.2 .. 138.1 .. 44.7 83.2 38.8 56.7 .. 57.5 91.4 34.9 79.1 41.6 120.7 88.8 44.1 74.5 71.0 58.1 .. 84.4 66.3 44.8

3.4 13.7 11.3 3.2 3.6 5.4 24.9 1.9 1.5 0.4 .. -0.4 .. 10.1 2.1 8.8 -0.2 22.8 7.6 0.2 .. .. 0.4 0.1 6.5 5.5 8.3 12.3 5.2 -13.3 .. .. 6.1 304.9 5.5 4.2 0.9 3.9 1.5 3.2 28.1 .. -0.1 1.7 .. 2.3 .. 7.1 .. 10.8 .. 4.1 2.2 .. .. -0.1 .. 1.1 .. 7.5 5.3 0.6 3.7 .. 1.4 2.7 3.4 .. 15.1 0.6 2.0 3.7 2.0 5.6 3.8 .. .. 9.4 3.1

Starting a business time required in days June 2007 41 233 44 202 21 16 5 33 105 47 77 13 .. 34 13 8 23 14 21 44 21 .. 17 35 21 103 16 46 73 99 .. .. 26 26 15 7 37 24 9 26 .. 17 65 7 .. 27 16 23 .. 20 24 12 29 .. 99 31 .. 10 .. 12 39 23 34 .. 10 34 24 28 19 56 35 72 52 31 7 7 .. 14 29

c

Internet users per 100 people 2007 0.5 2.2 25.7 10.4 4.9 41.8 65.0 17.8 5.8 32.4 .. 39.1 .. 27.9 53.9 56.0 73.6 19.7 12.3 8.0 2.0 .. 71.7 33.8 14.3 1.7 51.7 23.4 3.5 0.0 4.3 65.3 39.5 71.9 33.6 0.6 1.0 56.5 10.8 0.8 38.6 3.4 1.0 26.9 .. 21.7 14.5 18.5 61.2 12.2 46.6 23.7 0.9 0.1 4.9 1.2 .. 91.6 33.6 79.5 2.8 0.3 6.8 .. 80.7 11.5 10.8 27.0 15.7 1.8 4.6 27.4 6.0 42.0 33.5 25.4 42.0 55.7 21.2

Carbon dioxide emissions per capita metric tons Economy 2004 0.2 0.2 2.0 0.2 1.1 5.7 7.6 1.2 1.7 6.4 .. 10.4 .. 10.5 7.7 4.0 9.8 3.1 13.3 0.3 0.3 3.4 9.7 40.4 1.1 0.2 3.1 4.1 .. 0.1 10.3 .. 3.9 24.9 5.1 0.2 0.1 7.0 2.5 0.1 6.1 .. 0.9 2.6 .. 4.3 .. 2.0 .. 3.4 .. 1.4 0.1 0.2 1.2 0.1 22.2 8.7 11.2 7.7 0.7 0.1 0.8 .. 19.1 12.5 0.8 11.9 1.8 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.0 8.0 5.6 0.5 69.2 4.2 10.6

Guinea Guinea-Bissau Guyana Haiti Honduras Hungary Iceland India Indonesia Iran, Islamic Rep. of Iraq Ireland Isle of Man Israel Italy Jamaica Japan Jordan Kazakhstan Kenya Kiribati Korea, Dem. Rep. of Korea, Rep. Kuwait Kyrgyz Republic Lao PDR Latvia Lebanon Lesotho Liberia Libya Liechtenstein Lithuania Luxembourg Macedonia, FYR Madagascar Malawi Malaysia Maldives Mali Malta Marshall Islands Mauritania Mauritius Mayotte Mexico Micronesia, Fed. Sts. of Moldova Monaco Mongolia Montenegro Morocco Mozambique Myanmar Namibia Nepal Netherlands Antilles Netherlands New Caledonia New Zealand Nicaragua Niger Nigeria Northern Mariana Islands Norway Oman Pakistan Palau Panama Papua New Guinea Paraguay Peru Philippines Poland Portugal Puerto Rico Qatar Romania Russian Federation

Statistics

124 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

125


Key indicators of development

Economy Rwanda Samoa San Marino São Tomé and Príncipe Saudi Arabia Senegal Serbia Seychelles Sierra Leone Singapore Slovak Republic Slovenia Solomon Islands Somalia South Africa Spain Sri Lanka St. Kitts and Nevis St. Lucia St. Vincent and the Grenadines Sudan Suriname Swaziland Sweden Switzerland Syrian Arab Republic Tajikistan Tanzania Thailand Timor-Leste Togo Tonga Trinidad and Tobago Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Uganda Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom United States Uruguay Uzbekistan Vanuatu Venezuela, RB de Vietnam Virgin Islands (U.S.) West Bank and Gaza Yemen, Rep. of Zambia Zimbabwe

Total population millions 2007 9.74 0.19 0.03 0.16 24.20 12.41 7.39 j 0.09 5.85 4.59 5.40 2.02 0.50 8.70 47.59 44.88 19.94 0.05 0.17 0.12 38.56 0.46 1.14 9.15 7.55 19.89 6.74 40.43 63.83 1.07 6.58 0.10 1.33 10.25 73.89 4.96 30.93 46.38 4.36 61.03 301.62 3.32 26.87 0.23 27.47 85.14 0.11 3.87 22.38 11.92 13.40

6,612.0 s World 1,295.7 Low-income 4,260.0 Middle-income 3,437.1 Lower-middle-income 822.9 Upper-middle-income 5,555.7 Low- and middle-income 1,914.1 East Asia & Pacific 445.1 Europe & Central Asia 562.8 Latin America & the Caribbean 313.4 Middle East & North Africa 1,520.4 South Asia 799.8 Sub-Saharan Africa 1,056.3 High-income 318.7 Euro area See page 142 for explanation of symbols.

Life expectancy at birth years 2006

Under five mortality rate per 1,000 2006

Access to an improved water source % of population 2006

a

46 71 82 65 73 63 73 72 42 80 74 78 63 48 51 81 75 71 74 71

160 28 3 96 25 116 8 13 270 3 8 4 73 145 69 4 13 19 14 20

65 88 .. 86 96 77 99 .. 53 100 100 .. 70 29 93 100 82 99 98 ..

3.1 0.5 1.3 0.1 373.5 10.2 35.0 j 0.8 1.5 149.0 63.3 42.3 0.4 .. 274.0 1,321.8 30.8 0.5 0.9 0.5

58 70 41 81 82 74 67 52 70 57 58 73 70 74 71 63 51 68 79 79 78 76 67 70 74 71 79 73 62 42 43

89 39 164 3 5 14 68 118 8 55 108 24 38 23 26 51 134 24 8 6 8 12 43 36 21 17 .. 22 100 182 105

70 92 60 100 100 89 67 55 98 62 59 100 94 94 97 .. 64 97 100 100 99 100 88 .. .. 92 .. 89 66 58 81

37.0 2.2 3.0 421.3 452.1 35.0 3.1 16.3 k 217.3 1.6 2.4 0.2 18.8 32.8 592.9 .. 10.5 118.4 .. 2,608.5 13,886.5 21.2 19.7 0.4 201.1 67.2 .. 4.5 19.4 9.5 4.5

68 57 69 69 70 66 71 69 73

w

72 w 135 49 54 26 79 29 26 26

86 w 68 89 88 95 84 87 95 91

Total debt service % of exports of goods, services and incomeb 2006

Gross national income (GNI) per capita $ $ billions 2007 2007

52,621.4 t 748.8 12,234.7 6,485.0 5,749.6 12,985.9 4,173.5 2,693.7 3,118.0

70

42

89

875.6

64 50 79 80

83 157 7 4

87 58 100 100

1,338.6 761.6 39,682.1 11,578.0

Notes: Figures in italics are for years other than those specified. a. Calculated using the World Bank Atlas method. b. Exports include workers' remittances. c. Data are from the International Telecommunication Union's (ITU) World Telecommunication Development Report database. Please cite ITU for third-party use of these data. d. Estimated to be low-income ($935 or less). e. Estimated to be upper-middle-income ($3,706-$11,455).

Merchandise trade % of GDP 2007

Foreign direct investment net inflows, % of GDP 2006

Starting a business time required in days June 2007

c

Internet users per 100 people 2007

Carbon dioxide emissions per capita metric tons Economy 2004

320 2,430 45,130 870 15,440 820 4,730 j 8,960 260 32,470 11,730 20,960 730 .. d 5,760 29,450 1,540 9,630 5,530 4,210

9.6 19.9 .. .. .. .. .. 20.6 9.6 .. .. .. 2.0 .. 6.7 .. 8.6 .. .. ..

23.0 50.4 .. 48.4 84.6 52.9 65.1 155.9 40.7 348.6 157.7 135.2 113.8 .. 57.9 43.1 57.5 59.9 74.3 65.1

0.4 4.8 .. -0.3 0.2 0.6 16.1 18.8 4.1 17.7 7.5 1.7 5.6 .. 0.0 1.6 1.7 40.9 12.8 17.2

16 35 .. 144 15 58 23 38 26 5 25 60 57 .. 31 47 39 46 40 12

1.1 4.3 54.0 14.6 25.6 6.6 20.3 37.6 0.2 58.8 43.5 64.4 1.7 1.1 8.3 43.9 3.9 30.7 65.5 47.4

0.1 0.8 .. 0.6 13.7 0.4 .. 6.6 0.2 12.5 6.7 8.1 0.4 .. 9.4 7.7 0.6 2.7 2.3 1.7

960 4,730 2,580 46,060 59,880 1,760 460 400 3,400 1,510 360 2,320 14,100 3,200 8,020 .. 340 2,550 .. 42,740 46,040 6,380 730 1,840 7,320 790 .. 1,230 870 800 340

4.1 .. 1.8 .. .. 1.3 5.1 3.4 9.4 .. .. 2.7 .. 14.4 33.2 .. 4.8 18.1 .. .. .. 87.8 .. 1.7 13.3 .. .. .. 2.4 3.6 ..

34.9 100.4 173.3 71.6 80.0 68.7 105.7 45.4 119.5 .. 85.8 62.5 110.9 97.1 42.2 103.5 43.5 78.0 155.7 38.6 23.0 43.1 56.1 55.3 51.6 153.4 .. .. 57.9 78.2 122.0

9.7 .. 1.3 7.1 7.1 1.8 12.0 3.3 4.4 .. 2.6 -0.7 6.2 10.6 3.8 7.0 4.1 5.2 .. 5.9 1.4 7.0 1.0 10.5 -0.3 3.8 .. .. 5.9 5.3 3.0

39 694 61 15 20 43 49 29 33 82 53 32 43 11 6 .. 28 27 62 13 6 44 15 39 141 50 .. 92 63 33 96

9.9 9.6 3.7 76.5 61.1 17.4 0.3 1.0 21.0 0.1 5.0 8.3 16.9 16.8 18.0 1.4 6.5 21.6 52.7 65.9 72.9 29.2 4.5 3.5 20.8 21.0 27.7 9.2 1.4 4.2 10.1

0.3 5.1 0.9 5.9 5.5 3.7 0.8 0.1 4.3 0.2 0.4 1.2 24.7 2.3 3.2 8.7 0.1 6.9 37.8 9.8 20.6 1.7 5.3 0.4 6.6 1.2 124.3 .. 1.0 0.2 0.8

k

h

f

f

7,958 w 578 2,872 1,887 6,987 2,337 2,180 6,051 5,540

.. w 5.4 12.7 7.0 19.7 12.3 5.0 19.3 23.0

51.0 w 61.0 56.3 59.2 53.1 56.5 74.0 56.4 43.1

2.8 w 3.1 3.1 2.9 3.3 3.1 2.9 4.6 2.4

44 u 55 47 41 57 50 47 26 73

22.7 w 5.2 17.7 15.8 26.5 15.0 14.4 25.8 23.7

4.3 w 0.6 3.2 2.6 5.5 2.6 3.3 7.1 2.5

2,794

11.0

58.2

4.2

40

16.4

3.8

32.7 59.3 49.1 66.5

2.0 2.1 2.7 3.8

33 55 25 22

14.5 4.4 63.5 51.5

1.0 0.9 13.1 8.2

880 952 37,566 Delivered 36,329

7.5 7.5 .. e-library to: ..

by The World Bank The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 f. Estimated to be high-income ($11,456 or more).

Rwanda Samoa San Marino São Tomé and Príncipe Saudi Arabia Senegal Serbia Seychelles Sierra Leone Singapore Slovak Republic Slovenia Solomon Islands Somalia South Africa Spain Sri Lanka St. Kitts and Nevis St. Lucia St. Vincent and the Grenadines Sudan Suriname Swaziland Sweden Switzerland Syrian Arab Republic Tajikistan Tanzania Thailand Timor-Leste Togo Tonga Trinidad and Tobago Tunisia Turkey Turkmenistan Uganda Ukraine United Arab Emirates United Kingdom United States Uruguay Uzbekistan Vanuatu Venezuela, RB de Vietnam Virgin Islands (U.S.) West Bank and Gaza Yemen, Rep. of Zambia Zimbabwe

World Low-income Middle-income Lower-middle-income Upper-middle-income Low- and middle-income East Asia & Pacific Europe & Central Asia Latin America & the Caribbean Middle East & North Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa High-income Euro area

g. Data include the French overseas departments of French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, and Réunion. h. Estimated to be lower-middle-income ($936-$3,705). i. Data exclude Transnistria. j. Data exclude Kosovo and Metohija. k. Data refer to mainland Tanzania only.

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Ranking of economies by GNI per capita

Rank Economy 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 28 29 30 31 33 35 36 38 39 41 45 46 47 49 51 53 54 56 58 59 60 61 62 64 65 66 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78

Liechtenstein Bermuda Norway Luxembourg Qatar Switzerland Denmark Iceland Channel Islands Andorra Cayman Islands Ireland San Marino Sweden United States Netherlands Finland Isle of Man United Kingdom Austria Belgium Canada Germany France Japan Australia Kuwait Italy Singapore Hong Kong, China Greece Spain New Zealand Brunei Darussalam Cyprus Israel Slovenia Bahrain Korea, Rep. of Portugal Malta Saudi Arabia Czech Republic Trinidad and Tobago Estonia Equatorial Guinea Oman Slovak Republic Hungary Antigua and Barbuda Croatia Latvia Lithuania Poland St. Kitts and Nevis Libya Seychelles Chile Mexico Palau Turkey Russian Federation

Atlas Purchasing methodology power parity $ international $ .. a .. .. a .. 76,450 53,320 75,880 63,590 .. a .. 59,880 43,870 54,910 36,300 54,100 33,960 .. a .. .. a .. .. a .. 48,140 37,090 .. 45,130 a 36,590 46,060 45,850 46,040 39,310 45,820 34,550 44,400 .. 40,600 a 33,800 42,740 38,140 42,700 34,790 40,710 35,310 39,420 33,530 38,860 33,600 38,500 c 34,600 37,670 33,340 35,960 31,640 a 49,970 a 33,540 29,850 32,470 48,520 31,610 44,050 29,630 32,330 29,450 30,820 28,780 26,340 26,930 a 49,900 a 24,940 26,370 21,900 25,930 20,960 26,640 19,350 a 34,310 a 19,690 18,950 15,310 a 15,440 14,450 14,100 13,200 12,860 11,120 a 11,730 11,570 11,520 10,460 9,930 9,920 9,840 9,630 9,010 8,960 8,350 8,340 8,210 8,020 7,560

24,750 20,890 20,990 22,910 22,020 22,490 19,810 21,230 19,740 19,340 17,210 17,620 15,050 16,890 17,180 15,330 13,320 14,710 15,450 12,590 12,580 .. 12,350 14,400

a

b

a

b

b b b

PPP rank

Rank Economy

Atlas Purchasing PPP Rank Economy methodology power parity rank $ international $ 83 7,320 11,920 Venezuela, RB de 144 Egypt, Arab Rep. of 76 6,670 13,080 Gabon 145 Congo, Rep. 74 6,540 13,570 Malaysia 145 Sri Lanka 86 6,380 11,040 Uruguay 147 Timor-Leste 87 6,150 10,980 Romania 148 West Bank and Gaza 77 6,050 12,990 Argentina 149 Guyana 98 5,910 9,370 Brazil 150 Mongolia 80 5,840 12,420 Botswana 152 Bolivia 94 5,770 10,050 Lebanon 152 Moldova 96 5,760 9,560 South Africa 154 Kiribati 90 5,560 10,700 b Costa Rica 155 Djibouti 97 5,530 9,430 b St. Lucia 156 Cameroon 91 5,510 10,610 b Panama 157 Lesotho 84 5,450 11,390 Mauritius 158 Nicaragua 92 5,180 10,290 Montenegro 159 Sudan 95 5,060 9,700 Kazakhstan 160 India 93 4,730 d 10,220 Serbia 161 Nigeria 103 4,730 7,640 b Suriname 162 Côte d'Ivoire 111 4,670 6,910 b Grenada 163 Pakistan 85 4,590 11,180 Bulgaria 163 São Tomé and Príncipe 106 4,250 7,410 b Dominica 163 Yemen, Rep. of 89 4,220 10,740 Belarus 166 Papua New Guinea 108 4,210 7,170 b St. Vincent and the Grenadines 167 Mauritania 118 3,800 6,200 b Belize 168 Senegal 134 3,800 4,370 Fiji 169 Zambia 102 3,790 7,700 Bosnia and Herzegovina 170 Vietnam 117 3,710 6,210 b Jamaica 171 Solomon Islands 103 3,620 7,640 b Algeria 171 Uzbekistan 115 3,550 6,340 b Dominican Republic 173 Comoros 88 3,470 10,800 Iran, Islamic Rep. of 173 Kenya 100 3,460 8,510 Macedonia, FYR 175 Ghana 107 3,450 7,240 Peru 175 Kyrgyz Republic 101 3,400 7,880 Thailand 177 Lao PDR 125 3,360 5,120 Namibia 178 Benin 114 3,290 6,580 Albania 179 Haiti 113 3,250 6,640 Colombia 180 Cambodia 126 3,200 5,040 Maldives 180 Chad 109 3,200 7,130 Tunisia 183 Mali 110 3,080 7,040 Ecuador 184 Bangladesh .. 3,070 .. Marshall Islands 185 Tajikistan 120 2,850 5,640 b El Salvador 186 Burkina Faso 124 2,850 5,160 Jordan 187 Guinea 119 2,640 5,900 Armenia 187 Tanzania 128 2,580 4,930 Swaziland 189 Central African Republic 132 2,560 4,400 Angola 191 Togo 116 2,550 6,260 Azerbaijan 191 Zimbabwe 112 2,550 6,810 Ukraine 193 Nepal 146 2,470 3,270 b Micronesia, Fed. Sts. of 193 Uganda 131 2,440 4,520 b Guatemala 195 Gambia, The 149 2,430 2,940 Cape Verde 195 Madagascar 139 2,430 3,930 b Samoa 195 Mozambique 122 2,360 5,370 China 195 Rwanda 142 2,320 3,650 b Tonga 200 Niger 138 2,250 3,990 Morocco 202 Sierra Leone 129 2,120 4,770 Georgia 203 Malawi to: b 145 by The World Bank e-library 1,840 3,410Delivered Vanuatu 204 Eritrea The World Bank - IMF Library Network 127 1,770 4,980 Bhutan 205 Ethiopia IP : 138.220.77.170 134 1,760 4,370 Syrian Arab Republic 206 Guinea-Bissau Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 133 1,670 4,380 Paraguay 207 Liberia 144 1,650 3,580 Indonesia 208 Congo, Dem. Rep. of 141 1,620 3,730 Philippines 209 Burundi 143 1,600 3,620 b Honduras

.. .. 5 1 .. 13 24 30 .. .. .. 19 .. 23 10 17 29 .. 31 18 27 26 33 32 28 34 4 39 9 12 36 38 47 6 46 48 45 20 51 60 57 52 56 54 61 58 59 62 65 63 70 67 66 69 75 72 68 78 79 .. 81 73

79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 95 98 99 101 102 103 104 104 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 117 119 120 121 121 123 124 125 126 126 128 129 130 130 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 140 141 142 143

Atlas Purchasing methodology power parity $ international $ 5,400 1,580 2,750 a 1,540 4,210 1,540 3,080 b 1,510 .. 1,230 a 2,880 b 1,300 1,290 1,260 1,260 e 1,170 1,090 1,050 1,000 980 960 950 930 910 870 870 870 850 840 820 800 790 730 730 680 680 590 590 580 570 560 540 540 500 470 460 430 400 400 f 380 360 340 a 340 340 320 320 320 320 280 260 250 230 220 200 150 140 110

3,160 4,140 2,930 2,240 2,260 2,120 1,890 2,520 1,880 2,740 1,770 1,590 2,570 1,630 2,200 1,870 2,010 1,640 1,220 2,550 1,680 2,430 1,150 1,540 1,330 1,950 1,940 1,310 1,150 1,690 1,280 1,040 1,340 1,710 1,120 1,120 1,200 740 800 .. 1,040 920 1,140 920 690 860 630 660 750 520 780 470 290 290 330

b

b

b

b b

b

b

PPP rank 121 153 136 148 .. 151 147 137 150 160 159 162 166 157 167 154 169 175 155 174 161 168 163 173 182 156 172 158 184 176 178 164 165 179 184 171 181 189 177 170 187 187 183 198 195 .. 189 192 186 192 200 194 203 201 197 204 196 205 207 207 206

Note: Rankings include all 209 economies presented in the key indicators table, but only those that have confirmed World Bank Atlas GNI per capita estimates or rank in the top twenty are shown. Estimated ranges for economies that do not have confirmed World Bank Atlas GNI per capita figures are: High-income ($11,456 and above): Aruba Bahamas, The Barbados Faeroe Islands French Polynesia Greenland Guam Macao, China Monaco Netherlands Antilles New Caledonia Northern Mariana Islands Puerto Rico United Arab Emirates Virgin Islands (U.S.) Upper-middle-income ($3,706 – $11,455): American Samoa Cuba Mayotte Lower-middle-income ($936 – $3,705): Iraq Turkmenistan Low-income ($935 or less): Afghanistan Korea, Dem. Rep. of Myanmar Somalia .. Not available. Figures in italics are for an earlier year. a. 2007 data not available; ranking is approximate. b. Estimate is based on regression; other PPP figures are extrapolated from the 2005 International Comparison Program benchmark estimates. c. Data include the French overseas departments of French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique, and Réunion. d. Data exclude Kosovo and Metohija. e. Data exclude Transnistria. f. Data refer to mainland Tanzania only.

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The need for statistics When the United Nations met in September 2000 to set goals for the new millennium, the goals for social and economic development were defined by specific, quantifiable, time-bound targets— reducing poverty by half, ensuring that all children complete primary school, achieving gender equality in education, reducing child mortality rates by twothirds, cutting maternal mortality rates by three-quarters, and increasing access to safe water and sanitation, all by 2015. These are ambitious goals. They are intended to draw public attention to the need for faster progress and firmer commitments to achieve results. Reliable statistics are needed to monitor progress toward the Millennium Development Goals and encourage greater effort. The use of statistics to inform policy is not new. In a well-documented case over a century ago, Charles Booth produced detailed maps illustrating well-being and social class differences in London, using data gathered over a period of 20 years. These maps informed a famous policy debate that contributed to the development of radically new programs to alleviate poverty in London. Earlier in the 19th century, John Snow, a London doctor, discovered a statistical pattern among cholera cases that led to the removal of the source of the contamination of the water supply. Official statistics—published and distributed in many forms—are now routinely used by governments, nongovernmental organizations, and the private sector to guide decision making. Although

statisticians rarely hit the headlines, the statistics they produce often do. The growth of the economy, the rates of inflation and unemployment, the prevalence of diseases—these and many other statistical indicators regularly make the front pages in countries around the world. Statistics make possible the detailed analysis of complex social and economic problems, helping policy makers to choose the best interventions and then to monitor the results. Rates of poverty, economic growth, mortality, literacy, and employment are all affected by the actions of governments. Good quality statistics, produced by professionals free from political interference, using sound methods and reliable data sources, provide information to citizens about the successes and failures of public policy and promote debate. Official statistics help those in the private sector to make investment decisions, and they promote the efficient functioning of markets—for example, by providing information about levels of supply and demand. Rates of inflation, estimated from price surveys, are used in wage and salary negotiations and to adjust pensions.

Most of these statisticians work for governments or other public authorities and share their data through a network of international agencies working together to assemble a global database that describes the state of the world. The resulting statistics are a public good; once they have been produced, they can be used for many purposes. Even though official statistics have many important uses, including helping to allocate scarce resources efficiently, the quality of statistics produced by governments of many of the world’s poorest countries can often be improved. In over 50 countries, policy makers do not have access to estimates of the number of people living in poverty. In over 100 countries, they cannot determine whether the number is shrinking or growing. A common problem in the poorest countries is that the data systems providing the basis for many useful statistics are very fragile. Record-keeping is not always given a high priority in places where governments lack resources and struggle to provide the most basic services. Surveys and censuses are carried out irregularly. Professional statisticians, who manage statistical processes and provide the technical know-how needed to produce good quality statistics, are often underpaid and in short supply. When statistics are unreliable or missing, policy makers cannot make use of them, and the result may be poor decisions and outcomes.

In this book, statistics are used to describe the social and economic conditions of people, how they have changed over time, and how they compare to other countries. This would not be possible without the efforts of statisticians, who conduct surveys Recent innovations have helped improve and collect data from administrative statistics at relatively low cost. Combining systems, and use them to compile the by The World Bank e-library to: the extensive information collected on statistics that form the basis for the Delivered The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170 households from sample surveys with the estimates of the indicators shown here.

finer spatial disaggregation obtained from population censuses provides a method of estimating poverty levels for small areas. When information about the location of public facilities is added, this technique has been very useful for policy makers and program managers, because it helps them identify vulnerable and underserved populations. It does not require additional data collection activities because it combines existing sources. Another way in which some countries have expanded the use of statistics is by providing researchers with access to survey and census datasets, under controlled conditions to protect the confidentiality of survey respondents. Electronic dissemination tools have also dramatically reduced the costs of publishing statistical data and enabled them to reach far wider audiences. The international community increasingly recognizes the role that good data and statistics play in development, as well as the importance of encouraging their use. A global effort is underway to improve the capacity of developing countries to produce and analyze statistical data, with the key aims of improving the data to monitor and manage development policy, and of monitoring progress toward the Millennium Development Goals. A sustained effort is needed to put statistical capacity at the center of development policy; to increase investment in data collection, dissemination, and technical capacity; and to improve the use of existing datasets.

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Millennium Development Goals Goals and targets from the Millennium Declaration Goal 1

Eradicate extreme poverty and hunger

Target 1.A:

Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day

Target 1.B:

Target 1.C:

Goal 2

1.4 Growth rate of GDP per person employed 1.5 Employment-to-population ratio 1.6 Proportion of employed people living below $1 (PPP) per day 1.7 Proportion of own-account and contributing family workers in total employment

Halve, between 1990 and 2015, the proportion of people who suffer from hunger

1.8 Prevalence of underweight children under 5 years of age 1.9 Proportion of population below minimum level of dietary energy consumption

Goal 3

Promote gender equality and empower women

Target 3.A:

Eliminate gender disparity in primary and secondary education, preferably by 2005, and in all levels of education no later than 2015

Target 5.B:

Achieve, by 2015, universal access to reproductive health

5.3 Contraceptive prevalence rate 5.4 Adolescent birth rate 5.5 Antenatal care coverage (at least one visit and at least four visits) 5.6 Unmet need for family planning

Goal 6

Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases

Target 6.A:

Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS

Target 6.B:

Achieve, by 2010, universal access to treatment 6.5 Proportion of population with advanced HIV infection for HIV/AIDS for all those who need it with access to antiretroviral drugs

Target 6.C:

Have halted by 2015 and begun to reverse the incidence of malaria and other major diseases

Goal 7

Ensure environmental sustainability

Target 7.A:

Integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programs and reverse the loss of environmental resources

7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5

Target 7.B:

Reduce biodiversity loss, achieving, by 2010, a significant reduction in the rate of loss

7.6 Proportion of terrestrial and marine areas protected 7.7 Proportion of species threatened with extinction

6.1 HIV prevalence among population aged 15–24 years 6.2 Condom use at last high-risk sex 6.3 Proportion of population aged 15–24 years with comprehensive correct knowledge of HIV/AIDS 6.4 Ratio of school attendance of orphans to school attendance of nonorphans aged 10–14 years

2.1 Net enrollment ratio in primary education 2.2 Proportion of pupils starting grade 1 who reach last grade of primary education 2.3 Literacy rate of 15–24 year-olds, women and men

3.1 Ratios of girls to boys in primary, secondary, and tertiary education 3.2 Share of women in wage employment in the nonagricultural sector 3.3 Proportion of seats held by women in national parliament

6.6 Incidence and death rates associated with malaria 6.7 Proportion of children under-5 sleeping under insecticide-treated bednets 6.8 Proportion of children under-5 with fever who are treated with appropriate anti-malarial drugs 6.9 Incidence, prevalence, and death rates associated with tuberculosis 6.10 Proportion of tuberculosis cases detected and cured under directly observed treatment short course

Proportion of land area covered by forest CO2 emissions, total, per capita and per $1 GDP (PPP) Consumption of ozone-depleting substances Proportion of fish stocks within safe biological limits Proportion of total water resources used

Reduce child mortality

Reduce by two-thirds, between 1990 and 2015, the under-5 mortality rate

Goal 5

Improve maternal health

Target 5.A:

Reduce by three-quarters, between 1990 and 2015, the maternal mortality ratio

132

Indicators for monitoring progress

Achieve universal primary education

Ensure that, by 2015, children everywhere, boys and girls alike, will be able to complete a full course of primary schooling

Target 4.A:

Goals and targets from the Millennium Declaration

1.1 Proportion of population below $1 (PPP) per daya 1.2 Poverty gap ratio 1.3 Share of poorest quintile in national consumption

Achieve full and productive employment and decent work for all, including women and young people

Target 2.A:

Goal 4

Indicators for monitoring progress

4.1 Under-5 mortality rate 4.2 Infant mortality rate 4.3 Proportion of 1-year-old children immunized against Target 7.C: Halve, by 2015, the proportion of people measles Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: without sustainable access to safe drinking The World Bank - IMF Library Network water and basic sanitation IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02

5.1 Maternal mortality ratio 5.2 Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel

Target 7.D: By 2020, achieve a significant improvement in the lives of at least 100 million slum dwellers

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7.8 Proportion of population using an improved drinking water source 7.9 Proportion of population using an improved sanitation facility

7.10 Proportion of urban population living in slumsb Statistics

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Millennium Development Goals Goals and targets from the Millennium Declaration Goal 8

Target 8.A:

Develop a global partnership for development

Develop further an open, rule-based, predictable, non-discriminatory trading and financial system Includes a commitment to good governance, development, and poverty reduction—both nationally and internationally

Target 8.B:

Address the special needs of the leastdeveloped countries Includes: tariff and quota-free access for the least-developed countries’ exports; enhanced program of debt relief for heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC) and cancellation of official bilateral debt; and more generous official development assistance (ODA) for countries committed to poverty reduction

Target 8.C:

Indicators for monitoring progress

Address the special needs of landlocked developing countries and small island developing states (through the Programme of Action for the Sustainable Development of Small Island Developing States and the outcome of the 22nd special session of the General Assembly)

Target 8.D: Deal comprehensively with the debt problems of developing countries through national and international measures in order to make debt sustainable in the long term

Some of the indicators listed below are monitored separately for the least developed countries (LDCs), Africa, landlocked developing countries, and small island developing states. Official development assistance (ODA) 8.1 Net ODA, total and to the least developed countries, as percentage of OECD/DAC donors’ gross national income 8.2 Proportion of total bilateral, sector-allocable ODA of OECD/DAC donors to basic social services (basic education, primary health care, nutrition, safe water and sanitation) 8.3 Proportion of bilateral official development assistance of OECD/DAC donors that is untied 8.4 ODA received in landlocked developing countries as a proportion of their gross national incomes 8.5 ODA received in small island developing states as a proportion of their gross national incomes

The Millennium Development Goals and targets come from the Millennium Declaration, signed by 189 countries, including 147 heads of state and government, in September 2000 (http://www.un.org/millennium/declaration/ares552e.htm), as updated by the 60th United Nations General Assembly in September 2005. The goals and targets are interrelated and should be seen as a whole. They represent a partnership between the developed countries and the developing countries “to create an environment—at the national and global levels alike—which is conducive to development and the elimination of poverty.” All indicators should be disaggregated by sex and urban/rural location as far as possible. a For monitoring country poverty trends, indicators based on national poverty lines should be used, where available.

b The

actual proportion of people living in slums is measured by a proxy, represented by the urban population living in households with at least one of the four characteristics: (a) lack of access to improved water supply; (b) lack of access to improved sanitation; (c) overcrowding (3 or more persons per room); and (d) dwellings made of non-durable material.

Market access 8.6 Proportion of total developed country imports (by value and excluding arms) from developing countries and least developed countries, admitted free of duty 8.7 Average tariffs imposed by developed countries on agricultural products and textiles and clothing from developing countries 8.8 Agricultural support estimate for OECD countries as a percentage of their gross domestic product 8.9 Proportion of ODA provided to help build trade capacity Debt sustainability 8.10 Total number of countries that have reached their HIPC decision points and number that have reached their HIPC completion points (cumulative) 8.11 Debt relief committed under HIPC and MDRI Initiatives 8.12 Debt service as a percentage of exports of goods and services

Target 8.E:

In cooperation with pharmaceutical companies, provide access to affordable essential drugs in developing countries

8.13 Proportion of population with access to affordable essential drugs on a sustainable basis

Target 8.F:

In cooperation with the private sector, make available the benefits of new technologies, especially information and communications

8.14 Telephone lines per 100 population 8.15 Cellular subscribers per 100 population 8.16 Internet users per 100 population

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Definitions, sources, notes, and abbreviations Access to an all-season road The proportion of rural people who live within 2 km (typically equivalent to a 20-minute walk) of an all-season road. An “all-season road” is a road that is motorable all year by the prevailing means of rural transport. Predictable interruptions of short duration during inclement weather (for example, heavy rainfall) are accepted, particularly on low-volume roads. (World Bank)

supply of human resources from donors or action directed to human resources (such as training or advice). Also included is aid for promoting development awareness and aid provided to refugees in the donor economy. Assistance specifically to facilitate a capital project is not included. (OECD)

Agricultural machinery Wheel and crawler tractors (excluding garden tractors) in use in agriculture at the end of the calendar year specified, or during the first quarter of the following year. (FAO)

deliveries on their own and to care for newborns.

Aid, untied Bilateral official development assistance commitment not subject to restrictions by donors on Access to improved sanitation facilities The proportion of procurement sources. (OECD) the urban or rural population with access to at least Births attended by skilled health staff The proportion of adequate excreta disposal facilities (private or shared, deliveries attended by personnel trained to give the but not public) that can effectively prevent human, necessary supervision, care, and advice to women during animal, or insect contact with excreta. (WHO) pregnancy, labor, and the postpartum period, to conduct

Agricultural productivity The ratio of agricultural value added, measured in constant 2000 U.S. dollars, to the number of workers in agriculture. (FAO) Agriculture Economic activity corresponding to International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) division 1–5 (ISIC Revision) or tabulation categories A–B (ISIC Revision 3)

(UNICEF)

Bonds Securities issued with a fixed rate of interest for a period of more than one year. They include net flows through cross-border public and publicly guaranteed and private nonguaranteed bond issues. (World Bank) Business, time to start up The time, in calendar days, needed to complete all the procedures required to legally operate a business. If a procedure can be speeded up at additional cost, the fastest procedure, regardless of cost, is chosen. Time spent gathering information about the registration process is excluded. (World Bank)

Aid dependency ratios Net official development assistance, expressed as a share of gross national income Carbon dioxide emissions Emissions from the burning of and in per capita terms, provides a measure of the fossil fuels (including the consumption of solid, liquid, recipient country’s dependency on aid. Calculated using and gas fuels and gas flaring) and the manufacture of values in U.S. dollars converted at official exchange cement. (CDIAC) rates. (OECD) Cereal yield The production of wheat, rice, maize, barley, Aid, net Aid flows classified as official development oats, rye, millet, sorghum, buckwheat, and mixed grains, assistance, net of repayments. (OECD) measured in kilograms per hectare of harvested land. Refers to crops harvested for dry grain only. Cereal Aid, debt-related Net disbursement of official crops harvested for hay or harvested green for food, development assistance provided for all actions relating feed, or silage, and those used for grazing, are excluded. to debt, including forgiveness, swaps, buybacks, The FAO allocates production data to the calendar year rescheduling, and refinancing. (OECD) in which the bulk of the harvest took place. Most of a Aid, development programs, projects, and other resource crop harvested near the end of the year will be used in provisions Net disbursement of official development the following year. (FAO) assistance provided as cash transfers, aid in kind, Children out of school, primary school-age children The development food aid, and the financing of capital number of children of primary school age who are not projects; intended to increase or improve the recipient’s enrolled in primary or secondary school. stock of physical capital, and to support the recipient’s (UNESCO Institute for Statistics) development plans and other activities with finance and Commercial bank and other lending Net flows of commodity supply. (OECD) commercial bank lending (public and publicly Aid, humanitarian Net disbursement of official guaranteed and private nonguaranteed) and other development assistance provided for emergency and private credits. (World Bank) distress relief, including aid to refugees and assistance

governance, reflecting the breakdown of accountability. Economically active children, agriculture Children ages (World Bank) 7–14 who are involved in economic activity in the agricultural sector. Agriculture corresponds to division Country Policy and Institutional Assessment CPIA index 1 (ISIC revision 2) or categories A and B (ISIC revision rates countries against a set of 16 criteria grouped in 3), and includes agriculture, hunting, forestry and four clusters: (a) economic management; (b) structural logging, and fishing. (UCW) policies; (c) policies for social inclusion and equity; and (d) public sector management and institutions. The Economically active children, manufacturing Children CPIA measures the extent to which a country’s policy ages 7–14 who are involved in economic activity in the and institutional framework supports sustainable manufacturing sector. Manufacturing corresponds to growth and poverty reduction and, consequently, the division 3 (ISIC revision 2) or category D (ISIC effective use of development assistance. revision 3). (UCW) Crop production index Agricultural production for each Economically active children, service Children ages 7–14 period relative to the base period 1999–2001; includes who are involved in economic activity in the service all crops except fodder crops. (FAO) sector. Services correspond to divisions 6–9 (ISIC revision 2) or categories G–P (ISIC revision 3), and Debt, private nonguaranteed The long-term external include wholesale and retail trade, hotels and obligations of private debtors that are not guaranteed restaurants, transport, financial intermediation, real for repayment by a public entity. (World Bank) estate, public administration, education, health and Debt, public and publicly guaranteed The long-term social work, other community services, and private external obligations of public debtors, including the household activity. (UCW) national governments and political subdivisions (or an agency of either) and autonomous public bodies, and the external obligations of private debtors that are guaranteed for repayment by a public entity.

Economically active children, work only Children ages 7–14 who are involved in economic activity and do not attend school. (UCW)

(World Bank)

Economically active children, study and work Children ages 7–14 who are involved in economic activity and attend school. (UCW)

Debt, short term All debt having an original maturity of one year or less and interest in arrears on long-term debt. (World Bank) Debt, total external Debt owed to nonresidents repayable in foreign currency, goods, or services. It is the sum of public, publicly guaranteed, and private nonguaranteed long-term debt, use of International Monetary Fund credit, and short-term debt.

Economically active children, wage and salary workers Children ages 7–14 who are involved in economic activity and hold the type of jobs defined as “paid employment jobs.” (UCW)

Economically active children, self-employed workers Children ages 7–14 who are involved in economic (World Bank) activity and hold the type of jobs defined as a “selfemployment jobs,” working on their own account or Debt service, public The sum of principal repayments with one or a few partners. (UCW) and interest actually paid in foreign currency, goods, or services for long-term public and publicly guaranteed Economically active children, unpaid family workers debt and repayments (repurchases and charges) to the Children ages 7–14 who are involved in economic International Monetary Fund. (World Bank) activity and work without pay in a market-oriented establishment or activity operated by a related person Debt service, total The sum of principal repayments and living in the same household. (UCW) interest actually paid in foreign currency, goods, or services on long-term debt, interest paid on short-term Education, primary The level of education that provides debt, and repayments (repurchases and charges) to the children with basic reading, writing, and mathematics International Monetary Fund. (World Bank) skills, along with an elementary understanding of such subjects as history, geography, natural science, social Deforestation The permanent conversion of natural science, art, and music. (UNESCO Institute for Statistics) forest area to other uses, including shifting cultivation, permanent agriculture, ranching, settlements, and Education, secondary The level of education that infrastructure development. Deforested areas do not completes the provision of basic education aimed at include areas logged but intended for regeneration, or laying the foundations for lifelong learning and areas degraded by fuelwood gathering, acid human development by offering more subject or skillprecipitation, or forest fires. Negative numbers indicate oriented instruction using more specialized teachers. an increase in forest area. (FAO) (UNESCO Institute for Statistics)

Contraceptive prevalence rate The percentage of women for disaster preparedness. (OECD) Delivered e-library to: married or in-union ages 15–49 who are practicing, or by The World BankDependency Aid, technical cooperation Net disbursement of official Network ratio The ratio of dependents—people whose sexual partners are practicing, any formThe of World Bank - IMF Library younger development assistance whose main aim is to augment than 15 and older than 64—to the workingIP : 138.220.77.170 contraception. (UNICEF) the stock of human intellectual capital, such as the level Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 age population. (World Bank) of knowledge, skills, and technical know-how in the Control of corruption Measures the perceptions of Economically active children Children ages 7–14 who recipient country (including the cost of associated corruption, conventionally defined as the abuse of are involved in economic activity for at least one hour equipment). Contributions take the form mainly of the public office for private gain and an outcome of poor in the reference week of the survey. (UCW)

Education, tertiary The level of education, leading to an advanced research qualification that normally requires, as a minimum condition of admission, the successful completion of education at the secondary level. (UNESCO Institute for Statistics)

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Electric power consumption The output of power plants and combined heat and power plants minus the transmission, distribution, and transformation losses and own-use by heat and power plants. (IEA) Energy flows Estimated as energy uses less production, both measured in oil equivalents. (IEA)

resources to cover a budget deficit, or allocates financial resources arising from a budget surplus. Includes all government liabilities—other than those for currency issues or demand, time, or savings deposits with government—or claims on others held by government, and changes in government holdings of cash and deposits. Excludes government guarantees of the debt of others. (IMF)

prices and without deductions for the depreciation of all people who supply labor for the production of goods fabricated assets, or for the depletion and degradation of and services during a specified period. (ILO) natural resources. (World Bank) Land, arable Land under temporary crops (doubleGross domestic product (GDP) per capita Gross domestic cropped areas are counted once), temporary meadows for mowing or for pasture, land under market or kitchen product divided by midyear population. (World Bank) gardens, and land temporarily fallow. Land abandoned Gross national income (GNI) Gross domestic product as a result of shifting cultivation is excluded. (FAO) plus net receipts of primary income (compensation of

Emigration rate of people with tertiary education The stock of emigrants with at least tertiary education as a employees and property income) from abroad. Data are share of the total tertiary educated people (residents and Food production index The average of commodity group converted to dollars using the World Bank Atlas price indices of meat, dairy, cereal, oil and fats, and emigrants) in the country. Tertiary education refers to method. (World Bank) sugar weighted with the average export shares of each of International Standard Classification of Education Gross national income (GNI) per capita Gross national the groups for 1999–2001. (FAO) (ISCED) level 5 or above. (OECD) income divided by midyear population. (World Bank) Food production per capita Covers food crops that are Energy use, commercial The apparent consumption of Gross national income (GNI), PPP Gross national income considered edible and that contain nutrients. To commercial energy equals domestic production plus converted to international dollars using purchasing construct the index, production quantities of each imports and stock changes, minus exports and fuels power parity rates. An international dollar has the same commodity are weighted by international prices with supplied to ships and aircraft engaged in international purchasing power over GNI as a U.S. dollar has in the the base period of 1999–2001. This method assigns a transport. (IEA) United States. (World Bank) single price to each commodity so that, for example, one Enrollment rate, gross The ratio of children who are Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative metric ton of wheat has the same price, regardless of enrolled in an education level, regardless of age, to the A program of official creditors designed to relieve the where it is produced. Coffee and tea are excluded population of the corresponding official school age, as poorest and most heavily indebted countries of their because, although edible, they have no nutritive value. defined by the International Standard Classification of debt to certain multilateral creditors, including the (FAO) Education 1997 (ISCED97). (UNESCO Institute for Statistics) World Bank and International Monetary Fund. Foreign direct investment, net inflows Net inflows of Enrollment rate, net The ratio of children of official (World Bank) investment to acquire a lasting interest in or a school age, as defined by the International Standard High-income economies Those with a gross national management control over (10 percent or more of voting Classification of Education 1997 (ISCED97), who are income (GNI) per capita of $11,456 or more in 2007. stock) an enterprise operating in an economy other than enrolled in school, to the population of the (World Bank) that of the investor. It is the sum of equity capital, corresponding official school age. reinvestment of earnings, other long-term capital, and HIV, adults and children living with All people with HIV (UNESCO Institute for Statistics) short-term capital as shown in the balance of payments. infection, whether or not they have developed Exchange rate, official The exchange rate (local currency (IMF) symptoms of AIDS. Adults are defined as those ages 15 units relative to the U.S. dollar) determined by national and over, and children as ages 0–14. (UNAIDS) Forest area Land under natural or planted stands of trees, authorities or the rate determined in the legally whether productive or not. (FAO) HIV, adult prevalence of The proportion of people ages sanctioned exchange market. It is calculated as an 15–49 who are infected with HIV. (UNAIDS) Freshwater resources Total internal renewable resources annual average based on monthly averages. (IMF) (internal river flows and groundwater from rainfall). Immunization rate, measles, child Percentage of children Exports of goods, services, and income International (World Resources Institute) ages 12–23 months who received a vaccination for transactions involving a change in ownership of general measles before 12 months of age, or at any time before Freshwater withdrawals, annual Total water withdrawals, merchandise, goods sent for processing and repairs, the survey. A child is considered adequately immunized not counting evaporation losses from storage basins, but nonmonetary gold, services, receipts of employee against measles after receiving one dose of vaccine. including water from desalination plants in countries compensation for nonresident workers, and investment (WHO and UNICEF) where they are a significant source. Withdrawals also income. (IMF) include water from desalination sources. Withdrawals Industry Economic activity corresponding to Female-to-male enrollments in primary and secondary for agriculture and industry are total withdrawals for International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) schools The ratio of female-to-male gross enrollment irrigation and livestock production and for direct divisions 2–5 (ISIC revision 2) or tabulation categories rates in primary and secondary schools. industrial use (including for cooling thermoelectric C–F (ISIC revision 3). (UNESCO Institute for Statistics) plants). Withdrawals for domestic uses include drinking Interest payments Payments of interest on government Fertility rate, total The number of children that would be water, municipal use or supply, and use for public debt—including long-term bonds, long-term loans, and born to a woman if she were to live to the end of her services, commercial establishments, and home. (WRI) other debt instruments—to both domestic and foreign childbearing years, and bear children in accordance Gross capital formation (commonly called investment) residents. (World Bank) with current age-specific fertility rates. (World Bank) Outlays on additions to the fixed assets of the economy, International $ An international dollar has the same Fertilizer consumption The plant nutrients used per unit net of changes in the level of inventories, and net purchasing power that a U.S. dollar has in the United of arable land. Nitrogenous, potash, and phosphate acquisitions of valuables. Fixed assets include land States. fertilizers (including ground rock phosphate) are improvements (such as fences, ditches, and drains); Internet Proportion of people with access to the included; traditional nutrients, animal, and plant plant, machinery, and equipment purchases; and the by The World Bank e-library users Delivered to: (ITU) worldwide network. manures are not included. The time reference for construction of roads, railways, and dwellings. The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170 fertilizer consumption is the crop year (July through Irrigated land Refers to areas purposely provided with (World Bank, OECD, UN) Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 June). (FAO) water, including land irrigated by controlled flooding. Gross domestic product (GDP) The sum of gross value (FAO) Financing from abroad (obtained from nonresidents) and added by all resident producers in the economy plus domestic financing (obtained from residents) The Labor force participation rate The proportion of the any product taxes (less subsidies) not included in the means by which a government provides financial population ages 15 and older that is economically active; value of the products. It is calculated using purchaser

Land under cereal production Refers to harvested areas, although some countries report only sown or cultivated areas. (FAO) Life expectancy at birth The number of years a newborn infant would live if prevailing patterns of mortality at the time of its birth were to stay the same throughout its life. (World Bank) Lifetime risk of maternal death The probability that a 15year-old female will die eventually from a maternal cause, assuming that current levels of fertility and mortality (including maternal mortality) do not change in the future, taking into account competing causes of death. (WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, and World Bank) Low-income economies Those with a gross national income (GNI) per capita of $935 or less in 2007. (World Bank)

Malnutrition, underweight children, prevalence of The percentage of children under-5 whose weight for age is more than two standard deviations below the median for the international reference population ages 0–59 months. The data are based on the new international child growth standards for infants and young children, called the Child Growth Standards, released in 2006 by the World Health Organization. (WHO)

Manufacturing Economic activity corresponding to International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) divisions 15–37 or tabulation category D (ISIC Revision 3). Merchandise trade The sum of merchandise exports and imports measured in current U.S. dollars. Also referred to as trade in goods. (WTO) Middle-income economies Those with a gross national income (GNI) per capita of more than $935 but less than $11,456 in 2007. (World Bank) Migration, stock the number of people born in a country other than that in which they live; this includes refugees. (UNSD) Mobile telephone subscribers Proportion of people who subscribe to a public mobile telephone service using cellular technology. (ITU) Mortality rate, infant The number of infants dying before reaching one year of age, per 1,000 live births in a given year. (Harmonized estimates of WHO, UNICEF, and World Bank) Mortality rate, children under-5 The probability that a newborn baby will die before reaching age 5, if subject to current age-specific mortality rates. The probability is expressed as a rate per 1,000. (Harmonized estimates of WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, UNPD, and World Bank)

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Mortality ratio, maternal The number of women who die from pregnancy-related causes during pregnancy and childbirth, per 100,000 live births. The data shown are modeled estimates based on an exercise by the World Health Organization, the United Nations Children's Fund, the United Nations Population Fund, and the World Bank. (WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, and World Bank)

replanted after each harvest. It includes land under flowering shrubs, fruit trees, nut trees, and vines, but excludes land under trees grown for wood or timber. (FAO)

Population, average annual growth rate The exponential rate of change in population for the period indicated. (World Bank)

Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) Further Population, total Mid-year population that includes all reduces the debt of heavily indebted poor countries and residents regardless of legal status or citizenship— provides resources for meeting the Millennium except for refugees not permanently settled in the Development Goals. Under the MDRI the International country of asylum, who are generally considered part of Development Association, International Monetary Fund, the population of their country of origin. (World Bank) and African Development Fund provide 100 percent Population below $1 a day The proportion of the debt relief on eligible debts due to them from countries population living on less than $1.25 a day at 2005 that completed the HIPC Initiative process. (World Bank) purchasing power parity prices. (World Bank) Nationally protected areas Totally or partially protected Population below $2 a day The proportion of the areas of at least 1,000 hectares that are designated as population living on less than $2 a day at 2005 national parks, natural monuments, nature reserves or purchasing power parity prices. (World Bank) wildlife sanctuaries, protected landscapes or seascapes, Population density Midyear population divided by land or scientific reserves with limited public access. The area in square kilometers. (World Bank) data do not include marine areas, unclassified areas, littoral (intertidal) areas, and sites protected under local Population, rural Calculated as the difference between the or provincial law. Total land area is used to calculate the total population and the urban population. (World Bank) percentage of total area protected. (WCMC) Population, urban The midyear population of areas Net migration The total number of immigrants minus the total number of emigrants, including both citizens and noncitizens. Data are five-year estimates. (UNPD)

defined as urban in each country and reported to the United Nations. (UN World Urbanization Prospects, The 2007

Official development assistance (ODA) Disbursement of loans made on concessional terms (net of repayments) and grants by official agencies of the members of the Development Assistance Committee (DAC), by multilateral institutions, and by non-DAC countries to promote economic development and welfare in countries and territories in the DAC list of ODA recipients. (OECD)

Portfolio equity flow Net inflows from equity securities other than those recorded as direct investment, including shares, stocks, depository receipts, and direct purchases of shares in local stock markets by foreign investors. (World Bank)

Overqualification rate The proportion of people working in jobs/occupations for which their skills are too high. Education and job qualification levels are grouped into three categories: low, intermediate, and high. An overqualified individual is one who holds a job that requires lesser qualifications than one that would theoretically be available at his or her education level. Overqualification rates are calculated for individuals with an intermediate or higher education. (OECD)

Revision, and World Bank staff estimates)

Pregnant women receiving prenatal care The proportion of women attended at least once during pregnancy by skilled health personnel for reasons related to pregnancy. (Household Surveys) Primary completion rate The proportion of students completing the last year of primary school; calculated by taking the total number of students in the last grade of primary school, minus the number of repeaters in that grade, divided by the total number of children of official graduation age. (UNESCO Institute for Statistics)

Purchasing power parity (PPP) conversion factor The number of units of a country’s currency required to buy the same amount of goods and services in the domestic market as a U.S. dollar would buy in the United States. (World Bank)

Ratio of female-to-male hourly wage The ratio of the female hourly wage to male hourly wage. (Household Surveys)

Undernourishment, prevalence of The percentage of the population that is undernourished—whose dietary energy consumption is continuously below a minimum dietary energy requirement for maintaining a healthy life and carrying out light physical activity. (FAO) Unpaid family worker Unpaid workers who work in a business operated by a relative and live in the same household. (ILO)

Refugees People recognized as refugees under the 1951 Unofficial payments to public officials The percentage of Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees or its firms expected to make unofficial or informal payments 1967 Protocol; the 1969 Organization of African Unity to public officials to “get things done” with regard to Convention Governing the Specific Aspects of Refugee customs, taxes, licenses, regulations, and services. (World Bank) Problems in Africa; people recognized as refugees in accordance with the UNHCR statute; people granted a Value added The net output of an industry after adding refugee-like humanitarian status; and people provided up all outputs and subtracting intermediate inputs. The with temporary protection. Palestinian refugees (and industrial origin of value added is determined by the their descendants) are people whose residence was International Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) Palestine between June 1946 and May 1948, and who lost revision 3. (World Bank) their homes and means of livelihood as a result of the Water source, access to an improved The share of the 1948 Arab-Israeli conflict. (UNHCR and UNRWA) population with reasonable access to an adequate Repeaters, primary The proportion of students enrolled amount of water from an improved source, such as a in the same grade as in the previous year as a share of household connection, public standpipe, borehole, all students enrolled in primary school. (UNESCO Institute protected well or spring, or rainwater collection. for Statistics) Unimproved sources include vendors, tanker trucks, and Sanitation, access to an improved facility The share of the unprotected wells and springs. Reasonable access is urban population with access to at least adequate excreta defined as the availability of at least 20 liters a person disposal facilities (private or shared but not public) that per day from a source within one kilometer of the can effectively prevent human, animal, and insect dwelling. (WHO and UNICEF) contact with excreta. Improved facilities range from Women in parliament The percentage of parliamentary simple but protected pit latrines to flush toilets with a seats in a single or lower chamber occupied by women. sewage connection. (WHO) (IPU) Services Economic activity corresponding to International Workers’ remittances and compensation of employees, Standard Industrial Classification (ISIC) divisions 6–9 received Current transfers by migrant workers, and (ISIC revision 2) or tabulation categories G–P (ISIC wages and salaries earned by nonresident workers. (World revision 3). (ILO) Bank and IMF) Tariff, simple mean The unweighted average of the World Bank Atlas method A conversion factor to convert effectively applied rates for all products subject to tariffs. national currency units to U.S. dollars at prevailing (World Bank, UNCTAD, WTO) exchange rates, adjusted for inflation and averaged over Teenage mothers The percentage of women ages 15–19 three years. The purpose is to reduce the effect of who already have children or are currently pregnant exchange rate fluctuations in the cross-country (Household Surveys) comparison of national incomes. (World Bank)

Trade Refers to the two-way flow of exports and imports Private participation in infrastructure Investment of goods (merchandise trade) and services (service trade). commitments in infrastructure projects in Trade restrictiveness index Measures the impact of each People receiving antiretroviral therapy People living with telecommunications, energy, transport, and water and country’s trade policies on its aggregate imports, taking HIV who are receiving antiretroviral therapy treatment. sanitation with private participation that have reached into account all types of trade barriers, including tariffs, (UNSD) financial closure, and directly or indirectly serve the quotas, non-automatic licensing, antidumping duties, Particulate matter concentration Fine suspended public. All investment (public and private) in projects in countervailing duties, tariff-quotas, and subsidies. particulates less than 10 microns in diameter (PM10) which a private company assumes the operating risk is (World Bank) that are capable of penetrating deep into the respiratory included. (World Bank) Treated bednets, use of The proportion of children ages tract and causing significant health damage. Data are Public sector management and institutions A proxy 0–59 months who slept under an insecticideurban-population-weighted PM10 levels in residential Delivered measure of governance that includes assessments of by The World Bank e-library to: bednet the night before the survey. The World Bank - IMF Library impregnated areas of cities with more than 100,000 residents. The property rights and rule-based governance; quality of IP : 138.220.77.170 Network (Household Surveys) estimates represent the average annual exposure level of budgetary and financial management; efficiency of Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 the average urban resident to outdoor particulate Tuberculosis, incidence of The estimated number of new revenue mobilization; quality of public administration; matter. (World Bank) pulmonary, smear-positive, and extrapulmonary and transparency, accountability, and corruption in the tuberculosis cases. (WHO) Permanent cropland Land cultivated with crops that public sector. (World Bank) occupy the land for long periods and need not be

Data sources The indicators presented in this Atlas are compiled by international agencies and by public and private organizations, usually on the basis of survey data or administrative statistics obtained from national governments. The principal source of each indicator is given in parentheses following the definition. The World Bank publishes these and many other statistical series in the World Development Indicators, available in print, CD-ROM, and online. Excerpts from this Atlas, additional information about sources, definitions, and statistical methods, and suggestions for further reading are available at www.worldbank.org/data.

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Data notes and symbols The data in this book are for the most recent year unless otherwise noted. • Growth rates are proportional changes from the previous year. • Regional aggregates include data for low and middle-income economies only. • Figures in italics indicate data for years or periods other than those specified. Data are shown for economies with populations greater than 30,000, or less if they are members of the World Bank. The term country (used interchangeably with economy) does not imply political independence or official recognition by the World Bank, but refers to any economy for which the authorities report separate social or economic statistics. The regional groupings of countries include only low and middle income economies. For the income groups, every economy is classified as low income, middle income, or high income. • Low-income economies are those with a GNI per capita of $935 or less in 2007. • Middle-income economies are those with a GNI per capita of more than $935 but less than $11,456 in 2007. • Lower-middle-income economies and upper-middle-income economies are separated at a GNI per capita of $3,705 in 2007. • High-income economies are those with a GNI per capita of $11,456 or more in 2007.

Symbols used in data tables .. means that data are not available or that aggregates cannot be calculated because of missing data. 0 or 0.0 means zero or less than half the unit shown. $ means current U.S. dollars. The methods used to calculate regional and income group aggregates are denoted by: m (median), s (simple total), t (total including estimates for missing data), u (unweighted average), and w (weighted average).

Abbreviations AfDF CDIAC CPIA DAC DHS FAO FDI GDP GNI HIPC ICT IDA IEA ILO IMF IPU ITU MDGs MDRI

African Development Fund Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center Country Policy and Institutional Assessment Development Assistance Committee of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Demographic and Health Surveys Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Foreign Direct Investment Gross Domestic Product Gross National Income Heavily Indebted Poor Countries Information and Communications Technology International Development Association International Energy Agency International Labour Organization International Monetary Fund Inter-Parliamentary Union International Telecommunication Union Millennium Development Goals Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative

ODA OECD

Official Development Assistance Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development PPI Private Participation in Infrastructure PPP Purchasing Power Parity UCW Understanding Children’s Work UN United Nations UNAIDS Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNEP United Nations Environment Programme UNESCO United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization UNFPA United Nations Population Fund UNICEF United Nations Children’s Fund UNIFEM United Nations Development Fund for Women UNSD United Nations Statistics Division WCMC World Conservation Monitoring Centre WDI World Development Indicators WHO World Health Organization WRI World Resources Institute WTO World Trade Organization

For more information • World Development Indicators and WDI Online are the World Bank’s premier compilation of data about development. This Atlas complements World Development Indicators by providing a geographical view of pertinent data. The World Development Indicators is available at: www.worldbank.org/data/wdi • Global Development Finance and GDF Online are the World Bank’s comprehensive compilation of data on external debt and financial flows. They are available at: www.worldbank.org/data/gdf • African Development Indicators, the World Bank’s most detailed collection of data on Africa, available in one volume at: www.worldbank.org/adi • The Millennium Development Goals (MDG) and the data and indicators required to track progress toward them Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: are available at: www.developmentgoals.org The World about Bank -how IMFitLibrary Network • The PARIS21 Consortium and information promotes evidence-based policymaking and monitoring are available at: www.paris21.orgIP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 • The Statistical Capacity Building Program, which offers tools and advice for statistical capacity building in developing countries, can be accessed at: www.worldbank.org/data/statcap • The International Comparison Program (ICP) and information about the ICP and the final results from the 2005 round can be found at: www.worldbank.org/data/icp 142 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank


Index Note: page numbers in bold refer to maps, page numbers in italics refer to information presented in graphs and tables. abortion 49 African Development Fund (AfDB) 91 agriculture 98–9, 98–103, 100–3 and child labour 34, 35, 137 and deforestation 111 and global integration 74–5, 75 intensified cultivation 98–9 machinery 99, 136 output 56, 57, 57–9, 58–9 productivity 98–9, 98–9, 102–3, 102–3, 136 and trade barriers 75, 75 value added 57 and water supplies 104, 104, 105 aid 86–7, 86–9, 88–9 debt related 86–7, 86, 91, 91, 136 dependency ratio 136 development programs 86–7, 136 humanitarian 87, 136 net 86–7, 136 technological co-operation 86, 136 untied 136 AIDS see HIV/AIDS air pollution 94, 95, 140 see also greenhouse gas emissions antiretroviral therapy 52, 53, 140 Atlas methodology 8, 10–11, 128–9, 141

corruption, control of 60–1, 60–3, 62–3, 136, 141 crop production index 136–7 debt 123, 125, 127 external 90–1, 90–3, 92–3, 137 private nonguaranteed 90, 137 public/publicly guaranteed 137 short term 137 debt crisis 1980s/1990s 91 debt relief 86–7, 86, 90–1, 91, 136 debt service public 90, 137 total 90–1, 90, 137 deforestation 110–11, 110–15, 112–15, 117, 137 dependency ratio 25, 25, 137 deserts 117 developing economies (low/middle income), definition 6–7, 6–7 diarrhea 45, 95 domestic financing 138

fertility rates 24–5, 50–1, 138 fertilizers 98–9, 138 financing from abroad 138 Food Price Index 98 food production index 98, 138 food production per capita 98, 138 foreign direct investment 78–9, 78–9, 123, 125, 127, 138 forests 110–11, 110–15, 112–15, 138 fossil fuels 116, 117, 117 fragile lands 99 GDP (gross domestic product) 56, 57, 58–9, 69, 74, 138 GDP per capita 12, 14–15, 14–15, 138 gender equality 38–9, 38–43, 40–3, 130, 132 Gini coefficient 13, 13 girls education 30, 31, 38, 38–9, 40–1 working 34, 35 global economic structure 56–7, 56–9, 58–9 global integration 74–5, 74–9, 76–9, 80, 86 global partnership for development 134 global warming 117, 117 GNI (gross national income) 122, 124, 126, 138–9 and external debt 91 ranking of economies by 128–9 GNI per capita 6, 8–9, 10–11, 10–11, 139 and life expectancy at birth 9, 9 governance 60–1, 60–3, 62–3, 68–9 governments 68–9 greenhouse gas emissions 111, 116–17, 116, 120–1, 120–1 gross capital formation (investment) 138 gross domestic product see GDP gross national income see GNI Group of Eight (G8) summit 2005 86

economic efficiency 13 economic growth 12–13, 12–13, 14–15 and investment 68–9 economies classification 6–7, 6–7 bed nets, insecticide-impregnated 53, 53, gross national income ranking 128–9 141 see also global economic structure biodiversity 111 education 30–1, 30–3, 32–3 births, attended by skilled health care staff children out of school 34–5, 35, 136 48, 136 economically active children in 35, 35, bonds 75, 136 137 Booth, Charles 130 female-to-male enrolments 31, 138 “brain drain” 81 and gender equality 30, 31, 38, 38–9, business 40–1, 130, 132 reforms 69, 69 and migrants 81, 81 start-ups 72–3, 72–3, 123, 125, 127, 136 primary 30–1, 30, 38, 40–1, 130, 132, 137 capital flows 75, 75, 87 primary completion rates 30–1, 30, 140 health care capital formation 70–1 in rural areas 30, 31, 32 for children 44, 45 carbon dioxide emissions 116–17, 116, school enrolment 9, 9, 30–1, 35, 38, 40, for HIV/AIDS 52, 53 120–1, 120–1, 123, 125, 127, 136 138 maternal 48–9, 48–51, 130, 132–3 Heavily Indebted Monetary Fund (HIPC) censuses 131 school repeaters 35, 140 91, 91, 139 cereals 139 secondary 9, 31, 31, 40–1, 137 high-income (developed) economies 6, 6–7 yields 99, 136 tertiary 31, 31, 137 HIV/AIDS 45, 52–3, 52–5, 54–5, 133, 139, child mortality 130, 132 elderly people, dependent 25, 25 140 and poverty 19 electricity supplies 64, 65, 137 household work rates 44–5, 44–7, 46–7 energy flows 118–19, 118–19, 137 children's 34, 35, 35, 137 childhood diseases 45, 52, 53, 53 energy use 116–17, 116–19, 118–19, 138 environmental exploitation 111 unpaid 34, 35, 35, 39, 39, 137 children environmental issues humanitarian assistance 87, 136 dependent 25, 25 deforestation 110–11, 110–15, 112–15 hunger, eradication 132 economically active 31, 31, 34–5, 34–7, urbanization 95 36–7, 137 Deliveredsustainability by The World130, Bank e-libraryilliteracy to: environmental 133 38 cholera 130 The World Bank - IMF Library Network exchange rates 138 immunizations 44, 45, 139 cities 94–5, 94–7, 96–7 IP : 138.220.77.170 exploitation, environmental 11106:24:02 income climate change 104, 116–17, 117 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 comparisons 8–9, 8–9, 10–11, 10–11 communicable diseases 52–3, 52–5, 54–5, exports 75, 138 external debt 90–1, 90–3, 92–3, 137 daily 18–19, 18–19, 20–1 133 external financing 68, 75 inequality 12–13, 16–17, 16–17 contraception 49, 49, 50, 136

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measurement 8–9, 8–9 see also high-income economies; lowincome economies; middle-income economies indicators of development, key 122–7 industry 56, 139 inequality 16–17, 16–17 gender 38–9, 38–43, 40–3, 130, 132 income 12–13, 16–17, 16–17 of opportunity 12–13, 13, 38–9 inequality ratio 16 infant mortality rate 122, 124, 126, 139 infrastructure 64–5, 64–7, 66–7, 140 integration, global 74–5, 74–9, 76–9, 80, 86 Inter-American Development Bank (IaDB) 91 interest payments 139 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 117 International Development Association (IDA) 91 International Monetary Fund (IMF) 91 Internet use 65, 65–7, 66–7, 123, 125, 127, 139 investment 138 for economic growth 68–9, 68–71, 70–1 foreign direct 78–9, 78–9 irrigation 104, 104–5, 105, 139

children under-5 44–5, 44–7, 46–7, 139 infant 122, 124, 126, 139 maternal 38, 38, 48, 48, 130, 132, 139 Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) 91, 139–40 nationally protected areas 110–12, 111, 114–15, 114–15, 140 official development assistance (ODA) 86, 87, 140 oil 118–19 opportunity 38–9 equality/inequality of 12–13, 13, 38–9 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) 75, 81 Development Assistance Committee (DAC) 86, 87 overgrazing 99, 99 overqualification rate 81, 81, 140

infrastructure 64, 64 water supplies 105, 105 sanitation 45, 64–5, 64–5, 94, 95, 95, 136, 141 service sector 56–7, 56–7, 74, 141 economically active children in 137 slums 95, 95 Snow, John 130 social class 130 statisticians 130–1 statistics 130–1, 132–4, 135 surveys 131

tariffs 75, 141 teenage mothers 49, 49, 141 telecommunications 64, 64–7, 65, 66–7 timber industry 111 trade 141 and global integration 74–5, 74–7, 76–7 merchandise 76–7, 76–7, 123, 125, 127, particulate matter concentration 94, 95, 139 140 trade agreements 75 pneumonia 45 political participation, women's 39, 39, 141 trade barriers/restrictions 75, 75 pollution trade restrictiveness index 75, 141 air 94, 95, 140 tuberculosis 52–3, 53, 141 water 95 undernourishment 19, 98, 100–1, 100–1, see also greenhouse gas emissions 141 population 122, 124, 126 labor force participation rate 139 United Nations (UN) 130 below $1 a day 140 land below $2 a day 18–19, 18–19, 20–1, 140 United Nations International Conference arable 24–5, 139 on Financing for Development 2002 86 density 140 permanent cropland 140 unpaid family workers 34, 35, 35, 39, 39, global trends 24–5, 24–5 under cereal production 139 137 growth 24–5, 24–7, 26–7, 140 land degradation 99 urban environment 94–5, 94–7, 96–7 rural 64, 105, 140 lending 75, 136 urbanization 94–5, 94–7, 96–7, 104 total 25, 122, 124, 126, 140 life expectancy 24 urban 94–5, 94–7, 96–7, 140 life expectancy at birth 9, 9, 25, 28–9, 28–9, portfolio equity flow 140 value added 56, 57, 141 122, 124, 126, 139 poverty 18–19, 18–23, 20–3 living standards 8–9, 8–9 wage gap 80 eradication 130, 132 low-income economies 6–7, 6–7 water pollution 95 and inequality 12–13 water supplies 64–5, 64–5, 94, 104–5, line 18, 19 malaria 45, 53 104–9, 106–9 and maternal health 49 malnutrition 19, 22–3, 22–3, 45, 139 access to water 104–5, 105, 108–9, and quality of life 9 manufacturing 56, 139 108–9, 122, 124, 126, 141 rural 64 economically active children in 137 freshwater resources 104–5, 104, pregnancy 48–9, 48–9, 140 and global integration 74–5 106–7, 138 prenatal care 48, 48–9, 140 marine protected areas 111, 114–15 women protected areas 110–12, 111, 114–15, maternal death, lifetime risk of 48, 48, 139 114–15, 140 earnings/ratio of female-to-male maternal health 48–9, 48–51, 130, 132–3, hourly wage 39, 39, 140–1 public officials, unofficial payments to 61, 140 empowerment 132 141 maternal mortality rates 38, 38, 48, 48, 130, public sector 61, 140 and HIV/AIDS 52 132 in parliament 39, 39, 141 purchasing power parity (PPP) 8–9, 8, 19, measles 45, 139 working 39, 39, 42–3, 42–3 128–9, 139 merchandise trade 76–7, 76–7, 123, 125, see also girls conversion factor 19, 140 working hours, children's 35 127, 139 World Bank middle-income economies 6–7, 6–7 quality of life 9 classification of economies 6–7, 6–7 migration 25, 80–1, 80–5, 82–5, 139 rainforests 111 Country Policy and Institutional net 81, 140 by The refugees 141 World Bank e-library to: Assessment (CPIA) 61 of people with tertiary education 81, Delivered Theremittances World Bank87 - IMF Library Network debt relief 91 81, 137–8 IP : 138.220.77.170 flow of 80–1, 80–1, 84–5, 84–5, 141 and poverty 19 Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02 roads 64, 64, 136 web site 7 19, 35, 90, 104, 130, 131, 132–4, 135 mobile phones 65, 65, 66, 139 rural areas World Bank Atlas method 8, 10–11, 128–9, mortality rates 24 child mortality rates 45 141

144 (c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank


New topics – keeping abreast of a changing world the following world maps have been added to the atlas: child employment, internet users, foreign direct investment, food production, and energy flows A visual guide to global issues – easy-to-read graphical presentation with every topic being presented by clear world maps, tables, graphs, and photographs Country comparisons – understand key development indicators, including economic growth, life expectancy, infant mortality, safe water, population, poverty, and energy use Authoritative statistics – from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators "This is an excellent, up-to-date source book which will be invaluable for students of, and staff teaching, higher levels of geography .... a clear, concise, easily-accessible, and well-illustrated volume."

Atlas of Global development second edition

Second edition of this comprehensive guide to the most critical issues facing the world.

Atlasof Global Development second edition

geographical association, united kingdom

Delivered by The World Bank e-library to: The World Bank - IMF Library Network IP : 138.220.77.170 Sun, 07 Dec 2008 06:24:02

ISBN 978-0-8213-7603-4

9 780821 376034 Cover image: Bill Ross/corbis

(c) The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank

A visual guide to the world’s greatest challenges


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